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Despite the Downward Trend in Earnings at China Galaxy Securities (HKG:6881) the Stock Ascends 7.5%, Bringing One-year Gains to 38%

Despite the Downward Trend in Earnings at China Galaxy Securities (HKG:6881) the Stock Ascends 7.5%, Bringing One-year Gains to 38%

儘管中國銀河證券(HKG: 6881)的收益呈下降趨勢,但該股仍上漲7.5%,使一年的漲幅達到38%
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/06 23:11

The simplest way to invest in stocks is to buy exchange traded funds. But investors can boost returns by picking market-beating companies to own shares in. To wit, the China Galaxy Securities Co., Ltd. (HKG:6881) share price is 30% higher than it was a year ago, much better than the market return of around 4.9% (not including dividends) in the same period. That's a solid performance by our standards! Zooming out, the stock is actually down 10% in the last three years.

投資股票的最簡單方法是購買交易所交易基金。但是,投資者可以通過選擇市場領先的公司來持有股票,從而提高回報。換句話說,中國銀河證券股份有限公司(HKG: 6881)的股價比去年同期上漲了30%,遠好於同期約4.9%(不包括股息)的市場回報率。按照我們的標準,這是一款不錯的表現!放大,股票實際上是 向下 在過去三年中爲10%。

Since it's been a strong week for China Galaxy Securities shareholders, let's have a look at trend of the longer term fundamentals.

由於這是中國銀河證券股東表現強勁的一週,讓我們來看看長期基本面的走勢。

View our latest analysis for China Galaxy Securities

查看我們對中國銀河證券的最新分析

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

在他的文章中 格雷厄姆和多茲維爾的超級投資者 沃倫·巴菲特描述了股價如何並不總是能合理地反映企業的價值。評估公司情緒變化的一種有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。

Over the last twelve months, China Galaxy Securities actually shrank its EPS by 18%.

在過去的十二個月中,中國銀河證券的每股收益實際上縮減了18%。

Given the share price gain, we doubt the market is measuring progress with EPS. Indeed, when EPS is declining but the share price is up, it often means the market is considering other factors.

鑑於股價的上漲,我們懷疑市場是否在衡量每股收益的進展。事實上,當每股收益下降但股價上漲時,這通常意味着市場正在考慮其他因素。

Absent any improvement, we don't think a thirst for dividends is pushing up the China Galaxy Securities' share price. It saw it's revenue decline by 15% over twelve months. Usually that correlates with a lower share price, but let's face it, the gyrations of the market are sometimes only as clear as mud.

如果沒有任何改善,我們認爲對分紅的渴望不會推高中國銀河證券的股價。它的收入在十二個月內下降了15%。通常,這與較低的股價有關,但讓我們面對現實吧,市場的波動有時只能像泥巴一樣清晰。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下圖顯示了收入和收入在一段時間內的跟蹤情況(如果你點擊圖片,你可以看到更多的細節)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:6881 Earnings and Revenue Growth November 7th 2023
SEHK: 6881 2023年11月7日收益及收入增長

We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts

我們很高興地向大家報告,首席執行官的薪酬比資本狀況相似的公司的大多數首席執行官更適中。始終值得關注首席執行官的薪酬,但更重要的問題是公司多年來是否會增加收益。因此,我們建議您查看這份顯示共識預測的免費報告

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, China Galaxy Securities' TSR for the last 1 year was 38%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

除了衡量股價回報率外,投資者還應考慮股東總回報率(TSR)。股東總回報率是一種回報計算方法,它考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何股息都經過再投資)以及任何貼現資本籌集和分拆的計算價值。可以說,股東總回報率更全面地描述了股票產生的回報。碰巧的是,中國銀河證券過去一年的股東總回報率爲38%,超過了前面提到的股價回報率。因此,該公司支付的股息提高了股息 股東回報。

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

It's nice to see that China Galaxy Securities shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 38% over the last year. Of course, that includes the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 7% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for China Galaxy Securities (1 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

很高興看到中國銀河證券的股東在過去一年中獲得了38%的總股東回報率。當然,這包括股息。由於一年期股東總回報率好於五年期股東總回報率(後者爲每年7%),因此該股的表現似乎在最近有所改善。在最好的情況下,這可能暗示着一些真正的業務勢頭,這意味着現在可能是深入研究的好時機。我發現將長期股價視爲業務績效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正獲得見解,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如,我們發現了中國銀河證券的3個警告信號(1個不容忽視!)在這裏投資之前,您應該注意這一點。

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

如果你想和管理層一起購買股票,那麼你可能會喜歡這份免費的公司清單。(提示:內部人士一直在買入它們)。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報率。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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