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China Reinsurance (Group) (HKG:1508) Shareholders Have Endured a 63% Loss From Investing in the Stock Five Years Ago

China Reinsurance (Group) (HKG:1508) Shareholders Have Endured a 63% Loss From Investing in the Stock Five Years Ago

中國再保險(集團)(HKG: 1508)股東五年前因投資該股而蒙受了63%的損失
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/14 18:03

Generally speaking long term investing is the way to go. But unfortunately, some companies simply don't succeed. Zooming in on an example, the China Reinsurance (Group) Corporation (HKG:1508) share price dropped 71% in the last half decade. We certainly feel for shareholders who bought near the top. Furthermore, it's down 14% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders. Of course, this share price action may well have been influenced by the 5.6% decline in the broader market, throughout the period.

一般而言,長期投資是必經之路。但不幸的是,有些公司根本沒有成功。舉個例子,中國再保險(集團)股份有限公司(HKG: 1508)的股價在過去五年中下跌了71%。對於那些買入接近頂部的股東,我們當然有同感。此外,它在大約一個季度內下降了14%。對於持有者來說,這並不好玩。當然,這一股價走勢很可能受到整個期間大盤下跌5.6%的影響。

So let's have a look and see if the longer term performance of the company has been in line with the underlying business' progress.

因此,讓我們來看看公司的長期表現是否與基礎業務的進展一致。

Check out our latest analysis for China Reinsurance (Group)

查看我們對中國再保險(集團)的最新分析

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

在他的文章中 格雷厄姆和多茲維爾的超級投資者 沃倫·巴菲特描述了股價如何並不總是合理地反映企業的價值。評估公司情緒變化的一種有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。

Looking back five years, both China Reinsurance (Group)'s share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 5.9% per year. Readers should note that the share price has fallen faster than the EPS, at a rate of 22% per year, over the period. So it seems the market was too confident about the business, in the past. The low P/E ratio of 5.11 further reflects this reticence.

回顧五年,中國再保險(集團)的股價和每股收益均有所下降;後者每年下降5.9%。讀者應注意,在此期間,股價的下跌速度快於每股收益,每年下降22%。因此,過去市場似乎對該業務過於自信。5.11的低市盈率進一步反映了這種沉默。

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

你可以在下面看到 EPS 是如何隨着時間的推移而變化的(點擊圖片發現確切的值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SEHK:1508 Earnings Per Share Growth November 14th 2023
香港交易所:1508 每股收益增長 2023 年 11 月 14 日

We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. This free interactive report on China Reinsurance (Group)'s earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

我們很高興地向大家報告,首席執行官的薪酬比資本狀況相似的公司的大多數首席執行官更適中。但是,儘管首席執行官的薪酬總是值得檢查的,但真正重要的問題是公司未來能否增加收益。如果您想進一步調查該股,這份關於中國再保險(集團)收益、收入和現金流的免費互動報告是一個不錯的起點。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for China Reinsurance (Group) the TSR over the last 5 years was -63%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

除了衡量股價回報外,投資者還應考慮股東總回報(TSR)。股東總回報率是一種回報計算方法,它考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何股息已被再投資)以及任何貼現資本籌集和分拆的計算價值。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來說,股東總回報率通常遠高於股價回報。我們注意到,中國再保險(集團)在過去5年的股東總回報率爲-63%,好於上述股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種差異是沒有好處的!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

Investors in China Reinsurance (Group) had a tough year, with a total loss of 1.6% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 2.6%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, longer term shareholders are suffering worse, given the loss of 10% doled out over the last five years. We would want clear information suggesting the company will grow, before taking the view that the share price will stabilize. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Even so, be aware that China Reinsurance (Group) is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

中國再保險(集團)的投資者經歷了艱難的一年,總虧損1.6%(包括股息),而市場漲幅約爲2.6%。即使是優質股票的股價有時也會下跌,但我們希望看到企業的基本指標有所改善,然後才會變得過於感興趣。不幸的是,鑑於過去五年中虧損了10%,長期股東遭受的損失更大。在認爲股價將穩定之前,我們希望獲得明確的信息,表明公司將增長。我發現從長遠來看,將股價視爲業務表現的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正獲得見解,我們還需要考慮其他信息。即便如此,請注意,中國再保險(集團)在我們的投資分析中顯示了1個警告信號,您應該知道...

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果你想看看另一家公司——一家財務狀況可能優異的公司——那麼千萬不要錯過這份已經證明自己可以增加收益的公司的免費名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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