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ECI Technology Holdings (HKG:8013) Strong Profits May Be Masking Some Underlying Issues

ECI Technology Holdings (HKG:8013) Strong Profits May Be Masking Some Underlying Issues

ECI Technology Holdings (HKG: 8013) 強勁的利潤可能掩蓋了一些潛在問題
Simply Wall St ·  2023/04/19 18:39

The market for ECI Technology Holdings Limited's (HKG:8013) stock was strong after it released a healthy earnings report last week. Despite this, our analysis suggests that there are some factors weakening the foundations of those good profit numbers.

的市場 ECI 科技控股有限公司的 (HKG: 8013) 股票在上週發佈健康的收益報告後表現強勁。儘管如此,我們的分析表明,有一些因素削弱了這些良好利潤數字的基礎。

See our latest analysis for ECI Technology Holdings

查看我們對ECI科技控股公司的最新分析

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:8013 Earnings and Revenue History April 19th 2023
SEHK: 8013 收益和收入記錄 2023 年 4 月 19 日

Examining Cashflow Against ECI Technology Holdings' Earnings

將現金流與ECI科技控股公司的收益進行比較

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

用於衡量公司將其利潤轉換爲自由現金流(FCF)效果的一個關鍵財務比率是 應計比率。簡而言之,該比率從淨利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以公司在此期間的平均運營資產。你可以將現金流的應計比率視爲 “非FCF利潤率”。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,負應計比率對公司來說是正數,而正應計比率是負數。這並不意味着我們應該擔心應計比率爲正,但值得注意的是,應計比率相當高的地方。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年發表的一篇論文,“應計額較高的公司將來的利潤往往會降低”。

For the year to February 2023, ECI Technology Holdings had an accrual ratio of -0.10. Therefore, its statutory earnings were quite a lot less than its free cashflow. To wit, it produced free cash flow of HK$13m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of HK$8.13m. ECI Technology Holdings' free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

在截至2023年2月的一年中,ECI Technology Holdings的應計比率爲-0.10。因此,其法定收入遠低於其自由現金流。也就是說,該公司在此期間產生了1300萬港元的自由現金流,與其報告的813萬港元的利潤相形見絀。ECI Technology Holdings的自由現金流比去年有所改善,這總體上是好消息。話雖如此,故事還有更多。我們可以看到,不尋常的項目影響了其法定利潤,因此也影響了應計比率。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of ECI Technology Holdings.

注意: 我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對ECI Technology Holdings的資產負債表分析。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不尋常的物品如何影響利潤?

Surprisingly, given ECI Technology Holdings' accrual ratio implied strong cash conversion, its paper profit was actually boosted by HK$5.9m in unusual items. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. ECI Technology Holdings had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to February 2023. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.

令人驚訝的是,鑑於ECI Technology Holdings的應計比率暗示了強勁的現金轉換率,其票面利潤實際上由590萬港元的不尋常項目提振。雖然獲得更高的利潤總是一件好事,但來自不尋常物品的鉅額捐款有時會抑制我們的熱情。當我們分析全球絕大多數上市公司時,我們發現重要的不尋常項目通常不會重複。而且,畢竟,這正是會計術語所暗示的。與截至2023年2月的利潤相比,ECI Technology Holdings的異常項目做出了相當大的貢獻。因此,我們可以推測,這些不尋常的物品使其法定利潤比原本要強得多。

Our Take On ECI Technology Holdings' Profit Performance

我們對ECI Technology Holdings利潤表現的看法

In conclusion, ECI Technology Holdings' accrual ratio suggests its statutory earnings are of good quality, but on the other hand the profits were boosted by unusual items. Having considered these factors, we don't think ECI Technology Holdings' statutory profits give an overly harsh view of the business. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing ECI Technology Holdings at this point in time. For example, ECI Technology Holdings has 3 warning signs (and 1 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.

總之,ECI Technology Holdings的應計比率表明其法定收益質量良好,但另一方面,不尋常的項目提振了利潤。考慮到這些因素後,我們認爲ECI Technology Holdings的法定利潤對業務的看法並不過於嚴厲。因此,儘管收益質量很重要,但考慮ECI Technology Holdings目前面臨的風險同樣重要。例如,ECI 科技控股有 3 個警告標誌 (以及 1 個不容忽視)我們認爲你應該知道。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

在本文中,我們研究了許多可能損害利潤數字效用的因素,以此作爲業務指南。但是,如果你有能力將注意力集中在細節上,總會有更多值得探索的地方。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率是有利的商業經濟的標誌,而其他人則喜歡 “關注資金”,尋找內部人士正在買入的股票。所以你可能希望看到這個 免費的 一系列擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在買入的股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是一般性的。 我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。 它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未將最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。簡而言之,華爾街對上述任何股票都沒有頭寸。

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