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There's Reason For Concern Over Time Watch Investments Limited's (HKG:2033) Massive 34% Price Jump

There's Reason For Concern Over Time Watch Investments Limited's (HKG:2033) Massive 34% Price Jump

有理由擔心 Time Watch Investments Limited(HKG: 2033)價格大幅上漲34%
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/11 18:01

Time Watch Investments Limited (HKG:2033) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 34% after a shaky period beforehand. Notwithstanding the latest gain, the annual share price return of 5.9% isn't as impressive.

時計投資有限公司(HKG:2033)股價經歷了令人印象深刻的一個月,在經歷了一段不穩定的時期後上漲了34%。儘管最近有所上漲,但5.9%的年度股價回報率並不令人印象深刻。

Following the firm bounce in price, Time Watch Investments' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 25x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 9x and even P/E's below 4x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

隨著股價的強勁反彈,Time Watch Investments 25倍的本益比可能會讓它現在看起來像是一個強勁的賣盤。在香港市場,大約一半的公司的本益比低於9倍,甚至本益比低於4倍的情況也很常見。然而,本益比可能相當高是有原因的,需要進一步調查才能確定它是否合理。

Time Watch Investments has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings at a solid pace. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this respectable earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Time Watch Investments最近一直做得很好,因為它的收益一直在穩步增長。一種可能性是,本益比很高,因為投資者認為,這種可觀的收益增長在不久的將來將足以跑贏大盤。如果不是,那麼現有股東可能會對股價的生存能力感到有點緊張。

View our latest analysis for Time Watch Investments

查看我們對Time Watch Investments的最新分析

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:2033 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry October 11th 2023
聯交所:2033本益比與行業2023年10月11日
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Time Watch Investments, take a look at this
儘管沒有分析師對Time Watch Investments的估計,但看看這個
free
免費
data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
豐富的數據可視化,看看公司的收益、收入和現金流是如何堆積的。

Is There Enough Growth For Time Watch Investments?

Time Watch Investments有足夠的增長嗎?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Time Watch Investments' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

唯一能讓你真正放心地看到像Time Watch Investments這樣高的本益比的時候,就是該公司的增長勢頭明顯好於大盤的時候。

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 13%. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen an unpleasant 73% overall drop in EPS. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

如果我們回顧去年的收益增長,該公司公佈了13%的合理增長。然而,這還不夠,因為在最近的三年裡,每股收益出現了令人不快的73%的整體下降。因此,不幸的是,我們不得不承認,在這段時間裡,該公司在盈利增長方面做得並不出色。

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 24% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term earnings results is a sobering picture.

與預計未來12個月將實現24%增長的市場相比,根據最近的中期收益結果,該公司的下行勢頭令人警醒。

In light of this, it's alarming that Time Watch Investments' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

有鑒於此,Time Watch Investments的本益比超過了大多數其他公司,這令人擔憂。顯然,該公司的許多投資者比最近的情況所顯示的要樂觀得多,不願以任何價格拋售他們的股票。只有最大膽的人才會認為這些價格是可持續的,因為最近盈利趨勢的延續最終可能會對股價造成沉重壓力。

What We Can Learn From Time Watch Investments' P/E?

我們能從Time Watch Investments的本益比中學到什麼?

The strong share price surge has got Time Watch Investments' P/E rushing to great heights as well. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

強勁的股價飆升也使Time Watch Investments的本益比飆升至極高水平。僅僅用本益比來決定你是否應該出售你的股票是不明智的,但它可以成為公司未來前景的實用指南。

We've established that Time Watch Investments currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

我們已經確定,Time Watch Investments目前的本益比遠遠高於預期,因為它最近的收益在中期內一直在下降。目前,我們對高本益比越來越感到不安,因為這種盈利表現不太可能長期支持這種積極情緒。如果近期的中期盈利趨勢持續下去,將使股東的投資面臨重大風險,潛在投資者面臨支付過高溢價的危險。

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Time Watch Investments (1 is a bit concerning!) that we have uncovered.

在您採取下一步之前,您應該瞭解Time Watch Investments的兩個警告信號(1有點令人擔憂!)我們已經發現了。

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

當然了,通過觀察幾個優秀的候選人,你可能會發現這是一項非常棒的投資。所以讓我們來看看這個免費增長記錄強勁的公司名單,本益比較低。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫.或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是暗示Wallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性.我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議.它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況.我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析.請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內.Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉.

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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