share_log

The Five-year Loss for Bank of Zhengzhou (HKG:6196) Shareholders Likely Driven by Its Shrinking Earnings

The Five-year Loss for Bank of Zhengzhou (HKG:6196) Shareholders Likely Driven by Its Shrinking Earnings

鄭州銀行(HKG: 6196)股東的五年虧損可能是其收益萎縮所致
Simply Wall St ·  01/29 02:39

We think intelligent long term investing is the way to go. But along the way some stocks are going to perform badly. For example, after five long years the Bank of Zhengzhou Co., Ltd. (HKG:6196) share price is a whole 67% lower. We certainly feel for shareholders who bought near the top. And we doubt long term believers are the only worried holders, since the stock price has declined 21% over the last twelve months. On the other hand the share price has bounced 6.4% over the last week. The buoyant market could have helped drive the share price pop, since stocks are up 4.0% in the same period.

我們認爲明智的長期投資是必經之路。但在此過程中,一些股票將表現不佳。例如,在漫長的五年之後,鄭州銀行股份有限公司(HKG: 6196)的股價下跌了整整67%。對於在接近頂部買入的股東,我們當然有同感。而且我們懷疑長期信徒是唯一擔心的持有者,因爲股價在過去十二個月中下跌了21%。另一方面,股價在上週反彈了6.4%。活躍的市場本可以幫助推動股價上漲,因爲同期股市上漲了4.0%。

While the last five years has been tough for Bank of Zhengzhou shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.

儘管過去五年對鄭州銀行的股東來說是艱難的,但過去一週顯示出希望的跡象。因此,讓我們來看看長期基本面,看看它們是否是負回報的驅動力。

Check out our latest analysis for Bank of Zhengzhou

查看我們對鄭州銀行的最新分析

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

雖然市場是一種強大的定價機制,但股價反映了投資者的情緒,而不僅僅是潛在的業務表現。研究市場情緒如何隨着時間的推移而變化的一種方法是研究公司股價與其每股收益(EPS)之間的相互作用。

Looking back five years, both Bank of Zhengzhou's share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 29% per year. This fall in the EPS is worse than the 20% compound annual share price fall. So the market may previously have expected a drop, or else it expects the situation will improve.

回顧五年,鄭州銀行的股價和每股收益均有所下降;後者每年下降29%。每股收益的下降比20%的複合年股價下跌還要嚴重。因此,市場此前可能曾預計會下跌,否則預計情況會有所改善。

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下圖顯示了 EPS 在一段時間內的跟蹤情況(如果你點擊圖片,你可以看到更多細節)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SEHK:6196 Earnings Per Share Growth January 29th 2024
SEHK: 6196 每股收益增長 2024 年 1 月 29 日

This free interactive report on Bank of Zhengzhou's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

如果你想進一步調查鄭州銀行的收益、收入和現金流,這份關於鄭州銀行收益、收入和現金流的免費互動報告是一個很好的起點。

What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

那麼股東總回報(TSR)呢?

We've already covered Bank of Zhengzhou's share price action, but we should also mention its total shareholder return (TSR). Arguably the TSR is a more complete return calculation because it accounts for the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested), along with the hypothetical value of any discounted capital that have been offered to shareholders. Dividends have been really beneficial for Bank of Zhengzhou shareholders, and that cash payout explains why its total shareholder loss of 63%, over the last 5 years, isn't as bad as the share price return.

我們已經報道了鄭州銀行的股價走勢,但我們還應該提及其股東總回報率(TSR)。可以說,股東總回報率是更完整的回報計算方法,因爲它考慮了股息的價值(就好像是再投資一樣),以及向股東提供的任何貼現資本的假設價值。分紅確實爲鄭州銀行的股東帶來了好處,這筆現金支付解釋了爲什麼其在過去5年中63%的股東總虧損沒有股價回報率那麼糟糕。

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

Bank of Zhengzhou shareholders are down 21% over twelve months, which isn't far from the market return of -20%. Unfortunately, last year's performance is a deterioration of an already poor long term track record, given the loss of 10% per year over the last five years. It will probably take a substantial improvement in the fundamental performance for the company to reverse this trend. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Bank of Zhengzhou (1 doesn't sit too well with us) that you should be aware of.

鄭州銀行股東在十二個月內下跌了21%,與-20%的市場回報率相差不遠。不幸的是,鑑於過去五年中每年虧損10%,去年的表現比本已糟糕的長期記錄有所惡化。要扭轉這一趨勢,公司可能需要基本業績的實質性改善。儘管市場狀況可能對股價產生的不同影響值得考慮,但還有其他因素更爲重要。例如,我們已經確定了鄭州銀行的兩個警告信號(其中一個不太適合我們),你應該注意這些信號。

Of course Bank of Zhengzhou may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

當然,鄭州銀行可能不是最好的買入股票。因此,您可能希望看到這批免費的成長股。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論