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Is Asia Cuanon Technology (Shanghai)Ltd (SHSE:603378) Using Too Much Debt?

Is Asia Cuanon Technology (Shanghai)Ltd (SHSE:603378) Using Too Much Debt?

Asia Cuanon Technology(上海)有限公司(上海證券交易所代碼:603378)是否使用了過多的債務?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/09/28 18:44

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Asia Cuanon Technology (Shanghai) Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:603378) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

傳奇基金經理Li·Lu曾說過,最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久性的資本損失。當你考察一家公司的風險有多大時,考慮它的資產負債表是很自然的,因為當一家企業倒閉時,債務往往會涉及到它。重要的是亞冠科技(上海)有限公司(上海證券交易所:603378)確實背負著債務。但這筆債務對股東來說是一個擔憂嗎?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

為什麼債務會帶來風險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

一般來說,只有當一家公司無法輕鬆償還債務時,債務才會成為一個真正的問題,無論是通過籌集資金還是用自己的現金流。如果情況真的變得很糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。然而,更常見(但代價仍然高昂)的情況是,一家公司必須以極低的價格發行股票,永久性地稀釋股東的股份,只是為了支撐其資產負債表。當然,許多公司利用債務為增長提供資金,沒有任何負面後果。當我們檢查債務水準時,我們首先同時考慮現金和債務水準。

View our latest analysis for Asia Cuanon Technology (Shanghai)Ltd

查看我們對亞冠科技(上海)有限公司的最新分析

What Is Asia Cuanon Technology (Shanghai)Ltd's Net Debt?

亞冠科技(上海)有限公司的淨債務是多少?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Asia Cuanon Technology (Shanghai)Ltd had CN¥1.97b in debt in June 2023; about the same as the year before. On the flip side, it has CN¥313.9m in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥1.66b.

下面的圖表顯示,2023年6月,亞冠科技(上海)有限公司的債務為19.7億元人民幣,與前一年大致相同。你可以點擊查看更多細節。另一方面,它擁有3.139億加元的現金,導致淨債務約為16.6億加元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:603378 Debt to Equity History September 28th 2023
上證綜指:603378債轉股歷史2023年9月28日

A Look At Asia Cuanon Technology (Shanghai)Ltd's Liabilities

亞冠科技(上海)有限公司負債情況一瞥

The latest balance sheet data shows that Asia Cuanon Technology (Shanghai)Ltd had liabilities of CN¥4.36b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥820.6m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥313.9m in cash and CN¥2.45b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥2.41b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,亞冠科技(上海)有限公司有43.6億元人民幣的負債在一年內到期,8.206億元的負債在一年內到期。作為抵消,它有3.139億加元的現金和24.5億加元的應收賬款在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債總額為人民幣24.1億元,比現金和近期應收賬款加起來還要多。

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of CN¥3.92b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Asia Cuanon Technology (Shanghai)Ltd's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

與其39.2億元的市值相比,這一赤字是相當可觀的,因此這確實表明,股東應該密切關注亞冠科技(上海)有限公司的債務使用情況。如果它的貸款人要求它支撐資產負債表,股東可能會面臨嚴重的稀釋。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

我們通過查看公司的淨債務除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前收益(EBITDA),並計算其息稅前收益(EBIT)覆蓋利息支出(利息覆蓋)的容易程度,來衡量公司的債務負擔與其盈利能力的關係。這種方法的優點是,我們既考慮了債務的絕對數量(淨債務與EBITDA之比),也考慮了與債務相關的實際利息支出(及其利息覆蓋率)。

Weak interest cover of 0.79 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 8.7 hit our confidence in Asia Cuanon Technology (Shanghai)Ltd like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. However, the silver lining was that Asia Cuanon Technology (Shanghai)Ltd achieved a positive EBIT of CN¥71m in the last twelve months, an improvement on the prior year's loss. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Asia Cuanon Technology (Shanghai)Ltd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

0.79倍的疲弱利息覆蓋率和8.7的令人不安的高淨債務與EBITDA比率打擊了我們對亞洲寬農科技(上海)有限公司的信心,就像對腸子的一擊。這裡的債務負擔是巨大的。然而,一線希望是,亞冠科技(上海)有限公司在過去12個月實現了7100萬元的正息稅前利潤,較前一年的虧損有所改善。當你分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是你關注的領域。但決定亞冠科技(上海)有限公司未來保持健康資產負債表的能力,最重要的是未來的收益。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Asia Cuanon Technology (Shanghai)Ltd actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last year. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

最後,儘管稅務人員可能喜歡會計利潤,但貸款人只接受冷硬現金。因此,有必要檢查一下息稅前收益(EBIT)中有多少是由自由現金流支持的。令所有股東感到高興的是,亞冠科技(上海)有限公司去年產生的自由現金流實際上超過了息稅前利潤。這種強勁的現金轉換讓我們像傻龐克演唱會上節奏下降時的觀眾一樣興奮。

Our View

我們的觀點

Neither Asia Cuanon Technology (Shanghai)Ltd's ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT nor its net debt to EBITDA gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Asia Cuanon Technology (Shanghai)Ltd is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 4 warning signs with Asia Cuanon Technology (Shanghai)Ltd (at least 1 which is concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

無論是亞洲誇農科技(上海)有限公司用息稅前利潤來支付利息支出的能力,還是其對EBITDA的淨債務,都沒有讓我們對其承擔更多債務的能力產生信心。但它將息稅前利潤轉換為自由現金流的情況則截然不同,並表明它具有一定的韌性。綜上所述,在我們看來,由於亞冠科技(上海)有限公司的債務,它確實是一項有一定風險的投資。這不一定是一件壞事,因為槓桿可以提高股本回報率,但這是需要注意的。在分析債務水準時,資產負債表顯然是一個起點。但歸根結底,每家公司都可能包含存在於資產負債表之外的風險。我們已經確定了4個警告信號與亞冠科技(上海)有限公司合作(至少有一項涉及),瞭解他們應該是你投資過程的一部分。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果你是那種喜歡在沒有債務負擔的情況下購買股票的投資者,那麼不要猶豫,今天就來看看我們的淨現金成長型股票獨家名單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性.我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議.它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況.我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析.請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內.Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉.

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