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CNPC Capital Company Limited (SZSE:000617) Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Appear To Be Mixed : Is There A Clear Direction For The Stock?

CNPC Capital Company Limited (SZSE:000617) Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Appear To Be Mixed : Is There A Clear Direction For The Stock?

中國石油資本股份有限公司(深交所代碼:000617)走勢強勁,但基本面看似混合:股票有明確的方向嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/03/18 21:22

CNPC Capital (SZSE:000617) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 30% over the last month. However, we decided to pay attention to the company's fundamentals which don't appear to give a clear sign about the company's financial health. Specifically, we decided to study CNPC Capital's ROE in this article.

中國石油資本(深交所股票代號:000617)在股票市場上表現出色,其股票較上個月大幅增加了 30%。但是,我們決定注意公司的基本面,這些基本面似乎並沒有明確表明公司的財務狀況。具體來說,我們決定在本文中研究中國石油資本的 ROE。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

ROE 或權益回報率是一個有用的工具,用於評估公司如何有效地從股東那裡獲得的投資產生回報。換句話說,它是衡量公司股東提供的資本回報率的盈利率的盈利率。

See our latest analysis for CNPC Capital

查看我們關於中國石油資本的最新分析

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

您如何計算權益回報率?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

ROE 可以通過使用以下公式計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

權益回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營業務)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for CNPC Capital is:

因此,根據上述公式,中國石油資本的 ROE 是:

6.4% = CN¥11b ÷ CN¥176b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2022).

6.4% = 人民幣 11 億元 ÷ 人民幣 176 億元(以截至 2022 年 9 月為止的最後十二個月計算)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.06 in profit.

「回報」是過去十二個月稅後賺取的金額。這意味著,對於每個 1 元的股東權益,該公司就產生了 0.06 元人民幣的利潤。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

ROE 與盈利增長之間的關係是什麼?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

我們已經確定 ROE 可作為公司未來收益的有效創造利潤計量。我們現在需要評估公司重新投資多少利潤或「保留」未來的增長,這使我們對公司的增長潛力有了一個想法。假設其他一切都是平等的,那麼與沒有相同功能的公司相比,具有較高的股權回報率和更高的利潤保留率的公司通常是具有較高增長率的公司。

CNPC Capital's Earnings Growth And 6.4% ROE

中石油資本盈利增長及 6.4% 淨資產淨值

At first glance, CNPC Capital's ROE doesn't look very promising. We then compared the company's ROE to the broader industry and were disappointed to see that the ROE is lower than the industry average of 8.1%. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 3.1% seen by CNPC Capital over the last five years is not surprising. We believe that there also might be other aspects that are negatively influencing the company's earnings prospects. For example, it is possible that the business has allocated capital poorly or that the company has a very high payout ratio.

乍一看,中石油資本的 ROE 看起來並不是很有希望。然後,我們將該公司的 ROE 與更廣泛的行業進行了比較,並很失望地看到 ROE 低於行業平均水平 8.1%。鑑於這種情況,中國石油資本在過去五年內淨收入大幅下降 3.1% 並不奇怪。我們認為,也可能還有其他方面對公司的盈利前景產生負面影響。例如,企業可能分配資金不佳,或者公司的支付比率非常高。

So, as a next step, we compared CNPC Capital's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 12% in the same period.

因此,作為下一步,我們將中石油資本的表現與行業表現進行了比較,並失望地發現,儘管該公司的收益一直在縮小,但同期該行業的收益一直以 12% 的速度增長。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:000617 Past Earnings Growth March 19th 2023
深圳證交所數據:000617 二零二三年三月十九日過去盈利增長

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is CNPC Capital fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

盈利增長是股票估值的一個重要因素。對於投資者來說,了解市場是否對公司的預期盈利增長(或下降)進行定價是非常重要的。通過這樣做,他們將有一個想法,如果股票進入清澈的藍色海水或沼澤的水域等待。與其他公司相比,中石油資本是否具有公平的價值?這 3 種估值措施可能會幫助您做出決定。

Is CNPC Capital Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

中石油資本是否有效地再投資利潤?

In spite of a normal three-year median payout ratio of 30% (that is, a retention ratio of 70%), the fact that CNPC Capital's earnings have shrunk is quite puzzling. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.

儘管正常的三年中位數派息比率為 30%(即保留率為 70%),但中石資本的收入縮減實在令人費解。因此,可能還有其他因素在這裡發揮作用,這可能會妨礙增長。例如,業務面臨一些不利因素。

Moreover, CNPC Capital has been paying dividends for five years, which is a considerable amount of time, suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer consistent dividends even though earnings have been shrinking.

此外,中石油資本已經支付了五年的股息,這是相當長的時間,這表明管理層必須已經認為,即使收益正在減少,股東更喜歡持續的股息。

Conclusion

结论

Overall, we have mixed feelings about CNPC Capital. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. You can see the 2 risks we have identified for CNPC Capital by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

總體而言,我們對中石油資本有著不同的看法。儘管該公司確實具有很高的再投資率,但低 ROE 意味著所有再投資都沒有為其投資者帶來任何收益,而且對盈利增長產生負面影響。結束後,我們將謹慎與該公司進行,這樣做的一種方法是查看業務的風險狀況。您可以造訪我們的中石油資本,查看我們為中石油資本確定的 2 個風險 風險儀表板 在我們的平台上免費在這裡。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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