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Is Mercury Systems (NASDAQ:MRCY) A Risky Investment?

Is Mercury Systems (NASDAQ:MRCY) A Risky Investment?

水星系統(納斯達克股票代碼:MRCY)是一項風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/12/13 12:50

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Mercury Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:MRCY) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

傳奇基金經理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾經說過:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”因此,很明顯,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,你需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務會使公司陷入困境。我們注意到,水星系統公司(納斯達克股票代碼:MRCY)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但是這筆債務是股東關心的問題嗎?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務會帶來什麼風險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但是如果企業無法償還貸款人的債務,那麼債務就會任由他們擺佈。資本主義的重要組成部分是 “創造性破壞” 過程,在這種過程中,倒閉的企業被銀行家無情地清算。儘管這種情況並不常見,但我們經常看到負債累累的公司會永久稀釋股東,因爲貸款機構迫使他們以不利的價格籌集資金。話雖如此,最常見的情況是公司合理地很好地管理債務,而且有利於自己的利益。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,要做的第一件事就是綜合考慮其現金和債務。

Check out our latest analysis for Mercury Systems

查看我們對 Mercury Systems 的最新分析

What Is Mercury Systems's Net Debt?

水星系統的淨負債是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2023 Mercury Systems had US$578.0m of debt, an increase on US$511.5m, over one year. However, it does have US$89.4m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$488.7m.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示,截至2023年9月,水星系統在一年內有5.78億美元的債務,比5.115億美元增加了5.115億美元。但是,它確實有8,940萬美元的現金抵消了這一點,導致淨負債約爲4.887億美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:MRCY Debt to Equity History December 13th 2023
納斯達克證券交易所:MRCY 債轉股歷史記錄 2023 年 12 月 13 日

A Look At Mercury Systems' Liabilities

看看水星系統的負債

According to the last reported balance sheet, Mercury Systems had liabilities of US$205.3m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$654.6m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had US$89.4m in cash and US$480.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$290.6m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

根據上次報告的資產負債表,水星系統的負債爲2.053億美元,12個月後到期的負債爲6.546億美元。抵消這一點的是,它有8,940萬美元的現金和4.80億美元的應收賬款,這些應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總和高出2.906億美元。

Of course, Mercury Systems has a market capitalization of US$2.25b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Mercury Systems can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

當然,水星系統的市值爲22.5億美元,因此這些負債可能是可以控制的。話雖如此,很明顯,我們應該繼續監控其資產負債表,以免情況變得更糟。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是起點。但最終,該業務的未來盈利能力將決定水星系統能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果你專注於未來,你可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

Over 12 months, Mercury Systems made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to US$927m, which is a fall of 6.4%. We would much prefer see growth.

在過去的12個月中,Mercury Systems在息稅前利潤水平上出現虧損,收入下降至9.27億美元,下降6.4%。我們更希望看到增長。

Caveat Emptor

Caveat Emptor

Over the last twelve months Mercury Systems produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Indeed, it lost US$33m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through US$34m of cash over the last year. So to be blunt we think it is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 1 warning sign with Mercury Systems , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

在過去的十二個月中,水星系統產生了利息和稅前收益(EBIT)虧損。事實上,它在息稅前利潤水平上損失了3,300萬美元。考慮到除了上述負債外,我們對公司應該使用如此多的債務沒有太大信心。坦率地說,我們認爲資產負債表遠非匹配,儘管隨着時間的推移可能會有所改善。但是,它在去年消耗了3400萬美元的現金,這無濟於事。因此,坦率地說,我們認爲這是有風險的。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中——遠非如此。我們已經發現了 Mercury Systems 的 1 個警告信號,了解它們應該成爲您投資過程的一部分。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

歸根結底,通常最好將注意力集中在沒有淨負債的公司身上。您可以訪問我們的此類公司的特別名單(所有公司都有利潤增長記錄)。它是免費的。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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