share_log

The Past Year for Postal Savings Bank of China (HKG:1658) Investors Has Not Been Profitable

The Past Year for Postal Savings Bank of China (HKG:1658) Investors Has Not Been Profitable

過去一年,中國郵政儲蓄銀行(HKG: 1658)的投資者沒有盈利
Simply Wall St ·  2023/12/07 21:48

It's easy to match the overall market return by buying an index fund. While individual stocks can be big winners, plenty more fail to generate satisfactory returns. For example, the Postal Savings Bank of China Co., Ltd. (HKG:1658) share price is down 23% in the last year. That falls noticeably short of the market decline of around 5.6%. However, the longer term returns haven't been so bad, with the stock down 17% in the last three years.

通過購買指數基金,很容易匹配整體市場回報。儘管個股可能成爲大贏家,但更多股票卻無法產生令人滿意的回報。例如,中國郵政儲蓄銀行股份有限公司(HKG:1658)的股價在去年下跌了23%。這明顯低於約5.6%的市場跌幅。但是,長期回報並沒有那麼糟糕,該股在過去三年中下跌了17%。

Since shareholders are down over the longer term, lets look at the underlying fundamentals over the that time and see if they've been consistent with returns.

由於從長遠來看,股東會下跌,讓我們來看看那段時間的潛在基本面,看看它們與回報是否一致。

View our latest analysis for Postal Savings Bank of China

查看我們對中國郵政儲蓄銀行的最新分析

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

引用巴菲特的話說:“船隻將在世界各地航行,但Flat Earth Society將蓬勃發展。市場上的價格和價值之間將繼續存在巨大差異...”考慮市場對公司的看法發生了怎樣的變化的一種不完美但簡單的方法是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價走勢進行比較。

Unhappily, Postal Savings Bank of China had to report a 1.8% decline in EPS over the last year. This reduction in EPS is not as bad as the 23% share price fall. Unsurprisingly, given the lack of EPS growth, the market seems to be more cautious about the stock. The less favorable sentiment is reflected in its current P/E ratio of 3.99.

不幸的是,中國郵政儲蓄銀行不得不報告去年每股收益下降了1.8%。每股收益的下降並不像23%的股價下跌那麼嚴重。毫不奇怪,鑑於每股收益增長乏力,市場似乎對該股更加謹慎。不太樂觀的情緒反映在其目前的市盈率爲3.99上。

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

您可以在下圖中看到 EPS 隨時間推移的變化(點擊圖表查看確切值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SEHK:1658 Earnings Per Share Growth December 8th 2023
香港交易所:1658 每股收益增長 2023 年 12 月 8 日

Dive deeper into Postal Savings Bank of China's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Postal Savings Bank of China's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

查看這張中國郵政儲蓄銀行收益、收入和現金流的交互式圖表,深入了解中國郵政儲蓄銀行的關鍵指標。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Postal Savings Bank of China, it has a TSR of -19% for the last 1 year. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

除了衡量股價回報外,投資者還應考慮股東總回報(TSR)。股東總回報率是一種回報計算方法,它考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何股息已被再投資)以及任何貼現資本籌集和分拆的計算價值。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來說,股東總回報率通常遠高於股價回報。就中國郵政儲蓄銀行而言,其過去1年的股東總回報率爲-19%。這超過了我們之前提到的股價回報率。因此,該公司支付的股息促進了 股東回報。

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

We regret to report that Postal Savings Bank of China shareholders are down 19% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 5.6%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 0.2% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Postal Savings Bank of China better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Postal Savings Bank of China that you should be aware of.

我們遺憾地報告,中國郵政儲蓄銀行的股東今年下降了19%(包括股息)。不幸的是,這比大盤下跌5.6%還要嚴重。但是,可能僅僅是股價受到了更廣泛的市場緊張情緒的影響。如果有很好的機會,可能值得關注基本面。好的一面是,長期股東已經賺了錢,在過去的五年中,每年增長0.2%。最近的拋售可能是一個機會,因此可能值得查看基本面數據以尋找長期增長趨勢的跡象。長期跟蹤股價表現總是很有意思的。但是,爲了更好地了解中國郵政儲蓄銀行,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。例如,我們已經爲中國郵政儲蓄銀行確定了兩個警告標誌,你應該注意。

Of course Postal Savings Bank of China may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

當然,中國郵政儲蓄銀行可能不是最值得買入的股票。因此,您可能希望看到這批免費的成長型股票。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論