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Some Shenyang Commercial City Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600306) Shareholders Look For Exit As Shares Take 25% Pounding

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 26, 2023 18:09

Shenyang Commercial City Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600306) shares have had a horrible month, losing 25% after a relatively good period beforehand. Longer-term shareholders would now have taken a real hit with the stock declining 5.7% in the last year.

Although its price has dipped substantially, given around half the companies in China's Multiline Retail industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.9x, you may still consider Shenyang Commercial CityLtd as a stock to avoid entirely with its 20.4x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

View our latest analysis for Shenyang Commercial CityLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600306 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 26th 2023

What Does Shenyang Commercial CityLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent times have been quite advantageous for Shenyang Commercial CityLtd as its revenue has been rising very briskly. It seems that many are expecting the strong revenue performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shenyang Commercial CityLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Shenyang Commercial CityLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 37% gain to the company's top line. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year revenue frustratingly shrank by 55% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 75% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this information, we find it concerning that Shenyang Commercial CityLtd is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Shenyang Commercial CityLtd's P/S

A significant share price dive has done very little to deflate Shenyang Commercial CityLtd's very lofty P/S. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Shenyang Commercial CityLtd revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 5 warning signs with Shenyang Commercial CityLtd, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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