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Yau Lee Holdings' (HKG:406) Solid Profits Have Weak Fundamentals

Yau Lee Holdings' (HKG:406) Solid Profits Have Weak Fundamentals

友利控股 (HKG: 406) 穩健的利潤基本面疲軟
Simply Wall St ·  2023/12/19 18:35

Yau Lee Holdings Limited's (HKG:406) robust earnings report didn't manage to move the market for its stock. Our analysis suggests that this might be because shareholders have noticed some concerning underlying factors.

友利控股有限公司(HKG: 406)強勁的收益報告未能推動其股票的市場。我們的分析表明,這可能是因爲股東已經注意到了一些相關的潛在因素。

See our latest analysis for Yau Lee Holdings

查看我們對友利控股的最新分析

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:406 Earnings and Revenue History December 19th 2023
SEHK: 406 2023 年 12 月 19 日的收益和收入記錄

Zooming In On Yau Lee Holdings' Earnings

放大友利控股的收益

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

用於衡量公司將其利潤轉化爲自由現金流(FCF)的效果的一個關鍵財務比率是應計比率。爲了獲得應計比率,我們首先從一段時間內的利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以該期間的平均運營資產。你可以將現金流的應計比率視爲 “非FCF利潤率”。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

這意味着負應計比率是一件好事,因爲它表明該公司帶來的自由現金流比其利潤所暗示的還要多。儘管應計比率爲正並不是問題,表明非現金利潤達到一定水平,但高應計比率可以說是一件壞事,因爲它表明票面利潤與現金流不匹配。值得注意的是,有一些學術證據表明,一般而言,高應計比率對短期利潤來說是個壞兆頭。

Over the twelve months to September 2023, Yau Lee Holdings recorded an accrual ratio of 0.21. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow fell significantly short of its reported profits. Even though it reported a profit of HK$65.5m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through HK$404m in the last year. We saw that FCF was HK$111m a year ago though, so Yau Lee Holdings has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past. One positive for Yau Lee Holdings shareholders is that it's accrual ratio was significantly better last year, providing reason to believe that it may return to stronger cash conversion in the future. Shareholders should look for improved cashflow relative to profit in the current year, if that is indeed the case.

在截至2023年9月的十二個月中,友利控股的應計比率爲0.21。不幸的是,這意味着其自由現金流遠低於其報告的利潤。儘管該公司報告了6,550萬港元的利潤,但從自由現金流來看,它實際上在去年消耗了4.04億港元。但是,我們看到一年前的FCF爲1.11億港元,因此友利控股過去至少能夠產生正的FCF。對友利控股股東來說,一個積極因素是,去年的應計比率明顯改善,這使我們有理由相信它未來可能會恢復更強勁的現金轉換。如果確實如此,股東應尋求在本年度的現金流相對於利潤的改善。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Yau Lee Holdings.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對友利控股的資產負債表分析。

Our Take On Yau Lee Holdings' Profit Performance

我們對友利控股盈利表現的看法

Yau Lee Holdings' accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Because of this, we think that it may be that Yau Lee Holdings' statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. But on the bright side, its earnings per share have grown at an extremely impressive rate over the last three years. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Yau Lee Holdings at this point in time. When we did our research, we found 4 warning signs for Yau Lee Holdings (2 are a bit concerning!) that we believe deserve your full attention.

友利控股過去十二個月的應計比率表明現金轉換率不理想,就我們對收益的看法而言,這是負數。因此,我們認爲友利控股的法定利潤可能好於其基礎盈利能力。但好的一面是,其每股收益在過去三年中以極其驚人的速度增長。歸根結底,如果你想正確地了解公司,必須考慮的不僅僅是上述因素。因此,儘管收益質量很重要,但考慮友利控股目前面臨的風險同樣重要。當我們進行研究時,我們發現了友利控股的4個警告信號(2個有點令人擔憂!)我們認爲值得你全神貫注。

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Yau Lee Holdings' profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

這份報告只考慮了揭示友利控股利潤性質的單一因素。但是,還有很多其他方法可以讓你對公司的看法。有些人認爲高股本回報率是優質業務的好兆頭。雖然可能需要你進行一些研究,但你可能會發現這份免費收集的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單很有用。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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