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Is Shenzhen Zowee Technology (SZSE:002369) A Risky Investment?

Is Shenzhen Zowee Technology (SZSE:002369) A Risky Investment?

深圳卓威科技 (SZSE: 002369) 是風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/11 20:29

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Shenzhen Zowee Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002369) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

一些人說,作為投資者,考慮風險的最佳方式是波動性,而不是債務,但巴菲特曾說過一句名言:波動性遠非風險的同義詞。當我們考慮一家公司的風險有多大時,我們總是喜歡看它對債務的使用,因為債務過重可能導致破產。我們注意到深圳市卓威科技有限公司。(SZSE:002369)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務造成了多大的風險?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務會帶來什麼風險?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

債務幫助企業,直到企業難以償還債務,無論是用新資本還是用自由現金流。資本主義的一部分是“創造性破壞”的過程,破產的企業被銀行家無情地清算。然而,一種更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,一家公司必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東的股份,才能控制債務。話雖如此,最常見的情況是一家公司對債務管理得相當好--並對自己有利。當我們檢查債務水準時,我們首先同時考慮現金和債務水準。

See our latest analysis for Shenzhen Zowee Technology

查看我們對深圳卓威科技的最新分析

What Is Shenzhen Zowee Technology's Net Debt?

深圳卓威科技的淨負債是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Shenzhen Zowee Technology had debt of CN¥129.2m at the end of June 2023, a reduction from CN¥164.5m over a year. However, it does have CN¥386.4m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥257.2m.

下圖顯示,截至2023年6月底,深圳卓威科技的債務為1.292億加元,較一年內的1.645億加元有所減少。然而,它確實有3.864億加元的現金來抵消這一點,導致淨現金為2.572億加元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002369 Debt to Equity History October 12th 2023
深交所:002369債轉股歷史2023年10月12日

A Look At Shenzhen Zowee Technology's Liabilities

深圳卓威科技負債情況一瞥

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Shenzhen Zowee Technology had liabilities of CN¥1.18b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥833.2m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥386.4m and CN¥412.6m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥1.21b.

放大最新的資產負債表數據可以看到,深圳卓威科技有11.8億元的負債在12個月內到期,超過12個月的負債有8.332億元的負債到期。另一方面,它有3.864億加元的現金和價值4.126億加元的應收賬款在一年內到期。因此,它的負債超過了現金和(近期)應收賬款的總和12.1億元。

This deficit isn't so bad because Shenzhen Zowee Technology is worth CN¥4.00b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Shenzhen Zowee Technology boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Shenzhen Zowee Technology will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

這一赤字並不是那麼糟糕,因為深圳卓威科技價值人民幣4億元,因此如果需要的話,可能會籌集到足夠的資本來支撐其資產負債表。但很明顯,我們絕對應該仔細檢查它是否能夠在不稀釋的情況下管理債務。儘管負債值得注意,但深圳卓威科技擁有淨現金,因此可以說它沒有沉重的債務負擔!毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中瞭解到的債務最多。但你不能完全孤立地看待債務,因為深圳卓威科技需要盈利來償還債務。因此,如果你熱衷於瞭解更多關於它的收益,可能值得查看一下它的長期收益趨勢圖。

Over 12 months, Shenzhen Zowee Technology made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥1.8b, which is a fall of 13%. We would much prefer see growth.

12個月來,深圳卓威科技息稅前利潤出現虧損,收入降至18億加元,降幅為13%。我們更希望看到增長。

So How Risky Is Shenzhen Zowee Technology?

那麼,深圳卓威科技的風險有多大呢?

Although Shenzhen Zowee Technology had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last twelve months, it generated positive free cash flow of CN¥102m. So although it is loss-making, it doesn't seem to have too much near-term balance sheet risk, keeping in mind the net cash. Until we see some positive EBIT, we're a bit cautious of the stock, not least because of the rather modest revenue growth. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Shenzhen Zowee Technology you should be aware of.

儘管深圳卓威科技在過去12個月中出現息稅前收益(EBIT)虧損,但它產生了1.02億元的正自由現金流。因此,儘管它在虧損,但考慮到淨現金,它似乎沒有太大的近期資產負債表風險。在我們看到一些積極的息稅前利潤,我們對該股有點謹慎,尤其是因為收入增長相當溫和。在分析債務水準時,資產負債表顯然是一個起點。但歸根結底,每家公司都可能包含存在於資產負債表之外的風險。一個恰當的例子:我們發現了深圳卓威科技的2個警示標誌你應該意識到。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

總而言之,有時候專注於甚至不需要債務的公司會更容易。讀者可以訪問淨債務為零的成長型股票列表100%免費,現在。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性.我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議.它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況.我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析.請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內.Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉.

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