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Shareholders in Guangzhou Automobile Group (HKG:2238) Are in the Red If They Invested Five Years Ago

Shareholders in Guangzhou Automobile Group (HKG:2238) Are in the Red If They Invested Five Years Ago

廣汽集團(HKG: 2238)的股東如果在五年前投資,就會陷入虧損
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/01 03:49

Ideally, your overall portfolio should beat the market average. But in any portfolio, there will be mixed results between individual stocks. At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in Guangzhou Automobile Group Co., Ltd. (HKG:2238), since the last five years saw the share price fall 55%. We also note that the stock has performed poorly over the last year, with the share price down 25%. Furthermore, it's down 23% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders. But this could be related to the weak market, which is down 10% in the same period.

理想情況下,你的整體投資組合應該超過市場平均水準。但在任何投資組合中,個股之間的結果都會喜憂參半。在這一點上,一些股東可能會質疑他們在廣汽集團股份有限公司。(HKG:2238),自過去五年股價下跌55%以來。我們還注意到,該股在過去一年表現不佳,股價下跌了25%。此外,它在大約四分之一的時間裡下跌了23%。對於持有者來說,這並不是什麼樂趣。但這可能與疲軟的市場有關,同期市場下跌了10%。

With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.

考慮到這一點,值得關注的是,該公司的潛在基本面是長期業績的驅動力,還是存在一些差異。

View our latest analysis for Guangzhou Automobile Group

查看我們對廣汽集團的最新分析

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

雖然市場是一種強大的定價機制,但股價反映的是投資者情緒,而不僅僅是潛在的企業表現。評估圍繞一家公司的情緒變化的一個有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。

Looking back five years, both Guangzhou Automobile Group's share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 18% per year. The share price decline of 15% per year isn't as bad as the EPS decline. So investors might expect EPS to bounce back -- or they may have previously foreseen the EPS decline.

回顧五年,廣汽集團的股價和每股收益都在下降;後者以每年18%的速度下降。股價每年15%的跌幅並不像每股收益下跌那麼糟糕。因此,投資者可能會預計每股收益會反彈--或者他們之前可能已經預見到了每股收益的下降。

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下圖顯示了EPS是如何隨著時間的推移進行跟蹤的(如果您點擊該圖像,您可以看到更多詳細資訊)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SEHK:2238 Earnings Per Share Growth November 1st 2023
聯交所:每股盈利增長2238 2023年11月1日

This free interactive report on Guangzhou Automobile Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

免費如果你想進一步調查廣汽集團的股票,關於該公司收益、收入和現金流的互動報告是一個很好的起點。

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Guangzhou Automobile Group, it has a TSR of -45% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的總股東回報以及股價回報。TSR是一種回報計算,計入了現金股息的價值(假設收到的任何股息都進行了再投資),以及任何貼現融資和剝離的計算價值。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來說,TSR往往比股價回報高得多。以廣汽集團為例,過去5年的總資產收益率為-45%。這超過了我們之前提到的它的股價回報。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種差異是沒有好處的!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

While the broader market gained around 14% in the last year, Guangzhou Automobile Group shareholders lost 21% (even including dividends). However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 8% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Guangzhou Automobile Group better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Guangzhou Automobile Group that you should be aware of.

儘管大盤去年上漲了約14%,但廣汽集團的股東損失了21%(甚至包括股息)。然而,請記住,即使是最好的股票,在12個月的時間裡,有時也會表現遜於市場。不幸的是,去年的表現可能預示著尚未解決的挑戰,因為它比過去五年8%的年化損失更糟糕。我們意識到,羅斯柴爾德男爵曾說過,投資者應該“在街上血淋淋的時候買入”,但我們警告投資者,首先應該確保他們購買的是一家高質量的企業。跟蹤股價的長期表現總是很有趣的。但要更好地理解廣汽集團,我們還需要考慮許多其他因素。例如,我們已經確定廣汽集團的3個警示標誌這一點你應該知道.

We will like Guangzhou Automobile Group better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

如果我們看到一些大的內部收購,我們會更喜歡廣汽集團。在我們等待的時候,看看這個免費最近有大量內幕收購的成長型公司名單.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫.或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是暗示Wallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性.我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議.它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況.我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析.請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內.Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉.

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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