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Weak Statutory Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Lushang Life Services (HKG:2376)

Weak Statutory Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Lushang Life Services (HKG:2376)

疲軟的法定收入可能無法說明魯商人壽服務的全部情況 (HKG: 2376)
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/02 01:49

Last week's earnings announcement from Lushang Life Services Co., Ltd. (HKG:2376) was disappointing to investors, with a sluggish profit figure. We did some analysis, and found that there are some reasons to be cautious about the headline numbers.

上週公佈的財報來自魯商生活服務有限公司。(HKG:2376)令投資者失望,盈利數位低迷。我們做了一些分析,發現有一些理由對整體數位持謹慎態度。

View our latest analysis for Lushang Life Services

查看我們對廬商生活服務的最新分析

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:2376 Earnings and Revenue History October 2nd 2023
聯交所:2376盈利及收入歷史2023年10月2日

Zooming In On Lushang Life Services' Earnings

放大瀘商生活服務的收益

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

在高端金融領域,衡量一家公司將報告利潤轉換為自由現金流(FCF)的程度的關鍵比率是應計比率(來自現金流)。應計制比率從給定期間的利潤中減去FCF,然後將結果除以該時間段內公司的平均運營資產。你可以把來自現金流的應計比率看作是‘非FCF利潤率’。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

這意味著負的應計比率是一件好事,因為它表明該公司帶來的自由現金流比其利潤所暗示的要多。雖然應計比率高於零並不令人擔憂,但我們確實認為,當一家公司的應計比率相對較高時,這一點值得注意。這是因為一些學術研究表明,高應計制比率往往會導致較低的利潤或較低的利潤增長。

For the year to June 2023, Lushang Life Services had an accrual ratio of 1.82. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥91m despite its profit of CN¥66.6m, mentioned above. We saw that FCF was CN¥62m a year ago though, so Lushang Life Services has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past.

截至2023年6月的一年,廬商生活服務的應計比率為1.82。從統計上講,這對未來的收益是一個真正的負面影響。事實上,在此期間,該公司沒有產生任何自由現金流。在過去的12個月裡,它實際上有負面自由現金流,儘管其利潤為6660萬元,但仍流出9100萬元。我們看到一年前的FCF是6200萬元人民幣,所以廬商生活服務至少在過去能夠產生正的FCF。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Lushang Life Services.

注:我們總是建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處進入我們對魯商生活服務的資產負債表分析。

Our Take On Lushang Life Services' Profit Performance

我們如何看待魯商人壽的盈利表現

As we have made quite clear, we're a bit worried that Lushang Life Services didn't back up the last year's profit with free cashflow. For this reason, we think that Lushang Life Services' statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. Sadly, its EPS was down over the last twelve months. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. If you want to do dive deeper into Lushang Life Services, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Be aware that Lushang Life Services is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis and 1 of those is a bit concerning...

正如我們已經說得很清楚的那樣,我們有點擔心魯商生活服務沒有用自由現金流來支撐去年的利潤。出於這個原因,我們認為魯商人壽的法定利潤可能是其潛在盈利能力的不良指引,可能會給投資者帶來對該公司過於樂觀的印象。遺憾的是,在過去的12個月裡,它的每股收益一直在下降。本文的目的是評估我們可以在多大程度上依賴法定收益來反映公司的潛力,但還有很多東西需要考慮。如果你真的想更深入地研究魯商生活服務,你還應該調查它目前面臨的風險。請注意,陸上生活服務公司正在展示我們的投資分析中的3個警告信號其中一條有點牽涉到...

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Lushang Life Services' profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

今天,我們放大了一個數據點,以更好地瞭解魯商生活服務的利潤性質。但還有很多其他方式可以讓你瞭解一家公司的看法。一些人認為,高股本回報率是高質量企業的良好標誌。所以你可能想看看這個免費擁有高股本回報率的公司的集合,或內部人士正在購買的這份股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性.我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議.它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況.我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析.請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內.Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉.

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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