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Despite Lower Earnings Than a Year Ago, China Development Bank Financial Leasing (HKG:1606) Investors Are up 48% Since Then

Despite Lower Earnings Than a Year Ago, China Development Bank Financial Leasing (HKG:1606) Investors Are up 48% Since Then

儘管收益低於去年同期,但國家開發銀行融資租賃(HKG: 1606)投資者自那時以來仍上漲了48%
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/30 20:40

The China Development Bank Financial Leasing Co., Ltd. (HKG:1606) share price has had a bad week, falling 10%. But looking back over the last year, the returns have actually been rather pleasing! Looking at the full year, the company has easily bested an index fund by gaining 37%.

國家開發銀行融資租賃有限公司(HKG: 1606)的股價表現不佳,下跌了10%。但是回顧過去的一年,回報實際上相當令人滿意!縱觀全年,該公司上漲了37%,輕鬆擊敗了指數基金。

While this past week has detracted from the company's one-year return, let's look at the recent trends of the underlying business and see if the gains have been in alignment.

儘管過去一週減少了公司一年的回報率,但讓我們來看看基礎業務的最新趨勢,看看漲幅是否一致。

View our latest analysis for China Development Bank Financial Leasing

查看我們對國家開發銀行融資租賃的最新分析

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

在他的文章中 格雷厄姆和多茲維爾的超級投資者 沃倫·巴菲特描述了股價如何並不總是合理地反映企業的價值。研究市場情緒如何隨着時間的推移而變化的一種方法是研究公司股價與其每股收益(EPS)之間的相互作用。

During the last year, China Development Bank Financial Leasing actually saw its earnings per share drop 17%.

去年,國家開發銀行融資租賃的每股收益實際上下降了17%。

So we don't think that investors are paying too much attention to EPS. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

因此,我們認爲投資者對每股收益的關注並不過多。由於每股收益的變化似乎與股價的變化無關,因此值得一看其他指標。

We haven't seen China Development Bank Financial Leasing increase dividend payments yet, so the yield probably hasn't helped drive the share higher. Rather, we'd posit that the revenue increase of 8.5% might be more meaningful. Revenue growth often does precede earnings growth, so some investors might be willing to forgo profits today because they have their eyes fixed firmly on the future.

我們還沒有看到國家開發銀行融資租賃增加股息支付,因此收益率可能無助於推動股價上漲。相反,我們認爲8.5%的收入增長可能更有意義。收入增長通常先於收益增長,因此一些投資者可能願意放棄今天的利潤,因爲他們堅定地關注未來。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

公司的收入和收益(隨着時間的推移)如下圖所示(點擊查看確切數字)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:1606 Earnings and Revenue Growth December 1st 2023
香港交易所:1606 2023年12月1日收益和收入增長

Balance sheet strength is crucial. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.

資產負債表的強度至關重要。可能值得一看我們關於其財務狀況如何隨着時間的推移而變化的免費報告。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of China Development Bank Financial Leasing, it has a TSR of 48% for the last 1 year. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

在考慮投資回報時,重要的是要考慮兩者之間的區別 股東總回報 (TSR) 和 股價回報。股東總回報率是一種回報計算方法,它考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何股息已被再投資)以及任何貼現資本籌集和分拆的計算價值。可以公平地說,股東總回報率爲支付股息的股票提供了更完整的畫面。就國家開發銀行融資租賃而言,其過去1年的股東總回報率爲48%。這超過了我們之前提到的股價回報率。這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

It's good to see that China Development Bank Financial Leasing has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 48% in the last twelve months. Of course, that includes the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 7% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with China Development Bank Financial Leasing (including 1 which is concerning) .

很高興看到國家開發銀行融資租賃在過去十二個月中向股東提供了48%的股東總回報率。當然,這包括分紅。由於一年期股東總回報率好於五年期股東總回報(後者爲每年7%),該股的表現似乎在最近有所改善。鑑於股價勢頭仍然強勁,可能值得仔細研究該股,以免錯過機會。儘管值得考慮市場狀況可能對股價產生的不同影響,但還有其他因素更爲重要。爲此,你應該了解我們在國家開發銀行融資租賃中發現的3個警告信號(包括一個令人擔憂的信號)。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果你想看看另一家公司——一家財務狀況可能優異的公司——那麼千萬不要錯過這份已經證明自己可以增加收益的公司的免費名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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