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We Think Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical (SHSE:603599) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

We Think Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical (SHSE:603599) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

我們認爲安徽廣信農化(上海證券交易所代碼:603599)可以輕鬆管理債務
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/10 22:07

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603599) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

一些人說,作為投資者,考慮風險的最佳方式是波動性,而不是債務,但巴菲特曾說過一句名言:波動性遠非風險的同義詞。因此,當你考慮到任何一隻股票的風險有多大時,你需要考慮債務可能是顯而易見的,因為太多的債務可能會讓一家公司倒閉。與許多其他公司一樣安徽廣信農化有限公司(上海證券交易所:603599)利用債務。但這筆債務對股東來說是一個擔憂嗎?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

為什麼債務會帶來風險?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

債務幫助企業,直到企業難以償還債務,無論是用新資本還是用自由現金流。在最糟糕的情況下,如果一家公司無法償還債權人的債務,它可能會破產。然而,更常見(但代價仍然高昂)的情況是,一家公司必須以極低的價格發行股票,永久性地稀釋股東的股份,只是為了支撐其資產負債表。當然,許多公司利用債務為增長提供資金,沒有任何負面後果。在考慮一家公司的債務水準時,第一步是同時考慮其現金和債務。

View our latest analysis for Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical

查看我們對安徽廣信農化的最新分析

What Is Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical's Debt?

安徽廣信農化的債務是什麼?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2023 Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical had CN¥1.53b of debt, an increase on CN¥535.3m, over one year. But it also has CN¥9.67b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥8.13b net cash.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數據,但它顯示,截至2023年6月,安徽廣信農化的債務為15.3億元人民幣,比一年前增加了5.353億元人民幣。但它也有人民幣96.7億元的現金來抵消,這意味著它有人民幣81.3億元的淨現金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:603599 Debt to Equity History October 11th 2023
上證綜指:603599債轉股歷史2023年10月11日

How Strong Is Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical's Balance Sheet?

安徽廣信農化的資產負債表到底有多強?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical had liabilities of CN¥5.04b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥137.7m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥9.67b as well as receivables valued at CN¥666.6m due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥5.16b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,安徽廣信農化有50.4億元的負債在一年內到期,1.377億元的負債在一年內到期。為了抵消這些債務,該公司有96.7億加元的現金以及價值6.666億加元的應收賬款在12個月內到期。所以它實際上有51.6億元人民幣更多流動資產超過總負債。

It's good to see that Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical has plenty of liquidity on its balance sheet, suggesting conservative management of liabilities. Due to its strong net asset position, it is not likely to face issues with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

令人欣慰的是,安徽廣信農化的資產負債表上有充足的流動性,這表明其對負債的管理較為保守。由於其強大的淨資產狀況,它不太可能面臨與貸款人的問題。簡而言之,安徽廣信農化的現金多於債務,可以說是一個很好的跡象,表明它有能力安全地管理債務。

Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical's EBIT was pretty flat over the last year, but that shouldn't be an issue given the it doesn't have a lot of debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

安徽廣信農化的息稅前利潤與去年持平,但考慮到它沒有太多債務,這應該不是一個問題。當你分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是你關注的領域。但最終,該業務未來的盈利能力將決定安徽廣信農化能否隨著時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 81% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

最後,儘管稅務人員可能喜歡會計利潤,但貸款人只接受冷硬現金。安徽廣信農化的資產負債表上可能有淨現金,但看看該業務將息稅前利潤(EBIT)轉換為自由現金流的情況仍很有趣,因為這將影響其對債務的需求和管理債務的能力。過去三年,安徽廣信農化錄得的自由現金流相當於其息稅前利潤的81%,比我們通常預期的要好。這使它處於有利的地位,如果需要的話,它可以償還債務。

Summing Up

總結

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical has net cash of CN¥8.13b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥2.1b, being 81% of its EBIT. So is Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical you should know about.

雖然我們同情投資者對債務的擔憂,但您應該記住,安徽廣信農化擁有81.3億元人民幣的淨現金,流動資產多於負債。它給我們留下了深刻的印象,自由現金流為21億元人民幣,佔其息稅前利潤的81%。那麼,安徽廣信農化的債務是否存在風險?但在我們看來並非如此。當你分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是你關注的領域。然而,並非所有投資風險都存在於資產負債表中--遠非如此。這些風險可能很難發現。每家公司都有它們,我們已經發現1安徽廣信農化警示標誌你應該知道。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果你是那種喜歡在沒有債務負擔的情況下購買股票的投資者,那麼不要猶豫,今天就來看看我們的淨現金成長型股票獨家名單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性.我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議.它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況.我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析.請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內.Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉.

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