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Why Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings' (HKG:2682) Soft Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Why Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings' (HKG:2682) Soft Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

爲什麼 Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings (HKG: 2682) 的疲軟收益僅僅是問題的開始
Simply Wall St ·  2023/12/19 18:08

Shareholders didn't appear too concerned by Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings Limited's (HKG:2682) weak earnings. Our analysis suggests that they may be missing some concerning details underlying the profit numbers.

股東們似乎對潤利海事集團控股有限公司(HKG: 2682)的疲軟收益並不太擔心。我們的分析表明,他們可能遺漏了一些構成利潤數字的相關細節。

See our latest analysis for Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings

查看我們對潤利海事集團控股的最新分析

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:2682 Earnings and Revenue History December 19th 2023
SEHK: 2682 2023 年 12 月 19 日的收益和收入記錄

A Closer Look At Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings' Earnings

仔細看看潤利海事集團控股的收益

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

用於衡量公司將其利潤轉化爲自由現金流(FCF)的效果的一個關鍵財務比率是應計比率。應計比率從給定時期的利潤中減去FCF,然後將結果除以公司在該時期內的平均運營資產。你可以將現金流的應計比率視爲 “非FCF利潤率”。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,負應計比率對公司來說是正數,正應計比率是負數。這並不意味着我們應該擔心應計比率爲正,但值得注意的是,應計比率相當高的地方。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年發表的一篇論文,“應計額較高的公司未來的利潤往往較低”。

Over the twelve months to September 2023, Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings recorded an accrual ratio of 0.30. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, raising questions about how useful that profit figure really is. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of HK$7.4m despite its profit of HK$41.0m, mentioned above. It's worth noting that Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings generated positive FCF of HK$62m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio. One positive for Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings shareholders is that it's accrual ratio was significantly better last year, providing reason to believe that it may return to stronger cash conversion in the future. As a result, some shareholders may be looking for stronger cash conversion in the current year.

在截至2023年9月的十二個月中,潤利海事集團控股的應計比率爲0.30。因此,我們知道它的自由現金流大大低於其法定利潤,這引發了人們對該利潤數字到底有多有用的質疑。在過去的十二個月裏,它實際上有 負面的 自由現金流,儘管利潤爲4,100萬港元,但流出740萬港元,如上所述。值得注意的是,運利海事集團控股公司一年前創造了6200萬港元的正FCF,因此至少他們過去曾這樣做過。話雖如此,故事還有更多。我們可以看到,不尋常的項目影響了其法定利潤,從而影響了應計比率。對Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings股東來說,一個積極因素是,去年的應計比率明顯改善,這使人們有理由相信其未來可能會恢復更強勁的現金轉換。因此,一些股東可能希望在本年度實現更強的現金轉換。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對雲利海事集團控股公司的資產負債表分析。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

不尋常物品對利潤的影響

Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings' profit was boosted by unusual items worth HK$12m in the last twelve months. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. We can see that Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings' positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to September 2023. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.

考慮到應計比率,在過去十二個月中,價值1200萬港元的不尋常項目提振了潤利海事集團控股的利潤也就不足爲奇了。我們不能否認更高的利潤通常會讓我們感到樂觀,但如果利潤是可持續的,我們更願意這樣做。當我們計算數千家上市公司的數字時,我們發現,特定年份中不尋常的項目所帶來的提振通常不會在第二年重演。而且,畢竟,這正是會計術語的含義。我們可以看到,截至2023年9月的一年中,潤利海事集團控股的正面不尋常項目相對於其利潤相當可觀。在其他條件相同的情況下,這可能會使法定利潤成爲衡量潛在盈利能力的不良指導。

Our Take On Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings' Profit Performance

我們對利潤海事集團控股公司盈利表現的看法

Summing up, Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings received a nice boost to profit from unusual items, but could not match its paper profit with free cash flow. Considering all this we'd argue Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings' profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings (of which 1 is significant!) you should know about.

總而言之,Yun Lee Marine Group Holdings從不尋常的物品中獲得了不錯的利潤提振,但其紙面利潤無法與自由現金流相提並論。考慮到所有這些,我們認爲潤利海事集團控股公司的利潤可能給人一種對其可持續盈利水平的過於慷慨的印象。考慮到這一點,除非我們對風險有透徹的了解,否則我們不會考慮投資股票。每家公司都有風險,我們已經發現了潤利海事集團控股公司的3個警告信號(其中1個很重要!)你應該知道。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

在這篇文章中,我們研究了許多可能損害利潤數字效用的因素,我們採取了謹慎的態度。但是,如果你能夠將注意力集中在細節上,總會有更多的事情需要發現。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率是有利的商業經濟的標誌,而另一些人則喜歡 “關注資金”,尋找內部人士正在買入的股票。雖然可能需要你進行一些研究,但你可能會發現這份免費收集的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。

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