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Health Check: How Prudently Does Weifu High-Technology Group (SZSE:200581) Use Debt?

Health Check: How Prudently Does Weifu High-Technology Group (SZSE:200581) Use Debt?

健康檢查:威孚高科集團(深交所代碼:200581)如何謹慎使用債務?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/05/24 20:25

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Weifu High-Technology Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:200581) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

有人說,作爲投資者,波動性而不是債務是考慮風險的最佳方式,但沃倫·巴菲特曾說過一句名言:“波動性遠非風險的同義詞。”因此,很明顯,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,你需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務會使公司陷入困境。我們可以看出來 威孚高科集團有限公司 (深圳證券交易所代碼:200581)確實在其業務中使用了債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務造成了多大的風險?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲甚麼債務會帶來風險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

當企業無法輕易履行這些義務時,無論是通過自由現金流還是以誘人的價格籌集資金,債務和其他負債就會面臨風險。資本主義的重要部分是 “創造性破壞” 的過程,在這個過程中,倒閉的企業被銀行家無情地清算。但是,更常見(但仍然令人痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低廉的價格籌集新的股權資本,從而永久稀釋股東。當然,債務的好處是它通常代表廉價資本,尤其是當它用高回報率進行再投資的能力取代了公司的稀釋時。當我們研究債務水平時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務水平。

View our latest analysis for Weifu High-Technology Group

查看我們對威孚高科技集團的最新分析

What Is Weifu High-Technology Group's Net Debt?

威孚高科技集團的淨負債是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2023 Weifu High-Technology Group had CN¥4.01b of debt, an increase on CN¥1.50b, over one year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥5.43b in cash, leading to a CN¥1.42b net cash position.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示,截至2023年3月,威孚高科技集團的債務超過40.01億元人民幣,比15億元人民幣增加。但另一方面,它也有54.3億人民幣的現金,淨現金狀況達到14.2億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:200581 Debt to Equity History May 25th 2023
深交所:200581 債務轉股權歷史記錄 2023 年 5 月 25 日

A Look At Weifu High-Technology Group's Liabilities

看看威孚高科技集團的負債

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Weifu High-Technology Group had liabilities of CN¥9.41b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥698.8m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥5.43b and CN¥6.17b worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥1.49b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看出,威孚高科技集團在一年內到期的負債爲94.1億元人民幣,在此之後的到期負債爲6.988億元人民幣。另一方面,它有一年內到期的現金爲54.3億元人民幣,應收賬款爲61.7億元人民幣。因此,它擁有的流動資產比14.9億元人民幣多 負債。

This short term liquidity is a sign that Weifu High-Technology Group could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Simply put, the fact that Weifu High-Technology Group has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Weifu High-Technology Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

這種短期流動性表明,威孚高科技集團很可能可以輕鬆還清債務,因爲其資產負債表遠未捉襟見肘。簡而言之,威孚高科技集團的現金多於債務這一事實可以很好地表明它可以安全地管理債務。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要重點關注的領域。但是,未來的收益比甚麼都重要,將決定威孚高科技集團未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

Over 12 months, Weifu High-Technology Group made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥12b, which is a fall of 13%. That's not what we would hope to see.

在過去的12個月中,威孚高科技集團在息稅前利潤水平上虧損,收入降至120億元人民幣,下降了13%。這不是我們希望看到的。

So How Risky Is Weifu High-Technology Group?

那麼威孚高科技集團的風險有多大?

Statistically speaking companies that lose money are riskier than those that make money. And in the last year Weifu High-Technology Group had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss, truth be told. And over the same period it saw negative free cash outflow of CN¥2.4b and booked a CN¥187m accounting loss. Given it only has net cash of CN¥1.42b, the company may need to raise more capital if it doesn't reach break-even soon. Even though its balance sheet seems sufficiently liquid, debt always makes us a little nervous if a company doesn't produce free cash flow regularly. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Weifu High-Technology Group is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

從統計上講,虧損的公司比那些賺錢的公司風險更大。說實話,去年威孚高科技集團出現了息稅前收益(EBIT)虧損。同期,它的自由現金流出爲負24億元人民幣,會計虧損爲1.87億元人民幣。鑑於其淨現金僅爲142億元人民幣,如果不能很快實現收支平衡,該公司可能需要籌集更多資金。儘管其資產負債表似乎有足夠的流動性,但如果一家公司不定期產生自由現金流,債務總是會讓我們有點緊張。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表內——遠非如此。請注意,威孚高科技集團正在展示這一點 我們的投資分析中有 1 個警告信號 ,你應該知道...

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果你是那種喜歡在沒有債務負擔的情況下購買股票的投資者,那麼請立即查看我們的獨家淨現金增長股票清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是一般性的。 我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章無意提供財務建議。 它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未將最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。簡而言之,華爾街對上述任何股票都沒有頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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