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We Think Hainan Yedao (Group)Ltd (SHSE:600238) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt

We Think Hainan Yedao (Group)Ltd (SHSE:600238) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt

我們認爲海南椰島(集團)有限公司(上海證券交易所股票代碼:600238)有相當一部分債務
Simply Wall St ·  01/26 18:53

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Hainan Yedao (Group) Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600238) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

傳奇基金經理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾經說過:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”因此,當你評估公司的風險時,看來聰明的貨幣知道債務(通常涉及破產)是一個非常重要的因素。與許多其他公司一樣,海南椰島(集團)有限公司, Ltd(上海證券交易所股票代碼:600238)使用債務。但是這筆債務是股東關心的問題嗎?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務會帶來什麼風險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

當企業無法輕易履行這些義務時,無論是通過自由現金流還是以誘人的價格籌集資金,債務和其他負債就會面臨風險。資本主義的重要部分是 “創造性破壞” 的過程,在這個過程中,倒閉的企業被銀行家無情地清算。但是,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東,這樣才能控制債務。當然,債務的好處是它通常代表廉價資本,尤其是當它用高回報率進行再投資的能力取代了公司的稀釋時。考慮公司債務水平的第一步是將其現金和債務放在一起考慮。

Check out our latest analysis for Hainan Yedao (Group)Ltd

查看我們對海南椰島(集團)有限公司的最新分析

What Is Hainan Yedao (Group)Ltd's Net Debt?

海南椰島(集團)有限公司的淨負債是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Hainan Yedao (Group)Ltd had CN¥249.5m of debt in September 2023, down from CN¥287.5m, one year before. On the flip side, it has CN¥43.4m in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥206.1m.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示海南椰島(集團)有限公司在2023年9月的債務爲2.495億元人民幣,低於一年前的2.875億元人民幣。另一方面,它擁有4,340萬元人民幣的現金,淨負債約爲2.061億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600238 Debt to Equity History January 26th 2024
SHSE: 600238 2024 年 1 月 26 日債務與股權比率的歷史記錄

A Look At Hainan Yedao (Group)Ltd's Liabilities

看看海南椰島(集團)有限公司的負債

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Hainan Yedao (Group)Ltd had liabilities of CN¥688.1m due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥131.5m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥43.4m in cash and CN¥191.5m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥584.6m.

放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,海南椰島(集團)有限公司在12個月內到期的負債爲6.881億元人民幣,之後到期的負債爲1.315億元人民幣。與此相抵消的是,它有4,340萬元人民幣的現金和1.915億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,其負債超過其現金和(短期)應收賬款總額5.846億元人民幣。

Of course, Hainan Yedao (Group)Ltd has a market capitalization of CN¥4.51b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Hainan Yedao (Group)Ltd will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

當然,海南椰島(集團)有限公司的市值爲451億元人民幣,因此這些負債可能是可以控制的。但是,我們確實認爲值得關注其資產負債表的實力,因爲它可能會隨着時間的推移而發生變化。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是你不能完全孤立地看待債務;因爲海南椰島(集團)有限公司需要收益來償還債務。因此,如果你想進一步了解其收益,可能值得看看這張長期收益趨勢圖。

In the last year Hainan Yedao (Group)Ltd had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 52%, to CN¥237m. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

去年,海南椰島(集團)有限公司在利息和稅前出現虧損,實際收入減少了52%,至2.37億元人民幣。坦率地說,這並不是一個好兆頭。

Caveat Emptor

Caveat Emptor

Not only did Hainan Yedao (Group)Ltd's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CN¥182m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled CN¥82m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So to be blunt we think it is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Hainan Yedao (Group)Ltd .

在過去的十二個月中,海南椰島(集團)有限公司不僅收入下滑,而且還產生了負的息稅前收益(EBIT)。具體而言,息稅前利潤虧損爲1.82億元人民幣。當我們審視這一點並回顧其資產負債表上相對於現金的負債時,對我們來說,公司有任何債務似乎是不明智的。因此,我們認爲其資產負債表有些緊張,儘管並非無法修復。另一個需要謹慎的原因是,在過去的十二個月中,自由現金流爲負8.2億元人民幣。因此,坦率地說,我們認爲這是有風險的。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。爲此,你應該注意我們在海南椰島(集團)有限公司發現的兩個警告標誌。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

當一切都說完之後,有時更容易將注意力集中在甚至不需要債務的公司上。讀者現在可以100%免費訪問淨負債爲零的成長型股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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