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Is Huasheng International Holding (HKG:1323) A Risky Investment?

Is Huasheng International Holding (HKG:1323) A Risky Investment?

華生國際控股(HKG: 1323)是一項風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/12/14 17:06

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Huasheng International Holding Limited (HKG:1323) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

由伯克希爾·哈撒韋公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李露對此毫不掩飾,他說:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”當我們思考一家公司的風險有多大時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。與許多其他公司一樣,華勝國際控股有限公司(HKG: 1323)也使用債務。但是,股東是否應該擔心其債務的使用?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時危險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業發展的工具,但如果企業無法還清貸款人,那麼債務就任由他們擺佈。資本主義的重要組成部分是 “創造性破壞” 的過程,在這個過程中,倒閉的企業將被銀行家無情地清算。但是,更常見(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,以支撐其資產負債表。話雖如此,最常見的情況是公司合理地管理其債務,並從自己的利益出發。考慮公司的債務水平時,第一步是將其現金和債務放在一起考慮。

View our latest analysis for Huasheng International Holding

查看我們對華勝國際控股的最新分析

How Much Debt Does Huasheng International Holding Carry?

華勝國際控股揹負了多少債務?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2023 Huasheng International Holding had HK$356.6m of debt, an increase on HK$320.4m, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of HK$60.9m, its net debt is less, at about HK$295.6m.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示,截至2023年9月,華勝國際控股在一年內有3.566億港元的債務,比3.204億港元有所增加。但是,由於其現金儲備爲6,090萬港元,其淨負債較少,約爲2.956億港元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1323 Debt to Equity History December 14th 2023
SEHK: 1323 2023 年 12 月 14 日債務與股本比率的歷史記錄

A Look At Huasheng International Holding's Liabilities

看看華勝國際控股的負債

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Huasheng International Holding had liabilities of HK$569.4m falling due within a year, and liabilities of HK$223.3m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of HK$60.9m and HK$917.7m worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast HK$185.9m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看出,華升國際控股的負債爲5.694億港元,一年後到期的負債爲2.233億港元。另一方面,它有6,090萬港元的現金和價值9.177億港元的應收賬款在一年內到期。因此,它擁有的流動資產可以多出1.859億港元 負債。

This excess liquidity is a great indication that Huasheng International Holding's balance sheet is almost as strong as Fort Knox. With this in mind one could posit that its balance sheet means the company is able to handle some adversity.

這種過剩的流動性很好地表明華升國際控股的資產負債表幾乎和諾克斯堡一樣強勁。考慮到這一點,人們可能會認爲其資產負債表意味着公司能夠應對一些逆境。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

我們使用兩個主要比率來告知我們相對於收益的債務水平。第一個是淨負債除以未計利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA),第二個是其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)彌補其利息支出(或簡稱利息保障)的多少倍。這種方法的優勢在於,我們既考慮了債務的絕對數量(淨負債與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤之比),也考慮了與該債務相關的實際利息支出(及其利息覆蓋率)。

Huasheng International Holding's debt is 3.6 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 3.7 times over. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. However, one redeeming factor is that Huasheng International Holding grew its EBIT at 19% over the last 12 months, boosting its ability to handle its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Huasheng International Holding will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

華升國際控股的債務是其息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的3.6倍,其息稅前利潤支付了3.7倍的利息支出。綜上所述,這意味着,儘管我們不希望債務水平上升,但我們認爲它可以承受目前的槓桿率。但是,一個贖回因素是,華升國際控股在過去12個月中將其息稅前利潤增長了19%,增強了其處理債務的能力。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是你不能完全孤立地看待債務;因爲華勝國際控股需要收益來償還債務。因此,在考慮債務時,絕對值得一看收益趨勢。單擊此處查看交互式快照。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Huasheng International Holding burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

但是我們最終的考慮因素也很重要,因爲公司無法用紙面利潤來償還債務;它需要冷硬現金。因此,我們總是檢查息稅前利潤中有多少轉化爲自由現金流。在過去的三年中,華勝國際控股燒燬了大量現金。儘管這可能是增長支出的結果,但它確實使債務風險大大增加。

Our View

我們的觀點

Huasheng International Holding's level of total liabilities suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But we must concede we find its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow has the opposite effect. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that Huasheng International Holding can handle its debt fairly comfortably. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Huasheng International Holding has 4 warning signs (and 2 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.

華升國際控股的總負債水平表明,它可以像克里斯蒂亞諾·羅納爾多在對陣14歲以下的守門員時進球一樣輕鬆地處理債務。但是我們必須承認,我們發現其將息稅前利潤轉換爲自由現金流會產生相反的效果。綜合上述所有因素,令我們震驚的是,華勝國際控股能夠相當輕鬆地處理債務。當然,儘管這種槓桿可以提高股本回報率,但它確實帶來了更多的風險,因此值得關注。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。例如,華升國際控股有4個警告標誌(其中2個不容忽視),我們認爲你應該知道。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有興趣投資能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增加利潤的企業,請查看這份資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業的免費清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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