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Is Akeso (HKG:9926) A Risky Investment?

Is Akeso (HKG:9926) A Risky Investment?

Akeso(HKG: 9926)是一項風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/15 18:24

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Akeso, Inc. (HKG:9926) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

大衛·伊本說得很好,他說:“波動性不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本的永久損失。”當你研究公司的資產負債表的風險時,自然會考慮它的資產負債表,因爲企業倒閉時通常會涉及債務。重要的是,Akeso, Inc.(HKG: 9926)確實有債務。但真正的問題是,這筆債務是否使公司面臨風險。

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

當企業無法通過自由現金流或以有吸引力的價格籌集資金來輕鬆履行債務和其他負債時,債務和其他負債就會面臨風險。在最壞的情況下,如果一家公司無法向債權人付款,它可能會破產。但是,更常見(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,以支撐其資產負債表。話雖如此,最常見的情況是公司合理地管理債務,而且是爲了自己的利益。當我們檢查債務水平時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務水平。

See our latest analysis for Akeso

查看我們對Akeso的最新分析

What Is Akeso's Debt?

Akeso 的債務是什麼?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2023 Akeso had debt of CN¥2.52b, up from CN¥1.32b in one year. But it also has CN¥4.81b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥2.28b net cash.

下圖顯示截至2023年6月,Akeso的債務爲252億元人民幣,高於一年的13.32億元人民幣,你可以點擊下圖了解更多詳情。但它也有48億元人民幣的現金可以抵消這一點,這意味着它有22.8億元人民幣的淨現金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:9926 Debt to Equity History November 15th 2023
香港交易所:9926 債權與股權歷史記錄 2023 年 11 月 15 日

How Healthy Is Akeso's Balance Sheet?

Akeso的資產負債表有多健康?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Akeso had liabilities of CN¥933.3m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥3.03b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥4.81b and CN¥288.9m worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥1.13b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看出,Akeso的負債爲9.333億元人民幣,此後到期的負債爲30.3億元人民幣。另一方面,它在一年內有48億元人民幣的現金和價值2.889億元人民幣的應收賬款。因此,它的流動性資產可以比之高出11.3億元人民幣 負債。

This surplus suggests that Akeso has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Succinctly put, Akeso boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

這種盈餘表明Akeso的資產負債表比較保守,可以毫不費力地消除債務。簡而言之,Akeso擁有淨現金,因此可以公平地說,它沒有沉重的債務負擔!

Although Akeso made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, it was also good to see that it generated CN¥1.5b in EBIT over the last twelve months. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Akeso can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

儘管Akeso在息稅前利潤水平上出現了虧損,但也很高興看到它在過去十二個月中創造了15億元人民幣的息稅前利潤。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是起點。但最終,該業務的未來盈利能力將決定Akeso能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果你專注於未來,你可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Akeso has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last year, Akeso recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 87% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

最後,儘管稅務員可能喜歡會計利潤,但貸款人只接受冷硬現金。儘管Akeso的資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍值得一看其將息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解其建立(或侵蝕)現金餘額的速度有多快。去年,Akeso的自由現金流佔其息稅前收益的87%,比我們通常預期的要強。如果需要的話,這有利於償還債務。

Summing Up

總結

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Akeso has net cash of CN¥2.28b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. The cherry on top was that in converted 87% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥1.3b. So we don't think Akeso's use of debt is risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Akeso you should be aware of, and 2 of them are significant.

儘管我們同情那些認爲債務相關的投資者,但您應該記住,Akeso的淨現金爲22.8億元人民幣,流動資產也多於負債。最重要的是,將息稅前利潤的87%轉換爲自由現金流,帶來了13億元人民幣的收入。因此,我們認爲Akeso使用債務沒有風險。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中——遠非如此。一個很好的例子:我們發現了你應該注意的 Akeso 的 3 個警告信號,其中 2 個很重要。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有興趣投資能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增加利潤的企業,請查看這份資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業的免費清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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