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International Business Settlement Holdings (HKG:147) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

International Business Settlement Holdings (HKG:147) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

國際商業結算控股(HKG: 147)因使用債務而承擔一些風險
Simply Wall St ·  2023/07/18 18:20

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, International Business Settlement Holdings Limited (HKG:147) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

David·伊本說得好,波動不是我們關心的風險,我們關心的是避免資本的永久性損失。因此,當你評估一家公司的風險有多大時,聰明的投資者似乎知道債務--通常涉及破產--是一個非常重要的因素。重要的是國際商務結算控股有限公司(HKG:147)確實背負著債務。但股東是否應該擔心它的債務使用情況?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務在什麼時候是危險的?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業發展的一種工具,但如果一家企業無法償還貸款人的債務,那麼它就只能聽從貸款人的擺佈。資本主義的一部分是“創造性破壞”的過程,破產的企業被銀行家無情地清算。然而,一種更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,一家公司必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東的股份,才能控制債務。當然,許多公司利用債務為增長提供資金,沒有任何負面後果。當我們考慮一家公司的債務用途時,我們首先會把現金和債務放在一起看。

View our latest analysis for International Business Settlement Holdings

查看我們對國際商務結算控股公司的最新分析

What Is International Business Settlement Holdings's Net Debt?

國際商務結算控股公司的淨債務是多少?

As you can see below, International Business Settlement Holdings had HK$901.4m of debt, at March 2023, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. On the flip side, it has HK$269.0m in cash leading to net debt of about HK$632.4m.

正如你在下面看到的,截至2023年3月,國際商務結算控股公司的債務為9.014億港元,與前一年大致相同。您可以單擊圖表查看更多詳細資訊。另一方面,該公司擁有2.69億港元現金,淨債務約為6.324億港元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:147 Debt to Equity History July 18th 2023
聯交所:147債轉股歷史2023年7月18日

How Healthy Is International Business Settlement Holdings' Balance Sheet?

國際商務結算控股公司的資產負債表有多健康?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that International Business Settlement Holdings had liabilities of HK$1.62b due within 12 months and liabilities of HK$132.8m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of HK$269.0m and HK$54.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total HK$1.43b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,國際商業結算控股公司有16.2億港元的負債在12個月內到期,而在此之後還有1.328億港元的負債到期。另一方面,該公司有2.69億港元現金和價值5400萬港元的應收賬款在一年內到期。因此,該公司的負債總額為14.3億港元,超過了現金和短期應收賬款的總和。

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of HK$1.56b. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

與其15.6億港元的市值相比,這是一個堆積如山的槓桿。如果它的貸款人要求它支撐資產負債表,股東可能會面臨嚴重的稀釋。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

我們使用兩個主要比率來告知我們債務相對於收益的水準。第一個是淨債務除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前收益(EBITDA),第二個是其息稅前收益(EBIT)覆蓋其利息支出(或簡稱利息覆蓋)的多少倍。因此,我們考慮債務相對於收益,包括折舊和攤銷費用。

International Business Settlement Holdings has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.4 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 2.6 times. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. However, the silver lining was that International Business Settlement Holdings achieved a positive EBIT of HK$178m in the last twelve months, an improvement on the prior year's loss. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is International Business Settlement Holdings's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

International Business Setting Holdings的債務與EBITDA之比為3.4,EBIT覆蓋了利息支出的2.6倍。這表明,儘管債務水準很高,但我們不會說它們有問題。然而,一線希望是,國際商務結算控股公司在過去12個月實現了1.78億港元的正息稅前利潤,較前一年的虧損有所改善。當你分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是你關注的領域。但國際商業結算控股公司的盈利將影響其未來資產負債表的表現。因此,當考慮債務時,絕對值得關注收益趨勢。點擊此處查看互動快照。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. Over the last year, International Business Settlement Holdings recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is far more risky for companies with unreliable free cash flow, so shareholders should be hoping that the past expenditure will produce free cash flow in the future.

最後,企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤只是不能削減這一點。因此,有必要檢查一下息稅前收益(EBIT)中有多少是由自由現金流支持的。在過去的一年裡,國際商業結算控股公司的自由現金流總額為負。對於自由現金流不可靠的公司來說,債務的風險要大得多,因此股東們應該希望過去的支出能在未來產生自由現金流。

Our View

我們的觀點

To be frank both International Business Settlement Holdings's interest cover and its track record of converting EBIT to free cash flow make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. Having said that, its ability to grow its EBIT isn't such a worry. We're quite clear that we consider International Business Settlement Holdings to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for International Business Settlement Holdings that you should be aware of.

坦率地說,國際商業結算控股公司的利息擔保和將息稅前利潤轉換為自由現金流的記錄都讓我們對其債務水準感到相當不安。話雖如此,它的息稅前利潤增長能力並不是那麼令人擔憂。我們非常清楚,由於國際商業結算控股公司的資產負債表狀況良好,我們認為其風險確實相當大。因此,我們對這種動物的警惕幾乎就像飢餓的小貓害怕掉進主人的魚塘一樣:正如他們所說的那樣,一次被咬,加倍害羞。在分析債務水準時,資產負債表顯然是一個起點。然而,並非所有投資風險都存在於資產負債表中--遠非如此。例如,我們已經確定國際商務結算控股公司的1個警告標誌這一點你應該知道。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果你是那種喜歡在沒有債務負擔的情況下購買股票的投資者,那麼不要猶豫,今天就來看看我們的淨現金成長型股票獨家名單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。

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