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The 12% Return This Week Takes Sun Hung Kai's (HKG:86) Shareholders Five-year Gains to 2.2%

The 12% Return This Week Takes Sun Hung Kai's (HKG:86) Shareholders Five-year Gains to 2.2%

本週12%的回報率使新鴻基(HKG: 86)股東的五年收益達到2.2%
Simply Wall St ·  01/02 18:11

It's nice to see the Sun Hung Kai & Co. Limited (HKG:86) share price up 12% in a week. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last five years have been less than pleasing. After all, the share price is down 31% in that time, significantly under-performing the market.

很高興見到新鴻基公司。限量版(HKG: 86)股價在一週內上漲了12%。但這並不能改變這樣一個事實,即過去五年的回報並不令人滿意。畢竟,當時股價下跌了31%,表現大大低於市場。

While the last five years has been tough for Sun Hung Kai shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.

儘管過去五年對新鴻基股東來說是艱難的,但過去一週顯示出希望的跡象。因此,讓我們來看看長期基本面,看看它們是否是負回報的驅動力。

Check out our latest analysis for Sun Hung Kai

查看我們對新鴻基的最新分析

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

儘管一些人繼續教導高效市場假說,但事實證明,市場是反應過度的動態系統,投資者並不總是理性的。考慮市場對公司的看法如何變化的一種不完美但簡單的方法是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價變動進行比較。

Sun Hung Kai has made a profit in the past. However, it made a loss in the last twelve months, suggesting profit may be an unreliable metric at this stage. Other metrics may better explain the share price move.

新鴻基過去曾盈利。但是,它在過去十二個月中出現了虧損,這表明現階段的利潤可能是一個不可靠的指標。其他指標可以更好地解釋股價走勢。

The steady dividend doesn't really explain why the share price is down. It's not immediately clear to us why the stock price is down but further research might provide some answers.

穩定的股息並不能真正解釋股價下跌的原因。我們目前尚不清楚爲什麼股價下跌,但進一步的研究可能會提供一些答案。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下圖顯示了收入和收入在一段時間內的跟蹤情況(如果你點擊圖片,你可以看到更多的細節)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:86 Earnings and Revenue Growth January 2nd 2024
SEHK: 86 2024年1月2日收益及收入增長

It's probably worth noting we've seen significant insider buying in the last quarter, which we consider a positive. That said, we think earnings and revenue growth trends are even more important factors to consider. If you are thinking of buying or selling Sun Hung Kai stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

可能值得注意的是,我們在上個季度看到了大量的內幕買盤,我們認爲這是積極的。話雖如此,我們認爲收益和收入增長趨勢是更重要的考慮因素。如果您正在考慮買入或賣出新鴻基股票,則應查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Sun Hung Kai the TSR over the last 5 years was 2.2%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的股東總回報率和股價回報率。基於股息再投資的假設,股東總回報率納入了任何分拆或貼現資本籌集的價值以及任何股息。可以說,股東總回報率更全面地描述了股票產生的回報。我們注意到,對於新鴻基而言,過去5年的股東總回報率爲2.2%,好於上述股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧是沒有好處的!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

While it's certainly disappointing to see that Sun Hung Kai shares lost 7.6% throughout the year, that wasn't as bad as the market loss of 8.9%. Of course, the long term returns are far more important and the good news is that over five years, the stock has returned 0.4% for each year. It could be that the business is just facing some short term problems, but shareholders should keep a close eye on the fundamentals. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Sun Hung Kai better, we need to consider many other factors. Even so, be aware that Sun Hung Kai is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

儘管看到新鴻基股價全年下跌7.6%肯定令人失望,但這還不如8.9%的市場跌幅那麼糟糕。當然,長期回報要重要得多,好消息是,在過去的五年中,該股每年的回報率爲0.4%。可能是該企業正面臨一些短期問題,但股東應密切關注基本面。長期跟蹤股價表現總是很有意思的。但是,爲了更好地了解新鴻基,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。即便如此,請注意,新鴻基在我們的投資分析中顯示了1個警告信號,您應該知道...

Sun Hung Kai is not the only stock that insiders are buying. For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

新鴻基並不是內部人士唯一買入的股票。對於那些喜歡尋找獲利投資的人來說,這份最近有內幕收購的成長型公司的免費清單可能就是入場券。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報率。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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