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Automatic Data Processing's (NASDAQ:ADP) 15% CAGR Outpaced the Company's Earnings Growth Over the Same Five-year Period

Automatic Data Processing's (NASDAQ:ADP) 15% CAGR Outpaced the Company's Earnings Growth Over the Same Five-year Period

Automation Data Processing(納斯達克股票代碼:ADP)15%的複合年增長率超過了該公司同期的收益增長
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/10 10:16

Stock pickers are generally looking for stocks that will outperform the broader market. And the truth is, you can make significant gains if you buy good quality businesses at the right price. For example, the Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (NASDAQ:ADP) share price is up 78% in the last 5 years, clearly besting the market return of around 51% (ignoring dividends). On the other hand, the more recent gains haven't been so impressive, with shareholders gaining just 12% , including dividends .

選股人士一般都在尋找表現好於大盤的股票。事實是,如果你以合適的價格收購質量好的企業,你可以獲得巨大的收益。例如,自動數據處理公司納斯達克(Sequoia Capital:ADP)股價在過去5年中上漲了78%,顯然超過了約51%的市場回報率(忽略股息)。另一方面,最近的漲幅沒有那麼令人印象深刻,包括股息在內,股東只獲得了12%的收益。

On the back of a solid 7-day performance, let's check what role the company's fundamentals have played in driving long term shareholder returns.

在連續7天表現穩健的基礎上,讓我們來看看該公司的基本面在推動長期股東回報方面發揮了什麼作用。

View our latest analysis for Automatic Data Processing

查看我們針對自動數據處理的最新分析

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

雖然有效市場假說繼續被一些人傳授,但事實證明,市場是過度反應的動態系統,投資者並不總是理性的。評估圍繞一家公司的情緒變化的一個有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。

Over half a decade, Automatic Data Processing managed to grow its earnings per share at 14% a year. This EPS growth is reasonably close to the 12% average annual increase in the share price. Therefore one could conclude that sentiment towards the shares hasn't morphed very much. In fact, the share price seems to largely reflect the EPS growth.

在過去的五年裡,自動數據處理公司的每股收益以每年14%的速度增長。這一每股收益增長相當接近該公司股價12%的年均漲幅。因此,人們可以得出這樣的結論:投資者對這些股票的情緒沒有太大變化。事實上,股價似乎在很大程度上反映了每股收益的增長。

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下圖描述了EPS是如何隨著時間的推移而變化的(通過單擊圖像來揭示確切的值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
NasdaqGS:ADP Earnings Per Share Growth October 10th 2023
納斯達克:ADP每股收益增長2023年10月10日

We know that Automatic Data Processing has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? This free report showing analyst revenue forecasts should help you figure out if the EPS growth can be sustained.

我們知道,自動數據處理最近提高了利潤,但它會增加收入嗎?這免費顯示分析師收入預測的報告應該會幫助你弄清楚每股收益的增長是否可以持續。

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Automatic Data Processing, it has a TSR of 98% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

除了衡量股價回報外,投資者還應考慮總股東回報(TSR)。TSR包括任何剝離或貼現融資的價值,以及任何股息,基於股息再投資的假設。公平地說,TSR為支付股息的股票提供了更完整的圖景。在自動數據處理方面,過去5年的TSR為98%。這超過了我們之前提到的它的股價回報。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種差異是沒有好處的!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

Automatic Data Processing shareholders gained a total return of 12% during the year. But that return falls short of the market. It's probably a good sign that the company has an even better long term track record, having provided shareholders with an annual TSR of 15% over five years. It may well be that this is a business worth popping on the watching, given the continuing positive reception, over time, from the market. Before forming an opinion on Automatic Data Processing you might want to consider these 3 valuation metrics.

自動數據處理公司股東年內的總回報率為12%。但這一回報率低於市場。這可能是一個好跡象,表明該公司擁有更好的長期記錄,在五年內為股東提供了15%的年TSR。考慮到隨著時間的推移,市場對這一業務的持續積極反應,這很可能是一項值得關注的業務。在對自動數據處理形成看法之前,您可能需要考慮以下3個估值指標。

But note: Automatic Data Processing may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

但請注意:自動數據處理可能不是最好的股票。所以讓我們來看看這個免費過去有盈利增長(以及進一步增長預測)的有趣公司名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫.或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是暗示Wallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性.我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議.它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況.我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析.請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內.Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉.

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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