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Investors in New China Life Insurance (SHSE:601336) Have Unfortunately Lost 39% Over the Last Three Years

Investors in New China Life Insurance (SHSE:601336) Have Unfortunately Lost 39% Over the Last Three Years

不幸的是,新中國人壽保險(上海證券交易所代碼:601336)的投資者在過去三年中損失了39%
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/09 21:11

As an investor its worth striving to ensure your overall portfolio beats the market average. But in any portfolio, there are likely to be some stocks that fall short of that benchmark. We regret to report that long term New China Life Insurance Company Ltd. (SHSE:601336) shareholders have had that experience, with the share price dropping 45% in three years, versus a market decline of about 7.2%. More recently, the share price has dropped a further 10% in a month.

作為一名投資者,努力確保你的整體投資組合超過市場平均水準是值得的。但在任何投資組合中,都可能會有一些股票沒有達到這一基準。我們很遺憾地報告這一長期的新華保險股份有限公司。(上海證券交易所:601336)股東有過這樣的經歷,股價在三年內下跌了45%,而市場跌幅約為7.2%。最近,該公司股價在一個月內進一步下跌了10%。

It's worthwhile assessing if the company's economics have been moving in lockstep with these underwhelming shareholder returns, or if there is some disparity between the two. So let's do just that.

值得評估的是,該公司的經濟狀況是否一直與這些平淡無奇的股東回報同步,或者兩者之間是否存在一些差距。所以我們就這麼做吧。

View our latest analysis for New China Life Insurance

查看我們對新華保險的最新分析

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

雖然市場是一種強大的定價機制,但股價反映的是投資者情緒,而不僅僅是潛在的企業表現。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和股價隨時間的變化,我們可以感受到投資者對一家公司的態度隨著時間的推移發生了怎樣的變化。

During the three years that the share price fell, New China Life Insurance's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 4.6% each year. The share price decline of 18% is actually steeper than the EPS slippage. So it's likely that the EPS decline has disappointed the market, leaving investors hesitant to buy. The less favorable sentiment is reflected in its current P/E ratio of 10.79.

在股價下跌的三年裡,新華保險的每股收益(EPS)每年下降4.6%。18%的股價跌幅實際上比每股收益的下滑幅度更大。因此,很可能是每股收益的下降令市場失望,讓投資者對買入猶豫不決。這種不那麼有利的情緒反映在該公司目前10.79的本益比上。

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下圖顯示了EPS是如何隨著時間的推移進行跟蹤的(如果您點擊該圖像,您可以看到更多詳細資訊)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SHSE:601336 Earnings Per Share Growth October 10th 2023
上交所:2023年10月10日每股收益增長601336

This free interactive report on New China Life Insurance's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

免費如果你想進一步調查新華保險的股票,關於該公司收益、收入和現金流的互動報告是一個很好的起點。

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, New China Life Insurance's TSR for the last 3 years was -39%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

在考察投資回報時,重要的是要考慮到股東總回報(TSR)和股價回報。雖然股價回報只反映股價的變動,但TSR包括股息的價值(假設股息再投資),以及任何折價集資或分拆所帶來的利益。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來說,TSR往往比股價回報高得多。碰巧的是,新華保險最近3年的TSR為-39%,超過了前面提到的股價回報。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種差異是沒有好處的!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

It's nice to see that New China Life Insurance shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 40% over the last year. And that does include the dividend. That certainly beats the loss of about 1.9% per year over the last half decade. This makes us a little wary, but the business might have turned around its fortunes. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for New China Life Insurance you should know about.

很高興看到新華保險的股東在過去一年裡獲得了40%的總股東回報。這確實包括了股息。這當然超過了過去五年每年約1.9%的損失。這讓我們有點警惕,但這家企業可能已經扭轉了命運。雖然值得考慮市場狀況對股價可能產生的不同影響,但還有其他更重要的因素。例如,考慮一下風險。每家公司都有它們,我們已經發現新華保險的2個警示標誌你應該知道。

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

如果你喜歡和管理層一起買股票,那麼你可能會喜歡這本書免費公司名單.(提示:內部人士一直在買入這些股票)。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫.或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是暗示Wallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性.我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議.它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況.我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析.請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內.Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉.

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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