Government Shutdown Could Last 2-3 Weeks With 90% Certainty: Goldman Sachs
Government Shutdown Could Last 2-3 Weeks With 90% Certainty: Goldman Sachs
Lawmakers are running out of time to prevent another partial shutdown of the U.S. government. Goldman Sachs' chief economist, Jan Hatzius, predicts a shutdown lasting two to three weeks starting Oct. 1.
議員們沒有時間阻止美國政府再次部分關閉。高盛首席經濟學家 揚·哈齊烏斯，預計從10月1日起，停工將持續兩到三週。
A government shutdown this year has looked likely for several months, and we now think the odds have risen to 90%," said Hatzius.
今年的政府關閉似乎可能持續幾個月，我們現在認爲幾率已經上升到90％，” 哈齊烏斯說。
Hatzius stated in a Wednesday note that despite the possibility of a last-minute deal, there hasn't been significant progress nor ample time remaining, Fortune reported,
據《財富》雜誌報道，Hatzius在週三的報告中表示，儘管有可能在最後一刻達成協議，但沒有取得重大進展，也沒有足夠的剩餘時間，
He believes that the shutdown could last several weeks due to the build-up of political pressure from delayed military pay dates and a decline in essential operations. A Nomura economics team supports Hatzius's view, also suggesting a potential longer shutdown.
他認爲，由於軍人發薪日期延遲和基本行動減少帶來的政治壓力越來越大，停工可能會持續數週。野村證券的一個經濟團隊支持Hatzius的觀點，並暗示停工時間可能會更長。
Lawmakers' only option to prevent a shutdown is passing a short-term funding extension, a "continuing resolution" or CR. However, Hatzius warns that the current CRs being pushed by the Senate and House include controversial provisions making their passage unlikely.
議員們防止停擺的唯一選擇是通過短期資金延期、“持續決議” 或CR。但是，哈齊烏斯警告說，參議院和衆議院目前正在推動的CR包括有爭議的條款，因此不太可能獲得通過。
A partial government shutdown could affect the salaries of up to four million federal workers and cut various services. However, mandatory spending programs like Medicare, Medicaid, and Social Security are expected to remain unaffected.
政府部分關閉可能會影響多達400萬聯邦工作人員的工資，並削減各種服務。但是，醫療保險、醫療補助和社會保障等強制性支出計劃預計不會受到影響。