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CK Hutchison Holdings (HKG:1) Shareholders Have Endured a 34% Loss From Investing in the Stock Five Years Ago

CK Hutchison Holdings (HKG:1) Shareholders Have Endured a 34% Loss From Investing in the Stock Five Years Ago

長江和記控股(HKG:1)股東五年前因投資該股而遭受了34%的虧損
Simply Wall St ·  01/13 19:32

In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But the main game is to find enough winners to more than offset the losers At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in CK Hutchison Holdings Limited (HKG:1), since the last five years saw the share price fall 49%.

爲了證明選擇個股的努力是合理的,值得努力超過市場指數基金的回報。但主要的遊戲是找到足夠的贏家來抵消輸家。此時,一些股東可能會質疑他們對長江和記控股有限公司(HKG:1)的投資,因爲過去五年股價下跌了49%。

It's worthwhile assessing if the company's economics have been moving in lockstep with these underwhelming shareholder returns, or if there is some disparity between the two. So let's do just that.

值得評估公司的經濟是否與這些令人難以置信的股東回報同步發展,或者兩者之間是否存在一些差異。因此,讓我們這樣做吧。

View our latest analysis for CK Hutchison Holdings

查看我們對長江和記控股的最新分析

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

用本傑明·格雷厄姆的話來說:從短期來看,市場是一臺投票機,但從長遠來看,它是一臺稱重機。考慮市場對公司的看法如何變化的一種不完美但簡單的方法是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價變動進行比較。

During the five years over which the share price declined, CK Hutchison Holdings' earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 4.9% each year. Readers should note that the share price has fallen faster than the EPS, at a rate of 12% per year, over the period. So it seems the market was too confident about the business, in the past. The low P/E ratio of 5.41 further reflects this reticence.

在股價下跌的五年中,長江和記控股的每股收益(EPS)每年下降4.9%。讀者應注意,在此期間,股價的下跌速度快於每股收益,每年爲12%。因此,過去市場似乎對該業務過於自信。5.41的低市盈率進一步反映了這種沉默。

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

該公司的每股收益(一段時間內)如下圖所示(點擊查看確切數字)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SEHK:1 Earnings Per Share Growth January 14th 2024
香港交易所:2024年1月14日每股收益增長

It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on CK Hutchison Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

可能值得一看我們關於CK Hutchison Holdings的收益、收入和現金流的免費報告。

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of CK Hutchison Holdings, it has a TSR of -34% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

在考慮投資回報時,重要的是要考慮兩者之間的區別 股東總回報率 (TSR) 和 股價回報。儘管股價回報率僅反映股價的變化,但股東總回報率包括股息的價值(假設已進行再投資)以及任何折扣融資或分拆的收益。可以公平地說,股東總回報率爲支付股息的股票提供了更完整的畫面。就長江和記控股而言,其過去5年的股東總回報率爲-34%。這超過了我們之前提到的其股價回報率。因此,該公司支付的股息提高了 股東回報。

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

While it's never nice to take a loss, CK Hutchison Holdings shareholders can take comfort that , including dividends,their trailing twelve month loss of 12% wasn't as bad as the market loss of around 16%. Given the total loss of 6% per year over five years, it seems returns have deteriorated in the last twelve months. While some investors do well specializing in buying companies that are struggling (but nonetheless undervalued), don't forget that Buffett said that 'turnarounds seldom turn'. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for CK Hutchison Holdings that you should be aware of.

儘管虧損從來都不是一件好事,但CK Hutchison Holdings的股東可以放心,包括股息在內,他們過去十二個月的12個月虧損沒有16%左右的市場虧損那麼嚴重。鑑於五年內每年的總損失爲6%,在過去的十二個月中,回報似乎有所惡化。儘管一些投資者在專門收購陷入困境(但仍被低估)的公司方面表現良好,但不要忘記巴菲特說過 “轉機很少會轉機”。儘管市場狀況可能對股價產生的不同影響值得考慮,但還有其他因素更爲重要。例如,我們已經爲CK Hutchison Holdings確定了兩個警告信號,你應該注意這些信號。

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

當然,通過尋找其他地方,你可能會找到一筆不錯的投資。因此,請看一下我們預計收益將增加的這份免費公司名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報率。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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