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Health Check: How Prudently Does Konka Group (SZSE:000016) Use Debt?

Health Check: How Prudently Does Konka Group (SZSE:000016) Use Debt?

健康檢查:康佳集團(SZSE:000016)如何謹慎使用債務?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/30 19:37

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Konka Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000016) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

傳奇基金經理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾經說過:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”因此,當你評估公司的風險時,看來聰明的貨幣知道債務(通常涉及破產)是一個非常重要的因素。我們可以看到,康佳集團有限公司(深圳證券交易所:000016)確實在其業務中使用了債務。但真正的問題是這筆債務是否使公司面臨風險。

When Is Debt A Problem?

債務何時會成爲問題?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有當公司無法通過籌集資金或用自己的現金流輕鬆還清債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。最終,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東們可能會一無所獲。儘管這種情況並不常見,但我們經常會看到負債公司永久稀釋股東,因爲貸款人迫使他們以不良价格籌集資金。當然,許多公司使用債務爲增長提供資金,而不會產生任何負面影響。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,要做的第一件事是同時考慮其現金和債務。

Check out our latest analysis for Konka Group

查看我們對康佳集團的最新分析

How Much Debt Does Konka Group Carry?

康佳集團揹負了多少債務?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Konka Group had CN¥22.7b in debt in September 2023; about the same as the year before. On the flip side, it has CN¥6.81b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥15.8b.

您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳情,該圖表顯示,康佳集團在2023年9月的債務爲227億元人民幣;與前一年大致相同。另一方面,它擁有68.1億元的現金,淨負債約爲158億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:000016 Debt to Equity History December 1st 2023
SZSE:000016 2023 年 12 月 1 日債務與股本比率的歷史記錄

How Strong Is Konka Group's Balance Sheet?

康佳集團的資產負債表有多強?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Konka Group had liabilities of CN¥19.6b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥11.0b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥6.81b as well as receivables valued at CN¥4.36b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥19.5b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看出,康佳集團在12個月內到期的負債爲196億元人民幣,之後到期的負債爲110億元人民幣。除這些債務外,它有68.1億元的現金以及價值43.6億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總額高出195億元人民幣。

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the CN¥7.40b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Konka Group would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Konka Group's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

這裏的缺陷嚴重影響了這家740億元人民幣的公司本身,就好像一個孩子在裝滿書本、運動裝備和喇叭的巨大揹包的重壓下掙扎一樣。因此,我們絕對認爲股東需要密切關注這個問題。畢竟,如果康佳集團今天必須向債權人付款,則可能需要進行大規模的資本重組。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,影響未來資產負債表狀況的是康佳集團的收益。因此,在考慮債務時,絕對值得一看收益趨勢。單擊此處查看交互式快照。

In the last year Konka Group had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 53%, to CN¥20b. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

去年,康佳集團在利息和稅前出現虧損,實際收入減少了53%,至200億元人民幣。至少可以說,這讓我們感到緊張。

Caveat Emptor

Caveat Emptor

Not only did Konka Group's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Its EBIT loss was a whopping CN¥3.1b. If you consider the significant liabilities mentioned above, we are extremely wary of this investment. That said, it is possible that the company will turn its fortunes around. But we think that is unlikely, given it is low on liquid assets, and burned through CN¥2.5b in the last year. So we think this stock is risky, like walking through a dirty dog park with a mask on. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Konka Group that you should be aware of before investing here.

在過去的十二個月中,康佳集團不僅收入下滑,而且還產生了負的息稅前收益(EBIT)。其息稅前利潤虧損高達31億元人民幣。如果您考慮上述重大負債,我們對這項投資非常警惕。儘管如此,該公司有可能扭轉命運。但我們認爲這不太可能,因爲它的流動資產不足,去年消耗了25億元人民幣。因此,我們認爲這隻股票有風險,就像戴着口罩走過一個骯髒的狗公園一樣。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。例如,我們發現了康佳集團的兩個警告信號,在投資之前,您應該注意這些信號。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

當一切都說完之後,有時更容易將注意力集中在甚至不需要債務的公司身上。讀者現在可以免費訪問淨負債爲零的成長型股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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