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Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About China Railway Materials Company Limited (SZSE:000927)?

Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About China Railway Materials Company Limited (SZSE:000927)?

股票下跌和財務狀況良好:市場對中國鐵路物資股份有限公司(深交所股票代碼:000927)的看法錯了嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/24 02:42

China Railway Materials (SZSE:000927) has had a rough three months with its share price down 11%. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financials over the long term, which in this case look pretty respectable. Specifically, we decided to study China Railway Materials' ROE in this article.

中國鐵道物資(深交所股票代碼:000927)經歷了艱難的三個月,股價下跌了11%。然而,股價通常是由公司的長期財務狀況推動的,在這種情況下,財務狀況看起來相當不錯。具體地說,我們決定在本文中研究中國鐵道物資的淨資產收益率。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

股本回報率(ROE)是對一家公司增值和管理投資者資金的效率的測試。換句話說,它揭示了該公司成功地將股東投資轉化為利潤。

Check out our latest analysis for China Railway Materials

看看我們對中國鐵路物資的最新分析

How Is ROE Calculated?

淨資產收益率是如何計算的?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

可使用以下公式計算淨資產收益率:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率=(持續經營的)淨利潤?股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for China Railway Materials is:

因此,根據上述公式,中國鐵道物資的淨資產收益率為:

6.8% = CN¥667m ÷ CN¥9.9b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2023).

6.8%=CN元6.67億×CN元99億元(基於截至2023年6月的12個月)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.07 in profit.

“回報”就是年度利潤。這意味著,股東權益每增加1元,公司就會產生0.07元的利潤。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

淨資產收益率與盈利增長有什麼關係?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

到目前為止,我們瞭解到淨資產收益率是衡量一家公司盈利能力的指標。根據公司選擇再投資或“保留”多少利潤,我們就能夠評估一家公司未來產生利潤的能力。假設其他條件相同,與沒有相同特徵的公司相比,擁有更高股本回報率和更高利潤保留率的公司通常會有更高的增長率。

A Side By Side comparison of China Railway Materials' Earnings Growth And 6.8% ROE

中國鐵道物資盈利增長與淨資產收益率6.8%的並列比較

At first glance, China Railway Materials' ROE doesn't look very promising. Although a closer study shows that the company's ROE is higher than the industry average of 5.2% which we definitely can't overlook. But then again, seeing that China Railway Materials' net income shrunk at a rate of 15% in the past five years, makes us think again. Bear in mind, the company does have a slightly low ROE. It is just that the industry ROE is lower. Hence, this goes some way in explaining the shrinking earnings.

乍一看,中國鐵道物資的淨資產收益率看起來並不是很有希望。儘管更仔細的研究表明,該公司的淨資產收益率高於5.2%的行業平均水準,但我們絕對不能忽視這一點。但話說回來,看到中國鐵道物資近五年來淨收入以15%的速度縮水,讓我們三思。請記住,該公司的淨資產收益率確實略低。只是行業的淨資產收益率較低。因此,這在一定程度上解釋了收益縮水的原因。

However, when we compared China Railway Materials' growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 3.8% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

然而,當我們將中國鐵道物資的增長與行業進行比較時發現,在公司盈利一直在萎縮的情況下,同期行業的盈利增長了3.8%。這相當令人擔憂。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:000927 Past Earnings Growth October 24th 2023
深圳證交所:過去000927的收益增長2023年10月24日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is China Railway Materials fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

賦予一家公司價值的基礎在很大程度上與其盈利增長掛鉤。投資者下一步需要確定的是,預期的收益增長是否已經計入了股價。這有助於他們確定這只股票是為光明還是黯淡的未來做準備。與其他公司相比,中國鐵路物資的價值是否公平?這3個估值指標可能會幫助你做出決定。

Is China Railway Materials Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

中國鐵道物資是否有效利用其留存收益?

China Railway Materials doesn't pay any dividend, meaning that potentially all of its profits are being reinvested in the business, which doesn't explain why the company's earnings have shrunk if it is retaining all of its profits. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.

中國鐵路物資公司不支付任何股息,這意味著該公司的所有利潤可能都將再投資於該業務,這並不能解釋為什麼如果該公司保留所有利潤,其利潤就會縮水。因此,可能還有其他因素在起作用,可能會阻礙經濟增長。例如,該業務一直面臨一些不利因素。

Summary

摘要

In total, it does look like China Railway Materials has some positive aspects to its business. Although, we are disappointed to see a lack of growth in earnings even in spite of a moderate ROE and and a high reinvestment rate. We believe that there might be some outside factors that could be having a negative impact on the business. While we won't completely dismiss the company, what we would do, is try to ascertain how risky the business is to make a more informed decision around the company. You can see the 1 risk we have identified for China Railway Materials by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

總體而言,中國鐵路物資公司的業務確實有一些積極的方面。然而,我們失望地看到,儘管淨資產收益率(ROE)和再投資率較高,但盈利增長乏力。我們認為,可能有一些外部因素可能正在對業務產生負面影響。雖然我們不會完全解僱這家公司,但我們要做的是努力確定這項業務在公司周圍做出更明智的決定的風險有多大。您可以通過訪問我們的網站查看我們為中國鐵路物資確定的1個風險風險控制面板在我們的平臺上是免費的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性.我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議.它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況.我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析.請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內.Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉.

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