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Is Crystal International Group (HKG:2232) A Risky Investment?

Is Crystal International Group (HKG:2232) A Risky Investment?

水晶國際集團(HKG: 2232)是風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/21 17:21

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Crystal International Group Limited (HKG:2232) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

有人說,作爲投資者,波動性而不是債務是考慮風險的最佳方式,但禾倫·巴菲特曾說過一句名言:“波動性遠非風險的代名詞。”當我們考慮一家公司的風險時,我們總是喜歡看它對債務的使用,因爲債務超負荷可能導致破產。重要的是,水晶國際集團有限公司(HKG:2232)確實有債務。但是,股東是否應該擔心其使用債務?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業發展的工具,但是如果企業無法還清貸款人,那麼債務就任由他們擺佈。歸根結底,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能會一無所有地離開。但是,更常見(但成本仍然很高)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,只是爲了支撐其資產負債表。但是,通過取代稀釋,對於需要資本以高回報率投資增長的企業來說,債務可能是一個非常好的工具。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,要做的第一件事是將現金和債務放在一起考慮。

View our latest analysis for Crystal International Group

查看我們對水晶國際集團的最新分析

What Is Crystal International Group's Debt?

水晶國際集團的債務是什麼?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Crystal International Group had debt of US$73.2m at the end of June 2023, a reduction from US$117.5m over a year. But it also has US$536.6m in cash to offset that, meaning it has US$463.4m net cash.

您可以點擊下圖了解更多詳情,該圖片顯示,截至2023年6月底,水晶國際集團的債務爲7,320萬美元,較一年的1.175億美元有所減少。但它也有5.366億美元的現金可以抵消這一點,這意味着它有4.634億美元的淨現金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:2232 Debt to Equity History November 21st 2023
香港交易所:2232 債權與股權歷史記錄 2023 年 11 月 21 日

A Look At Crystal International Group's Liabilities

看看水晶國際集團的負債

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Crystal International Group had liabilities of US$544.3m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$62.5m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$536.6m as well as receivables valued at US$274.7m due within 12 months. So it actually has US$204.5m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看出,水晶國際集團在一年內到期的負債爲5.443億美元,此後到期的負債爲6,250萬美元。爲了抵消這些債務,它有5.366億美元的現金以及價值2.747億美元的應收賬款,將在12個月內到期。因此,它實際上有2.045億美元 更多 流動資產超過總負債。

This surplus suggests that Crystal International Group is using debt in a way that is appears to be both safe and conservative. Given it has easily adequate short term liquidity, we don't think it will have any issues with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that Crystal International Group has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

這種盈餘表明,水晶國際集團正在以一種看似既安全又保守的方式使用債務。鑑於它很容易擁有足夠的短期流動性,我們認爲它不會與貸款人發生任何問題。簡而言之,水晶國際集團的現金多於債務這一事實可以說很好地表明它可以安全地管理債務。

Fortunately, Crystal International Group grew its EBIT by 4.7% in the last year, making that debt load look even more manageable. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Crystal International Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

幸運的是,水晶國際集團的息稅前利潤在去年增長了4.7%,這使得債務負擔看起來更易於控制。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是起點。但是,未來的收益,比什麼都重要,將決定水晶國際集團未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你專注於未來,你可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Crystal International Group has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Crystal International Group actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

最後,企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤根本無法削減債務。儘管Crystal International Group的資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍值得一看其將息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解其建立(或侵蝕)現金餘額的速度有多快。在過去的三年中,水晶國際集團產生的自由現金流實際上超過了息稅前利潤。在 Daft Punk 音樂會上,這種強勁的現金兌換率讓我們和觀衆一樣興奮。

Summing Up

總結

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Crystal International Group has net cash of US$463.4m, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. The cherry on top was that in converted 127% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in US$296m. So we don't think Crystal International Group's use of debt is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Crystal International Group is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

儘管我們同情那些認爲債務相關的投資者,但您應該記住,水晶國際集團的淨現金爲4.634億美元,流動資產也多於負債。最重要的是,將息稅前利潤的127%轉換爲自由現金流,帶來了2.96億美元的收入。因此,我們認爲水晶國際集團使用債務沒有風險。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是起點。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中——遠非如此。請注意,水晶國際集團在我們的投資分析中顯示了1個警告信號,你應該知道...

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果你是那種喜歡在沒有債務負擔的情況下購買股票的投資者,那麼請立即查看我們的獨家淨現金增長股票清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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