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Dynasty Fine Wines Group Limited (HKG:828) Shares May Have Slumped 28% But Getting In Cheap Is Still Unlikely

Dynasty Fine Wines Group Limited (HKG:828) Shares May Have Slumped 28% But Getting In Cheap Is Still Unlikely

王朝酒業集團有限公司(HKG: 828)的股價可能下跌了28%,但仍然不太可能買得便宜
Simply Wall St ·  2023/05/19 18:17

The Dynasty Fine Wines Group Limited (HKG:828) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 28%. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 32% in that time.

這個 王朝酒業集團有限公司 (HKG: 828)上個月股價表現非常糟糕,大幅下跌了28%。過去30天的下跌結束了股東艱難的一年,在此期間,股價下跌了32%。

Even after such a large drop in price, given close to half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 9x, you may still consider Dynasty Fine Wines Group as a stock to avoid entirely with its 16x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

即使在價格大幅下跌之後,鑑於近一半的香港公司的市盈率(或 “市盈率”)低於9倍,您仍然可以將王朝精品酒業集團視爲值得完全避開的股票,其市盈率爲16倍。但是,市盈率可能相當高是有原因的,需要進一步調查以確定其是否合理。

For instance, Dynasty Fine Wines Group's receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

例如,王朝精品酒業集團最近收益的下降一定值得深思。一種可能性是市盈率很高,因爲投資者認爲該公司的表現仍足以在不久的將來超過整個市場。如果不是,那麼現有股東可能會對股價的可行性感到非常緊張。

See our latest analysis for Dynasty Fine Wines Group

查看我們對王朝精品酒業集團的最新分析

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:828 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry May 19th 2023
SEHK: 828 市盈率與行業比率 2023 年 5 月 19 日
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our
想全面瞭解公司的收益、收入和現金流嗎?然後我們的
free
免費的
report on Dynasty Fine Wines Group will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
王朝精品酒業集團的報告將幫助您瞭解其歷史表現。

Is There Enough Growth For Dynasty Fine Wines Group?

王朝精品酒業集團有足夠的增長嗎?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Dynasty Fine Wines Group's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

看到像Dynasty Fine Wines Group這樣高的市盈率時,只有當該公司的增長有望絕對超過市場時,你才會真正感到滿意。

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 50% decrease to the company's bottom line. Unfortunately, that's brought it right back to where it started three years ago with EPS growth being virtually non-existent overall during that time. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

回想起來,去年公司的利潤下降了50%,令人沮喪。不幸的是,這使它回到了三年前的起點,在此期間,每股收益總體上幾乎沒有增長。因此,股東們可能不會對不穩定的中期增長率過於滿意。

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 24% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

這與其他市場形成鮮明對比,預計明年其他市場將增長24%,大大高於該公司最近的中期年化增長率。

With this information, we find it concerning that Dynasty Fine Wines Group is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

有了這些信息,我們發現王朝精品酒業集團的市盈率高於市場。看來大多數投資者無視最近相當有限的增長率,並希望公司的業務前景有所好轉。只有最大膽的人才會認爲這些價格是可持續的,因爲最近的收益趨勢的延續最終可能會嚴重影響股價。

The Bottom Line On Dynasty Fine Wines Group's P/E

王朝精品酒業集團市盈率的底線

A significant share price dive has done very little to deflate Dynasty Fine Wines Group's very lofty P/E. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

股價的大幅下跌對降低Dynasty Fine Wines Group非常高的市盈率幾乎沒有起到甚麼作用。通常,在做出投資決策時,我們謹慎行事,不要過多地考慮市盈率,儘管這可以充分揭示其他市場參與者對公司的看法。

We've established that Dynasty Fine Wines Group currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider market forecast. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

我們已經確定,王朝精品酒業集團目前的市盈率遠高於預期,因爲其最近三年的增長低於更廣泛的市場預期。目前,我們對高市盈率越來越不舒服,因爲這種收益表現不太可能長期支持這種積極的情緒。除非最近的中期條件明顯改善,否則很難接受這些價格是合理的。

Having said that, be aware Dynasty Fine Wines Group is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 2 of those are a bit unpleasant.

話雖如此,請注意 王朝精品酒業集團出現4個警告信號 在我們的投資分析中,其中有兩個有點不愉快。

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

當然, 通過尋找一些優秀的候選人,你可能會發現一筆不錯的投資。 所以來看看這個 免費的 具有強勁增長記錄、市盈率較低的公司名單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是一般性的。 我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章無意提供財務建議。 它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未將最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。簡而言之,華爾街對上述任何股票都沒有頭寸。

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