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Investors in Sun Hung Kai Properties (HKG:16) Have Unfortunately Lost 12% Over the Last Five Years

Investors in Sun Hung Kai Properties (HKG:16) Have Unfortunately Lost 12% Over the Last Five Years

不幸的是,新鴻基地產(HKG: 16)的投資者在過去五年中損失了12%
Simply Wall St ·  2023/12/12 20:46

In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But even the best stock picker will only win with some selections. At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited (HKG:16), since the last five years saw the share price fall 31%. We also note that the stock has performed poorly over the last year, with the share price down 27%.

爲了證明選擇個股的努力是合理的,值得努力超越市場指數基金的回報。但是,即使是最好的選股者也只能通過以下方式獲勝 一些 選擇。此時,一些股東可能會質疑他們對新鴻基地產有限公司(HKG:16)的投資,因爲在過去五年中,股價下跌了31%。我們還注意到,該股去年表現不佳,股價下跌了27%。

Since shareholders are down over the longer term, lets look at the underlying fundamentals over the that time and see if they've been consistent with returns.

由於從長遠來看,股東會下跌,讓我們來看看那段時間的潛在基本面,看看它們與回報是否一致。

See our latest analysis for Sun Hung Kai Properties

查看我們對新鴻基地產的最新分析

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

在他的文章中 格雷厄姆和多茲維爾的超級投資者 沃倫·巴菲特描述了股價如何並不總是合理地反映企業的價值。考慮市場對公司的看法發生了怎樣的變化的一種不完美但簡單的方法是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價走勢進行比較。

Looking back five years, both Sun Hung Kai Properties' share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 14% per year. The share price decline of 7% per year isn't as bad as the EPS decline. So the market may previously have expected a drop, or else it expects the situation will improve.

回顧五年,新鴻基地產的股價和每股收益均下跌;後者以每年14%的速度下降。每年 7% 的股價下跌並不像每股收益的下降那麼嚴重。因此,市場此前可能預計會下跌,否則預計情況會有所改善。

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

該公司的每股收益(隨着時間的推移)如下圖所示(點擊查看確切數字)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SEHK:16 Earnings Per Share Growth December 13th 2023
香港交易所:16 每股收益增長 2023 年 12 月 13 日

We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. This free interactive report on Sun Hung Kai Properties' earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

我們很高興地向大家報告,首席執行官的薪酬比資本狀況相似的公司的大多數首席執行官更適中。但是,儘管首席執行官的薪酬總是值得檢查的,但真正重要的問題是公司未來能否增加收益。如果你想進一步調查新鴻基地產的收益、收入和現金流,這份關於新鴻基地產的收益、收入和現金流的免費互動報告是一個不錯的起點。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, Sun Hung Kai Properties' TSR for the last 5 years was -12%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

除了衡量股價回報外,投資者還應考慮股東總回報(TSR)。股東總回報率是一種回報計算方法,它考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何股息已被再投資)以及任何貼現資本籌集和分拆的計算價值。可以公平地說,股東總回報率爲支付股息的股票提供了更完整的畫面。碰巧的是,新鴻基地產過去5年的股東總回報率爲-12%,超過了前面提到的股價回報率。因此,該公司支付的股息促進了 股東回報。

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

While the broader market lost about 9.9% in the twelve months, Sun Hung Kai Properties shareholders did even worse, losing 23% (even including dividends). However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 2% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. Keeping this in mind, a solid next step might be to take a look at Sun Hung Kai Properties' dividend track record. This free interactive graph is a great place to start.

儘管大盤在過去十二個月中下跌了約9.9%,但新鴻基地產的股東表現更差,損失了23%(甚至包括股息)。但是,可能僅僅是股價受到了更廣泛的市場緊張情緒的影響。如果有很好的機會,可能值得關注基本面。令人遺憾的是,去年的業績結束了糟糕的表現,股東們在五年內每年面臨2%的總虧損。總的來說,長期股價疲軟可能是一個壞兆頭,儘管逆勢投資者可能希望研究該股,希望出現轉機。考慮到這一點,下一步可能是看看新鴻基地產的股息記錄。這個免費的交互式圖表是一個不錯的起點。

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

對於那些喜歡尋找中獎投資的人來說,這份最近有內幕收購的成長型公司的免費名單可能只是門票。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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