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Is New Focus Auto Tech Holdings (HKG:360) A Risky Investment?

Is New Focus Auto Tech Holdings (HKG:360) A Risky Investment?

新焦點汽車科技控股公司(HKG: 360)是風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/17 17:19

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that New Focus Auto Tech Holdings Limited (HKG:360) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

由伯克希爾·哈撒韋公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李璐對此毫不掩飾,他說:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久性的資本損失。”因此,當你評估公司的風險時,聰明的貨幣似乎知道債務——通常與破產有關——是一個非常重要的因素。我們注意到,新焦點汽車技術控股有限公司(HKG: 360)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務造成了多少風險?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有當公司無法通過籌集資金或自己的現金流輕鬆還清債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。歸根結底,如果公司無法履行其償還債務的法律義務,股東可能會一無所獲。但是,更常見(但仍然很痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低廉的價格籌集新的股權資本,從而永久稀釋股東。當然,許多公司使用債務爲增長提供資金,而不會產生任何負面影響。考慮公司債務水平的第一步是將其現金和債務一起考慮。

View our latest analysis for New Focus Auto Tech Holdings

查看我們對新焦點汽車科技控股的最新分析

How Much Debt Does New Focus Auto Tech Holdings Carry?

新福克斯汽車科技控股公司負有多少債務?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that New Focus Auto Tech Holdings had CN¥272.5m of debt in June 2023, down from CN¥381.7m, one year before. But it also has CN¥1.10b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥823.7m net cash.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示新焦點汽車科技控股在2023年6月的債務爲2.725億元人民幣,低於一年前的3.817億元人民幣。但它也有11.0億元人民幣的現金可以抵消這一點,這意味着它有8.237億元人民幣的淨現金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:360 Debt to Equity History November 17th 2023
香港交易所:360 債權與股權歷史記錄 2023 年 11 月 17 日

How Healthy Is New Focus Auto Tech Holdings' Balance Sheet?

新福克斯汽車科技控股的資產負債表有多健康?

The latest balance sheet data shows that New Focus Auto Tech Holdings had liabilities of CN¥701.5m due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥42.1m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.10b as well as receivables valued at CN¥94.4m due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥447.1m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,新焦點汽車技術控股公司在一年內到期的負債爲7.015億元人民幣,此後到期的負債爲4,210萬元人民幣。爲了抵消這些債務,它有11.0億元人民幣的現金以及價值9,440萬元人民幣的應收賬款,將在12個月內到期。因此,它的流動資產可以比之多4.471億元人民幣 負債。

This surplus suggests that New Focus Auto Tech Holdings has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Simply put, the fact that New Focus Auto Tech Holdings has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is New Focus Auto Tech Holdings's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

這種盈餘表明,新福克斯汽車科技控股的資產負債表比較保守,很可能可以毫不費力地消除債務。簡而言之,New Focus Auto Tech Holdings的現金多於債務這一事實可以說很好地表明它可以安全地管理債務。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,影響未來資產負債表表現的是新福克斯汽車科技控股公司的收益。因此,在考慮債務時,絕對值得一看收益趨勢。點擊此處查看交互式快照。

In the last year New Focus Auto Tech Holdings's revenue was pretty flat, and it made a negative EBIT. While that's not too bad, we'd prefer see growth.

去年,新福克斯汽車科技控股公司的收入相當持平,息稅前利潤爲負。雖然這還不錯,但我們更希望看到增長。

So How Risky Is New Focus Auto Tech Holdings?

那麼,新焦點汽車科技控股的風險有多大?

Statistically speaking companies that lose money are riskier than those that make money. And in the last year New Focus Auto Tech Holdings had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss, truth be told. And over the same period it saw negative free cash outflow of CN¥42m and booked a CN¥36m accounting loss. Given it only has net cash of CN¥823.7m, the company may need to raise more capital if it doesn't reach break-even soon. Even though its balance sheet seems sufficiently liquid, debt always makes us a little nervous if a company doesn't produce free cash flow regularly. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with New Focus Auto Tech Holdings .

從統計學上講,虧損的公司比賺錢的公司風險更大。說實話,去年新福克斯汽車科技控股公司出現了息稅前收益(EBIT)虧損。同期,它的自由現金流出爲負4200萬元人民幣,會計虧損爲3,600萬元人民幣。鑑於該公司只有8.237億元人民幣的淨現金,如果不能很快達到收支平衡,則可能需要籌集更多資金。儘管其資產負債表似乎具有足夠的流動性,但如果一家公司不定期產生自由現金流,債務總是會讓我們有些緊張。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中——遠非如此。爲此,你應該注意我們在New Focus Auto Tech Holdings發現的兩個警告信號。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

當一切都說完之後,有時更容易將注意力集中在甚至不需要債務的公司上。讀者現在可以100%免費訪問淨負債爲零的成長型股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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