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Pulling Back 6.0% This Week, Zhaojin Mining Industry's HKG:1818) Five-year Decline in Earnings May Be Coming Into Investors Focus

Pulling Back 6.0% This Week, Zhaojin Mining Industry's HKG:1818) Five-year Decline in Earnings May Be Coming Into Investors Focus

本週回落6.0%,招金礦業(HKG: 1818)的五年收益下降可能會成爲投資者的焦點
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/09 21:41

Zhaojin Mining Industry Company Limited (HKG:1818) shareholders have seen the share price descend 14% over the month. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last five years have been pleasing. After all, the share price is up a market-beating 34% in that time.

招金礦業有限公司(HKG: 1818)股東的股價在本月下跌了14%。但這並不能改變過去五年的回報令人愉快的事實。畢竟,那段時間股價上漲了34%,超過了市場。

Since the long term performance has been good but there's been a recent pullback of 6.0%, let's check if the fundamentals match the share price.

由於長期表現良好,但最近回調了6.0%,讓我們來看看基本面是否與股價相符。

View our latest analysis for Zhaojin Mining Industry

查看我們對招金礦業的最新分析

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

雖然市場是一種強大的定價機制,但股價反映了投資者的情緒,而不僅僅是潛在的業務表現。評估公司情緒變化的一種有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。

Zhaojin Mining Industry's earnings per share are down 0.7% per year, despite strong share price performance over five years.

儘管五年來股價表現強勁,但招金礦業的每股收益每年下降0.7%。

By glancing at these numbers, we'd posit that the decline in earnings per share is not representative of how the business has changed over the years. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

通過瀏覽這些數字,我們可以假設每股收益的下降並不能代表業務多年來的變化。由於每股收益的變化似乎與股價的變化無關,因此值得一看其他指標。

The modest 0.5% dividend yield is unlikely to be propping up the share price. In contrast revenue growth of 3.0% per year is probably viewed as evidence that Zhaojin Mining Industry is growing, a real positive. It's quite possible that management are prioritizing revenue growth over EPS growth at the moment.

0.5%的適度股息收益率不太可能支撐股價。相比之下,每年3.0%的收入增長可能被視爲招金礦業增長的證據,這是一個真正的積極因素。目前,管理層很有可能將收入增長置於每股收益增長之上。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下圖顯示了收入和收入隨時間推移的跟蹤情況(如果您點擊圖片,可以看到更多細節)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:1818 Earnings and Revenue Growth November 10th 2023
SEHK: 1818 2023年11月10日收益及收入增長

We know that Zhaojin Mining Industry has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? So it makes a lot of sense to check out what analysts think Zhaojin Mining Industry will earn in the future (free profit forecasts).

我們知道招金礦業最近提高了利潤,但是未來會發生什麼呢?因此,看看分析師認爲招金礦業未來的收入(自由利潤預測)很有意義。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Zhaojin Mining Industry's TSR for the last 5 years was 37%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的股東總回報率和股價回報率。股東總回報率是一種回報計算方法,它考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何股息都經過再投資)以及任何貼現資本籌集和分拆的計算價值。可以說,股東總回報率更全面地描述了股票產生的回報。碰巧的是,招金礦業過去5年的股東總回報率爲37%,超過了前面提到的股價回報率。這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

It's good to see that Zhaojin Mining Industry has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 21% in the last twelve months. Of course, that includes the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 6%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Zhaojin Mining Industry , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

很高興看到招金礦業在過去十二個月中向股東提供了21%的總股東回報率。當然,這包括股息。這一增幅好於五年內的年度股東總回報率,即6%。因此,最近公司周圍的情緒似乎一直很樂觀。鑑於股價勢頭仍然強勁,可能值得仔細研究該股,以免錯過機會。我發現將長期股價視爲業務績效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正獲得見解,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如,投資風險的幽靈無處不在。我們已經確定了招金礦業的1個警告信號,我們知道它們應該是您投資過程的一部分。

We will like Zhaojin Mining Industry better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

如果我們看到一些重大的內幕收購,我們會更喜歡招金礦業。在我們等待的同時,請查看這份免費清單,列出了最近有大量內幕收購的成長型公司。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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