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Quiet Wednesday, Explosive Thursday? The SPY Consolidates Ahead Of Key Inflation Data

Quiet Wednesday, Explosive Thursday? The SPY Consolidates Ahead Of Key Inflation Data

安靜的星期三,爆炸性的星期四?SPY在關鍵通貨膨脹數據公佈之前盤整
Benzinga ·  01/10 13:10

The SPDR S&P 500 (NYSE:SPY) was inching slightly higher Wednesday, continuing to consolidate Monday's 1.43% surge, which was driven by consumer inflation expectations hitting a 2-year low.

SPDR標準普爾500指數(紐約證券交易所代碼:SPY)週三小幅走高,繼續鞏固週一1.43%的漲幅,這受消費者通脹預期觸及2年低點的推動。

While bulls came in to by Tuesday's slight dip, the intraday tick higher on Wednesday morning took place on lower-than-average volume, indicating a current lack of momentum.

儘管多頭在週二的小幅下跌時進入了市場,但週三上午盤中走高是由於交易量低於平均水平,這表明目前缺乏動力。

Whether or not the market will continue higher imminently or continue to trade sideways remains to be seen, but the SPY is flashing bullish signals on the daily chart, while trading just under the Jan. 4. 2022 all-time high of $479.98. The ultimate outcome is likely to be seen on Thursday when fresh US consumer inflation data is set to print at 8:30 a.m. EST.

市場是否會繼續走高或繼續橫盤整理還有待觀察,但SPY在日線圖上閃出看漲信號,而交易價格略低於2022年1月4日的歷史高點479.98美元。最終結果可能會在週四公佈,屆時美國東部標準時間上午 8:30 將公佈新的美國消費者通脹數據。

Must Read: December Inflation Preview: What Will It Take To Trigger A Fed Rate Cut In Q1 2024?

必讀:12月通脹預覽:在2024年第一季度觸發美聯儲降息需要什麼?

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More experienced traders who wish to play the SPY either bullishly or bearishly may choose to do so through one of two Direxion ETFs. Bullish traders can enter a short-term position in Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X Shares (NYSE:SPXL) and bearish traders can trade the inverse ETF, Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (NYSE:SPXS).

希望看漲或看跌的更有經驗的交易者可以選擇通過兩隻Direxion ETF中的一隻來進行SPY。看漲的交易者可以進入Direxion Daily標準普爾500指數牛市3X股票(紐約證券交易所代碼:SPXL)的短期頭寸,看跌的交易者可以交易反向ETF,即Direxion Daily標普500指數熊3X股票(紐約證券交易所代碼:SPXS)。

The ETFs: SPXL and SPXS are triple leveraged funds that track the movement of the SPY, seeking a return of 300% or –300% on the return of the benchmark index over a single day.

ETF:SPXL和SPXS是追蹤SPY走勢的三重槓桿基金,尋求基準指數單日回報率的300%或—300%的回報率。

It should be noted that leveraged ETFs are meant to be used as a trading vehicle as opposed to long-term investments.

應該注意的是,槓桿ETF旨在用作交易工具,而不是長期投資。

Want direct analysis? Find me in the BZ Pro lounge! Click here for a free trial.

想要直接分析?在 BZ Pro 休息室找我!點擊此處免費試用。

The SPXL Chart: While SPXL negated its uptrend on Jan. 5 by forming a lower low, the ETF regained the eight-day exponential moving average on Monday and on Tuesday, SPXL printed an inside bar pattern. The inside bar leans bullish for continuation higher because Tuesday's candle was created near the top of Monday's trading range.

SPXL圖表:儘管SPXL在1月5日跌至較低的低點,從而抵消了上漲趨勢,但該ETF在週一收復了八天指數移動平均線,週二SPXL公佈了內線條形態。由於週二的蠟燭是在週一交易區間頂部附近形成的,內部柱線傾向於看漲,有望繼續走高。

  • On Wednesday, SPXL was attempting to break bullishly from Monday's mother bar but on low volume, which could indicate further consolidation is needed. If consolidation continues through Wednesday, a larger move higher is likely to come if the market reacts positively to Thursday's data.
  • If the market reacts negatively and SPXL falls on Thursday, Wednesday's high-of-day will serve as a lower high, which will confirm a new downtrend. If that happens, SPXL is likely to fall under the 21-day EMA, which would be a warning sign for short-term traders.
  • SPXL has resistance above at $106.80 and at $114.04 and support below at $99.21 and at $94.43.
  • 週三,SPXL試圖從週一的母線上看漲,但交易量不大,這可能表明需要進一步整合。如果盤整持續到週三,如果市場對週四的數據反應積極,則可能會出現更大的上漲。
  • 如果市場做出負面反應,SPXL在週四下跌,則週三的高點將作爲較低的高點,這將證實新的下跌趨勢。如果發生這種情況,SPXL可能會跌破21天均線,這將是短期交易者的警告信號。
  • SPXL的阻力位於106.80美元和114.04美元上方,支撐位下方爲99.21美元和94.43美元。

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Featured image sourced from Shutterstock

精選圖片來自 Shutterstock

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