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Kantone Holdings' (HKG:1059) Earnings Might Be Weaker Than You Think

Kantone Holdings' (HKG:1059) Earnings Might Be Weaker Than You Think

Kantone Holdings(HKG: 1059)的收益可能比你想象的要弱
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/03 18:03

Shareholders didn't seem to be thrilled with Kantone Holdings Limited's (HKG:1059) recent earnings report, despite healthy profit numbers. Our analysis has found some concerning factors which weaken the profit's foundation.

儘管利潤數字良好,但股東們似乎對凱通控股有限公司(HKG:1059)最近的收益報告並不感到興奮。我們的分析發現了一些削弱利潤基礎的令人擔憂的因素。

Check out our latest analysis for Kantone Holdings

查看我們對坎通控股的最新分析

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:1059 Earnings and Revenue History November 3rd 2023
香港交易所:1059 收益和收入記錄 2023 年 11 月 3 日

Zooming In On Kantone Holdings' Earnings

放大凱通控股的收益

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

在高級財務中,用於衡量公司將報告的利潤轉換爲自由現金流(FCF)的關鍵比率是應計比率(來自現金流)。應計比率從給定時期的利潤中減去FCF,然後將結果除以該時間內公司的平均運營資產。這個比率告訴我們,一家公司的利潤中有多少沒有自由現金流的支持。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

因此,負應計比率對公司來說是正數,而正應計比率是負數。這並不意味着我們應該擔心應計比率爲正,但值得注意的是,應計比率相當高的地方。這是因爲一些學術研究表明,高應計率往往會導致利潤下降或利潤增長減弱。

Over the twelve months to June 2023, Kantone Holdings recorded an accrual ratio of 0.69. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of HK$5.9m despite its profit of HK$9.69m, mentioned above. We also note that Kantone Holdings' free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of HK$5.9m. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

在截至2023年6月的十二個月中,凱通控股的應計比率爲0.69。從統計學上講,這對未來的收益來說確實是負面的。換句話說,該公司在那段時間內沒有產生任何自由現金流。在過去的十二個月裏,它實際上有 負面的 自由現金流,如上所述,儘管其利潤爲969萬港元,但仍流出590萬港元。我們還注意到,去年Kantone Holdings的自由現金流實際上也是負數,因此我們可以理解股東是否被其590萬港元的流出所困擾。話雖如此,這個故事還有更多。我們可以看到,不尋常的項目影響了其法定利潤,從而影響了應計比率。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Kantone Holdings.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對Kantone Holdings的資產負債表分析。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

不尋常物品對利潤的影響

Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Kantone Holdings' profit was boosted by unusual items worth HK$12m in the last twelve months. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. We can see that Kantone Holdings' positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to June 2023. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.

考慮到應計比率,在過去十二個月中,價值1200萬港元的不尋常物品提振了Kantone Holdings的利潤也就不足爲奇了。雖然我們希望看到利潤增加,但當不尋常的物品做出重大貢獻時,我們往往會更加謹慎一些。我們統計了全球大多數上市公司的數字,在自然界中,一次性出現不尋常物品的情況很常見。考慮到這個名字,這並不奇怪。我們可以看到,在截至2023年6月的一年中,Kantone Holdings的正向異常項目相對於其利潤相當可觀。在其他條件相同的情況下,這可能會使法定利潤無法很好地指導潛在的盈利能力。

Our Take On Kantone Holdings' Profit Performance

我們對Kantone Holdings盈利表現的看法

Kantone Holdings had a weak accrual ratio, but its profit did receive a boost from unusual items. On reflection, the above-mentioned factors give us the strong impression that Kantone Holdings'underlying earnings power is not as good as it might seem, based on the statutory profit numbers. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Kantone Holdings (including 1 which doesn't sit too well with us).

Kantone Holdings的應計比率較低,但其利潤確實受到不尋常物品的提振。經過反思,上述因素給我們留下了深刻的印象,即根據法定利潤數字,Kantone Holdings的基礎盈利能力並不像看起來那樣好。因此,如果你想更深入地研究這隻股票,那麼考慮它面臨的任何風險至關重要。爲此,你應該了解我們在Kantone Holdings發現的兩個警告信號(包括一個對我們來說不太合適)。

Our examination of Kantone Holdings has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

我們對Kantone Holdings的審查側重於某些可能使其收益看起來比現在更好的因素。而且,在此基礎上,我們有些懷疑。但是,還有很多其他方法可以告知你對公司的看法。有些人認爲高股本回報率是高質量業務的好兆頭。因此,你可能希望看到這批擁有高股本回報率的免費公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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