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Blackstone's (NYSE:BX) Investors Will Be Pleased With Their Fantastic 337% Return Over the Last Five Years

Blackstone's (NYSE:BX) Investors Will Be Pleased With Their Fantastic 337% Return Over the Last Five Years

黑石集團(紐約證券交易所代碼:BX)的投資者將對過去五年中337%的驚人回報感到滿意
Simply Wall St ·  01/18 10:11

When you buy shares in a company, it's worth keeping in mind the possibility that it could fail, and you could lose your money. But on a lighter note, a good company can see its share price rise well over 100%. Long term Blackstone Inc. (NYSE:BX) shareholders would be well aware of this, since the stock is up 260% in five years. It's also good to see the share price up 24% over the last quarter. But this move may well have been assisted by the reasonably buoyant market (up 12% in 90 days).

當你購買一家公司的股票時,值得記住它可能倒閉的可能性,你可能會賠錢。但簡而言之,一家好的公司的股價可以上漲超過100%。黑石公司(紐約證券交易所代碼:BX)的長期股東會意識到這一點,因爲該股在五年內上漲了260%。股價在上個季度上漲了24%也很不錯。但這一舉措很可能得到了相當活躍的市場(90天內上漲了12%)的推動。

Now it's worth having a look at the company's fundamentals too, because that will help us determine if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.

現在也值得一看公司的基本面,因爲這將有助於我們確定長期股東回報是否與基礎業務的表現相匹配。

Check out our latest analysis for Blackstone

查看我們對黑石集團的最新分析

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

在他的文章中 格雷厄姆和多茲維爾的超級投資者 禾倫·巴菲特描述了股價如何並不總是合理地反映企業的價值。評估公司情緒變化的一種有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。

During five years of share price growth, Blackstone actually saw its EPS drop 1.6% per year.

在五年的股價增長中,黑石集團的每股收益實際上每年下降1.6%。

By glancing at these numbers, we'd posit that the decline in earnings per share is not representative of how the business has changed over the years. Therefore, it's worth taking a look at other metrics to try to understand the share price movements.

通過瀏覽這些數字,我們可以假設每股收益的下降並不能代表業務多年來的變化。因此,值得一看其他指標,以了解股價走勢。

In contrast revenue growth of 14% per year is probably viewed as evidence that Blackstone is growing, a real positive. It's quite possible that management are prioritizing revenue growth over EPS growth at the moment.

相比之下,每年14%的收入增長可能被視爲黑石集團增長的證據,這是一個真正的積極因素。目前,管理層很有可能將收入增長置於每股收益增長之上。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

公司的收入和收益(隨着時間的推移)如下圖所示(點擊查看確切數字)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:BX Earnings and Revenue Growth January 18th 2024
紐約證券交易所:BX 收益和收入增長 2024 年 1 月 18 日

We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. This free report showing analyst forecasts should help you form a view on Blackstone

像我們一樣,內部人士在過去的十二個月中一直在購買股票。即便如此,未來的收益對於當前股東是否賺錢將更爲重要。這份顯示分析師預測的免費報告應該可以幫助您對黑石集團形成看法

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Blackstone's TSR for the last 5 years was 337%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的股東總回報率和股價回報率。股東總回報率是一種回報計算方法,它考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何股息都經過再投資)以及任何貼現資本籌集和分拆的計算價值。可以說,股東總回報率更全面地描述了股票產生的回報。碰巧的是,黑石集團過去5年的股東總回報率爲337%,超過了前面提到的股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧是沒有好處的!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

It's good to see that Blackstone has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 50% in the last twelve months. Of course, that includes the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 34% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Blackstone better, we need to consider many other factors. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Blackstone (of which 1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) you should know about.

很高興看到黑石集團在過去十二個月中向股東提供了50%的總股東回報率。當然,這包括股息。這比五年來34%的年化回報率要好,這意味着該公司最近的表現更好。在最好的情況下,這可能暗示着一些真正的業務勢頭,這意味着現在可能是深入研究的好時機。長期跟蹤股價表現總是很有意思的。但是,爲了更好地了解黑石,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。比如風險。每家公司都有它們,我們發現了黑石集團的3個警告標誌(其中1個讓我們有點不舒服!)你應該知道。

Blackstone is not the only stock that insiders are buying. For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

黑石集團並不是內部人士唯一買入的股票。對於那些喜歡尋找獲利投資的人來說,這份最近有內幕收購的成長型公司的免費清單可能就是入場券。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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