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Is Suzhou Sunmun Technology (SZSE:300522) A Risky Investment?

Is Suzhou Sunmun Technology (SZSE:300522) A Risky Investment?

蘇州三門科技(深圳證券交易所股票代碼:300522)是一項風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  01/10 19:47

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Suzhou Sunmun Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300522) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

大衛·伊本說得好,他說:“波動性不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本的永久損失。”因此,當你評估公司的風險時,看來聰明的貨幣知道債務(通常涉及破產)是一個非常重要的因素。與許多其他公司一樣,蘇州三門科技股份有限公司(深圳證券交易所代碼:300522)也使用債務。但是,股東是否應該擔心其債務的使用?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

債務可以幫助企業,直到企業難以償還債務,無論是新資本還是自由現金流。資本主義的組成部分是 “創造性破壞” 過程,在這種過程中,倒閉的企業被銀行家無情地清算。但是,更常見(但仍然令人痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低廉的價格籌集新的股本,從而永久稀釋股東。但是,通過取代稀釋,債務可以成爲需要資本以高回報率投資增長的企業的極好工具。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,要做的第一件事是同時考慮其現金和債務。

See our latest analysis for Suzhou Sunmun Technology

查看我們對蘇州三明科技的最新分析

What Is Suzhou Sunmun Technology's Net Debt?

蘇州三門科技的淨負債是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2023 Suzhou Sunmun Technology had debt of CN¥152.0m, up from CN¥58.0m in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥100.3m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥51.7m.

您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳情,該圖片顯示,截至2023年9月,蘇州三門科技的債務爲1.52億元人民幣,高於一年的5,800萬元人民幣。但是,由於其現金儲備爲1.003億元人民幣,其淨負債較少,約爲5170萬元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:300522 Debt to Equity History January 11th 2024
SZSE: 300522 2024 年 1 月 11 日債務與股本比率的歷史記錄

How Healthy Is Suzhou Sunmun Technology's Balance Sheet?

蘇州申明科技的資產負債表有多健康?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Suzhou Sunmun Technology had liabilities of CN¥222.8m due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥55.0m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥100.3m and CN¥234.7m worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥57.2m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,蘇州三門科技的負債爲2.228億元人民幣,此後到期的負債爲5,500萬元人民幣。另一方面,它有一年內到期的1.003億元現金和價值2.347億元人民幣的應收賬款。因此,它擁有的流動資產可以多出5,720萬元人民幣 負債。

Having regard to Suzhou Sunmun Technology's size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So while it's hard to imagine that the CN¥3.97b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet. Carrying virtually no net debt, Suzhou Sunmun Technology has a very light debt load indeed.

考慮到蘇州三門科技的規模,其流動資產與總負債似乎保持了良好的平衡。因此,儘管很難想象這家39.7億元人民幣的公司正在爲現金而苦苦掙扎,但我們仍然認爲值得監控其資產負債表。蘇州三門科技幾乎沒有淨負債,債務負擔確實很輕。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

爲了擴大公司相對於收益的負債規模,我們計算其淨負債除以其扣除利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA)和其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)除以其利息支出(利息保障)。這種方法的優勢在於,我們既考慮了債務的絕對數量(淨負債佔息稅折舊攤銷前利潤),也考慮了與該債務相關的實際利息支出(及其利息覆蓋率)。

Suzhou Sunmun Technology has a very low debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.1 so it is strange to see weak interest coverage, with last year's EBIT being only 1.6 times the interest expense. So while we're not necessarily alarmed we think that its debt is far from trivial. Shareholders should be aware that Suzhou Sunmun Technology's EBIT was down 88% last year. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Suzhou Sunmun Technology will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

蘇州三門科技的債務與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的比率非常低,爲1.1,因此奇怪的是,利息覆蓋面薄弱,去年的息稅前利潤僅爲利息支出的1.6倍。因此,儘管我們不一定感到震驚,但我們認爲它的債務遠非微不足道。股東們應該意識到,蘇州三門科技的息稅前利潤去年下降了88%。如果這種下降持續下去,那麼償還債務將比在素食大會上出售鵝肝更難。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是你不能完全孤立地看待債務;因爲蘇州森門科技需要收益來償還債務。因此,如果你想進一步了解其收益,可能值得看看這張長期收益趨勢圖。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Suzhou Sunmun Technology saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

最後,公司只能用冷硬現金償還債務,不能用會計利潤償還債務。因此,我們總是檢查息稅前利潤中有多少轉化爲自由現金流。在過去的三年中,蘇州三門科技總共出現了可觀的負自由現金流。儘管這可能是增長支出的結果,但它確實使債務風險大大增加。

Our View

我們的觀點

On the face of it, Suzhou Sunmun Technology's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its EBIT growth rate was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its net debt to EBITDA is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Overall, we think it's fair to say that Suzhou Sunmun Technology has enough debt that there are some real risks around the balance sheet. If everything goes well that may pay off but the downside of this debt is a greater risk of permanent losses. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 5 warning signs for Suzhou Sunmun Technology (2 are significant) you should be aware of.

從表面上看,蘇州三門科技將息稅前利潤轉換爲自由現金流使我們對該股持初步看法,其息稅前利潤增長率並不比一年中最繁忙的夜晚那家空蕩蕩的餐廳更具吸引力。但好的一面是,其淨負債佔息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的比例是一個好兆頭,也使我們更加樂觀。總體而言,我們認爲可以公平地說,蘇州三門科技有足夠的債務,資產負債表周圍存在一些實際風險。如果一切順利,可能會得到回報,但這筆債務的不利之處是永久損失的風險更大。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。例如,我們已經確定了蘇州森門科技的5個警告信號(2個很重要),你應該注意。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

畢竟,如果你對一家資產負債表堅如磐石的快速成長型公司更感興趣,那麼請立即查看我們的淨現金增長股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。

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