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The One-year Shareholder Returns and Company Earnings Persist Lower as Community Bank System (NYSE:CBU) Stock Falls a Further 3.0% in Past Week

The One-year Shareholder Returns and Company Earnings Persist Lower as Community Bank System (NYSE:CBU) Stock Falls a Further 3.0% in Past Week

由於社區銀行系統(紐約證券交易所代碼:CBU)股票在過去一週進一步下跌3.0%,一年期股東回報率和公司收益持續走低
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/14 09:23

Passive investing in an index fund is a good way to ensure your own returns roughly match the overall market. Active investors aim to buy stocks that vastly outperform the market - but in the process, they risk under-performance. Unfortunately the Community Bank System, Inc. (NYSE:CBU) share price slid 35% over twelve months. That's disappointing when you consider the market returned 21%. Even if shareholders bought some time ago, they wouldn't be particularly happy: the stock is down 28% in three years.

被動投資指數基金是確保你自己的回報與整體市場大致匹配的好方法。積極投資者的目標是買入表現遠遠好於大盤的股票--但在這個過程中,他們面臨表現不佳的風險。不幸的是,社區銀行系統公司(紐約證券交易所代碼:CBU)股價在12個月內下滑了35%。當你考慮到市場回報率為21%時,這是令人失望的。即使股東在一段時間前買入股票,他們也不會特別高興:該股在三年內下跌了28%。

If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for Community Bank System isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.

如果以過去一週為標準,投資者對社區銀行系統的情緒並不樂觀,所以讓我們看看基本面和股價之間是否存在錯配。

Check out our latest analysis for Community Bank System

查看我們對社區銀行系統的最新分析

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

本傑明·格雷厄姆(Benjamin Graham)的原話是:短期內,市場是一臺投票機,但從長遠來看,它是一臺稱重機。一種不完美但簡單的方法來考慮市場對一家公司的看法是如何改變的,那就是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價走勢進行比較。

Unfortunately Community Bank System reported an EPS drop of 11% for the last year. The share price decline of 35% is actually more than the EPS drop. So it seems the market was too confident about the business, a year ago.

不幸的是,社區銀行系統報告去年每股收益下降了11%。股價35%的跌幅其實比每股收益的跌幅還要大。因此,一年前,市場似乎對這項業務過於自信。

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

您可以在下面看到EPS是如何隨著時間的推移而變化的(通過單擊圖像來了解確切的值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
NYSE:CBU Earnings Per Share Growth October 14th 2023
紐約證券交易所:CBU每股收益增長2023年10月14日

It's good to see that there was some significant insider buying in the last three months. That's a positive. On the other hand, we think the revenue and earnings trends are much more meaningful measures of the business. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of Community Bank System's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

很高興看到,在過去的三個月裡,出現了一些重大的內幕收購。這是一個積極的消息。另一方面,我們認為收入和收益趨勢是衡量業務的更有意義的指標。通過查看社區銀行系統的收益、收入和現金流的互動圖表,更深入地瞭解收益。

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Community Bank System's TSR for the last 1 year was -32%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

在考察投資回報時,重要的是要考慮到股東總回報(TSR)和股價回報。TSR是一種回報計算,計入了現金股息的價值(假設收到的任何股息都進行了再投資),以及任何貼現融資和剝離的計算價值。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來說,TSR往往比股價回報高得多。碰巧的是,社區銀行系統最近一年的TSR為-32%,超過了前面提到的股價回報。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種差異是沒有好處的!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

Community Bank System shareholders are down 32% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 21%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 4% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. If you want to research this stock further, the data on insider buying is an obvious place to start. You can click here to see who has been buying shares - and the price they paid.

社區銀行系統的股東今年下跌了32%(即使包括股息),但市場本身上漲了21%。即使是好股票的股價有時也會下跌,但我們希望在對企業產生太大興趣之前,看到企業的基本指標有所改善。不幸的是,去年的表現可能預示著尚未解決的挑戰,因為它比過去五年4%的年化損失更糟糕。我們意識到,羅斯柴爾德男爵曾說過,投資者應該“在街上血淋淋的時候買入”,但我們警告投資者,首先應該確保他們購買的是一家高質量的企業。如果你想進一步研究這只股票,內幕購買的數據顯然是一個開始。你可以點擊這裡查看誰一直在買入股票--以及他們支付的價格。

Community Bank System is not the only stock insiders are buying. So take a peek at this free list of growing companies with insider buying.

社區銀行系統並不是內部人士買入的唯一股票。所以讓我們來看看這個免費內幕收購的成長型公司名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫.或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是暗示Wallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性.我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議.它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況.我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析.請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內.Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉.

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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