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Has CMOC Group Limited's (HKG:3993) Impressive Stock Performance Got Anything to Do With Its Fundamentals?

Has CMOC Group Limited's (HKG:3993) Impressive Stock Performance Got Anything to Do With Its Fundamentals?

洛陽鉬業集團有限公司(HKG: 3993)令人印象深刻的股票表現是否與其基本面有關?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/07/30 20:44

Most readers would already be aware that CMOC Group's (HKG:3993) stock increased significantly by 25% over the past month. We wonder if and what role the company's financials play in that price change as a company's long-term fundamentals usually dictate market outcomes. Particularly, we will be paying attention to CMOC Group's ROE today.

大多數讀者已經意識到,洛陽鉬業集團(HKG: 3993)的股票在過去一個月中大幅上漲了25%。我們想知道公司的財務狀況是否在價格變化中起什麼作用,因爲公司的長期基本面通常決定市場結果。特別是,我們今天將關注洛陽鉬業集團的投資回報率。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

股本回報率或投資回報率是股東需要考慮的重要因素,因爲它可以告訴他們資本再投資的有效性。簡而言之,投資回報率顯示了每美元從其股東投資中產生的利潤。

View our latest analysis for CMOC Group

查看我們對洛陽鉬業集團的最新分析

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

你如何計算股本回報率?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股本回報率可以通過使用以下公式計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營業務)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for CMOC Group is:

因此,根據上述公式,洛陽鉬業集團的投資回報率爲:

9.2% = CN¥5.6b ÷ CN¥61b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).

9.2% = 5.6b cn¥6/61b(基於截至 2023 年 3 月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every HK$1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of HK$0.09.

“回報” 是過去十二個月的利潤。因此,這意味着其股東每投資1港元,公司就會產生0.09港元的利潤。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

投資回報率與收益增長有什麼關係?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到,投資回報率是衡量公司盈利能力的指標。現在,我們需要評估公司再投資或 “保留” 了多少利潤以用於未來的增長,從而使我們對公司的增長潛力有所了解。假設其他條件都一樣,與功能不相同的公司相比,具有更高股本回報率和更高利潤保留率的公司通常具有更高的增長率。

CMOC Group's Earnings Growth And 9.2% ROE

洛陽鉬業集團的盈利增長和 9.2% 的投資回報率

On the face of it, CMOC Group's ROE is not much to talk about. However, given that the company's ROE is similar to the average industry ROE of 10%, we may spare it some thought. Even so, CMOC Group has shown a fairly decent growth in its net income which grew at a rate of 12%. Given the slightly low ROE, it is likely that there could be some other aspects that are driving this growth. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

從表面上看,洛陽鉬業集團的投資回報率沒什麼好談的。但是,鑑於該公司的投資回報率與10%的平均行業投資回報率相似,我們可以不加考慮。即便如此,洛陽鉬業集團的淨收入仍表現出相當不錯的增長,增長率爲12%。鑑於投資回報率略低,可能還有其他一些方面在推動這種增長。例如,該公司的派息率很低或者管理得很高效。

As a next step, we compared CMOC Group's net income growth with the industry and were disappointed to see that the company's growth is lower than the industry average growth of 27% in the same period.

下一步,我們將洛陽鉬業集團的淨收入增長與該行業進行了比較,但失望地看到該公司的增長低於同期27%的行業平均增長。

past-earnings-growth
SEHK:3993 Past Earnings Growth July 31st 2023
聯交所:3993 過去的收益增長 2023 年 7 月 31 日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. What is 3993 worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether 3993 is currently mispriced by the market.

收益增長是影響股票估值的重要因素。對於投資者來說,重要的是要知道市場是否對公司的預期收益增長(或下降)進行了定價。通過這樣做,他們將知道股票是否會進入清澈的藍色海水,或者是否有沼澤的水域在等待。今天的 3993 值多少錢?我們的免費研究報告中的內在價值信息圖有助於直觀地了解3993目前是否被市場錯誤定價。

Is CMOC Group Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

洛陽鉬業集團是否有效地將其利潤再投資?

CMOC Group has a healthy combination of a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 30% (or a retention ratio of 70%) and a respectable amount of growth in earnings as we saw above, meaning that the company has been making efficient use of its profits.

正如我們在上面看到的那樣,洛陽鉬業集團的三年中位派息率爲30%(或留存率爲70%),再加上收益的增長相當可觀,這意味着該公司一直在有效地利用其利潤。

Additionally, CMOC Group has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Based on the latest analysts' estimates, we found that the company's future payout ratio over the next three years is expected to hold steady at 35%. However, CMOC Group's ROE is predicted to rise to 18% despite there being no anticipated change in its payout ratio.

此外,洛陽鉬業集團已經支付了至少十年的股息,這意味着該公司非常認真地與股東分享利潤。根據分析師的最新估計,我們發現該公司未來三年的派息率預計將穩定在35%。但是,儘管預計洛陽鉬業集團的派息率不會發生變化,但預計其投資回報率將上升至18%。

Summary

摘要

Overall, we feel that CMOC Group certainly does have some positive factors to consider. That is, a decent growth in earnings backed by a high rate of reinvestment. However, we do feel that that earnings growth could have been higher if the business were to improve on the low ROE rate. Especially given how the company is reinvesting a huge chunk of its profits. That being so, the latest analyst forecasts show that the company will continue to see an expansion in its earnings. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

總體而言,我們認爲洛陽鉬業集團確實有一些積極因素需要考慮。也就是說,在高再投資率的支持下,收益實現了可觀的增長。但是,我們確實認爲,如果業務在低投資回報率的基礎上有所改善,收益增長本來可以更高。特別是考慮到該公司如何對其利潤的很大一部分進行再投資。既然如此,最新的分析師預測顯示,該公司的收益將繼續增長。要詳細了解分析師對公司的最新預測,請查看分析師對公司的預測的可視化。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。 我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。 它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街在上述任何股票中都沒有頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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