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Desun Real Estate Investment Services Group's (HKG:2270) Anemic Earnings Might Be Worse Than You Think

Desun Real Estate Investment Services Group's (HKG:2270) Anemic Earnings Might Be Worse Than You Think

德生房地產投資服務集團 (HKG: 22700) 疲軟的收益可能比你想象的還要糟糕
Simply Wall St ·  2023/09/29 18:24

Despite Desun Real Estate Investment Services Group Co., Ltd.'s (HKG:2270) recent earnings report having lackluster headline numbers, the market responded positively. While shareholders may be willing to overlook soft profit numbers, we believe that they should also be taking into account some other factors which may be cause for concern.

儘管德順房地產投資服務集團有限公司S(HKG:2270)近期盈利報告整體數位平淡,市場反應積極。雖然股東可能願意忽視疲軟的利潤數位,但我們認為,他們也應該考慮到其他一些可能令人擔憂的因素。

View our latest analysis for Desun Real Estate Investment Services Group

查看德順房地產投資服務集團的最新分析

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:2270 Earnings and Revenue History September 29th 2023
聯交所:2270盈利及收入歷史2023年9月29日

A Closer Look At Desun Real Estate Investment Services Group's Earnings

近距離觀察德信房地產投資服務集團的收益

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

許多投資者都沒有聽說過現金流應計比率但它實際上是衡量一家公司在給定時期內自由現金流(FCF)支持公司利潤的程度的有用指標。應計制比率從給定期間的利潤中減去FCF,然後將結果除以該時間段內公司的平均運營資產。你可以把來自現金流的應計比率看作是‘非FCF利潤率’。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,當一家公司的應計比率為負時,它實際上被認為是一件好事,但如果它的應計比率為正,那就是一件壞事。雖然應計比率為正並不是問題,這表明非現金利潤達到了一定的水準,但高的應計比率可以說是一件壞事,因為它表明賬面利潤與現金流不匹配。引用勒維倫和雷秀克泰克2014年的一篇論文,“應計利潤較高的公司未來的利潤往往較低”。

Over the twelve months to June 2023, Desun Real Estate Investment Services Group recorded an accrual ratio of 1.83. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥44m despite its profit of CN¥25.7m, mentioned above. We also note that Desun Real Estate Investment Services Group's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥44m.

在截至2023年6月的12個月內,德順房地產投資服務集團的應計比率為1.83。一般來說,這對未來的盈利能力來說是個不好的預兆。換句話說,該公司在那段時間沒有產生一分錢的自由現金流。在過去的12個月裡,它實際上有負面自由現金流,儘管其利潤為2570萬元,但仍流出4400萬元。我們還注意到,德信房地產投資服務集團去年的自由現金流實際上也是負的,因此我們可以理解股東是否因其流出4400萬元人民幣而感到困擾。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Desun Real Estate Investment Services Group.

注:我們總是建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對德順房地產投資服務集團的資產負債表分析。

Our Take On Desun Real Estate Investment Services Group's Profit Performance

我們對德順房地產投資服務集團盈利表現的看法

As we have made quite clear, we're a bit worried that Desun Real Estate Investment Services Group didn't back up the last year's profit with free cashflow. For this reason, we think that Desun Real Estate Investment Services Group's statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. In further bad news, its earnings per share decreased in the last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Desun Real Estate Investment Services Group at this point in time. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 5 warning signs for Desun Real Estate Investment Services Group (of which 3 are potentially serious!) you should know about.

正如我們已經說得很清楚的那樣,我們有點擔心德信房地產投資服務集團沒有用自由現金流來支持去年的利潤。因此,我們認為德信房地產投資服務集團的法定利潤可能是其潛在盈利能力的不良指引,並可能給投資者帶來對該公司過於積極的印象。更壞的消息是,該公司去年的每股收益有所下降。當然,當談到分析其收益時,我們只是觸及了皮毛;人們還可以考慮利潤率、預測增長和投資回報等因素。因此,儘管收益質量很重要,但考慮到德信房地產投資服務集團目前面臨的風險也同樣重要。每家公司都有風險,我們已經發現德順房地產投資服務集團的5個警示標誌(其中3個可能是嚴重的!)你應該知道。

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Desun Real Estate Investment Services Group's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

今天,我們放大了一個數據點,以更好地瞭解德信房地產投資服務集團的利潤性質。但如果你有能力將注意力集中在細枝末節上,總會有更多的東西需要發現。例如,許多人認為高股本回報率是有利的商業經濟指標,而另一些人則喜歡“跟著錢走”,尋找內部人士正在買入的股票。雖然這可能需要為您做一些研究,但您可能會發現免費擁有高股本回報率的公司的集合,或者是內部人士購買的有用的股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性.我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議.它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況.我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析.請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內.Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉.

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