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Institutional Owners May Ignore Harley-Davidson, Inc.'s (NYSE:HOG) Recent US$351m Market Cap Decline as Longer-term Profits Stay in the Green

Institutional Owners May Ignore Harley-Davidson, Inc.'s (NYSE:HOG) Recent US$351m Market Cap Decline as Longer-term Profits Stay in the Green

機構所有者可能會忽略哈雷戴維森公司。s(紐約證交所代碼:HOG)近期市值下跌 351 億美元,因長期利潤維持在綠色環保
Simply Wall St ·  2023/01/20 07:10

Every investor in Harley-Davidson, Inc. (NYSE:HOG) should be aware of the most powerful shareholder groups. And the group that holds the biggest piece of the pie are institutions with 78% ownership. Put another way, the group faces the maximum upside potential (or downside risk).

哈雷-戴維森公司(紐約證券交易所代碼:HOG)的每一位投資者都應該知道最強大的股東羣體。而持有這塊蛋糕最大份額的是擁有78%股權的機構。換句話説,該集團面臨着最大的上行潛力(或下行風險)。

Institutional investors was the group most impacted after the company's market cap fell to US$6.3b last week. Still, the 31% one-year gains may have helped mitigate their overall losses. We would assume however, that they would be on the lookout for weakness in the future.

在該公司市值上週跌至63億美元后,機構投資者是受影響最大的羣體。儘管如此,31%的一年漲幅可能有助於緩解它們的整體虧損。然而,我們會假設,他們將在未來尋找弱點。

Let's delve deeper into each type of owner of Harley-Davidson, beginning with the chart below.

讓我們從下面的圖表開始,更深入地研究哈雷戴維森的每一種類型的所有者。

View our latest analysis for Harley-Davidson

查看我們對哈雷戴維森的最新分析

ownership-breakdown
NYSE:HOG Ownership Breakdown January 20th 2023
紐約證券交易所:2023年1月20日生豬所有權明細

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Harley-Davidson?

關於哈雷-戴維森,機構持股告訴了我們什麼?

Many institutions measure their performance against an index that approximates the local market. So they usually pay more attention to companies that are included in major indices.

許多機構以一個接近當地市場的指數來衡量它們的表現。因此,他們通常更關注那些被納入主要指數的公司。

Harley-Davidson already has institutions on the share registry. Indeed, they own a respectable stake in the company. This implies the analysts working for those institutions have looked at the stock and they like it. But just like anyone else, they could be wrong. It is not uncommon to see a big share price drop if two large institutional investors try to sell out of a stock at the same time. So it is worth checking the past earnings trajectory of Harley-Davidson, (below). Of course, keep in mind that there are other factors to consider, too.

哈雷-戴維森已經在股票登記處登記了機構。事實上,他們在該公司擁有可觀的股份。這意味着為這些機構工作的分析師已經看過了這隻股票,他們喜歡它。但就像其他人一樣,他們也可能錯了。如果兩個大型機構投資者試圖同時拋售一隻股票,股價大幅下跌的情況並不少見。因此,查看哈雷戴維森過去的盈利軌跡是值得的(見下圖)。當然,請記住,還有其他因素需要考慮。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:HOG Earnings and Revenue Growth January 20th 2023
紐約證券交易所:豬收益和收入增長2023年1月20日

Investors should note that institutions actually own more than half the company, so they can collectively wield significant power. It looks like hedge funds own 8.7% of Harley-Davidson shares. That worth noting, since hedge funds are often quite active investors, who may try to influence management. Many want to see value creation (and a higher share price) in the short term or medium term. Looking at our data, we can see that the largest shareholder is The Vanguard Group, Inc. with 8.8% of shares outstanding. For context, the second largest shareholder holds about 8.7% of the shares outstanding, followed by an ownership of 7.7% by the third-largest shareholder.

投資者應該注意到,機構實際上擁有公司一半以上的股份,因此它們可以共同行使重大權力。看起來對衝基金持有哈雷-戴維森8.7%的股份。這一點值得注意,因為對衝基金往往是相當活躍的投資者,他們可能會試圖影響管理層。許多人希望在短期或中期看到價值創造(以及更高的股價)。查看我們的數據,我們可以看到,第一大股東是先鋒集團,持有8.8%的流通股。作為參考,第二大股東持有約8.7%的流通股,第三大股東持有7.7%的股份。

We did some more digging and found that 10 of the top shareholders account for roughly 51% of the register, implying that along with larger shareholders, there are a few smaller shareholders, thereby balancing out each others interests somewhat.

我們做了更多的挖掘,發現大股東中的10個約佔登記的51%,這意味着除了大股東之外,還有一些小股東,從而在一定程度上平衡了彼此的利益。

While it makes sense to study institutional ownership data for a company, it also makes sense to study analyst sentiments to know which way the wind is blowing. Quite a few analysts cover the stock, so you could look into forecast growth quite easily.

雖然研究一家公司的機構所有權數據是有意義的,但研究分析師的情緒以瞭解風向也是有意義的。相當多的分析師追蹤這隻股票,所以你可以很容易地研究預測增長。

Insider Ownership Of Harley-Davidson

哈雷-戴維森的內部人所有權

While the precise definition of an insider can be subjective, almost everyone considers board members to be insiders. The company management answer to the board and the latter should represent the interests of shareholders. Notably, sometimes top-level managers are on the board themselves.

儘管對內部人的準確定義可能是主觀的,但幾乎每個人都認為董事會成員是內部人。公司管理層對董事會負責,董事會應代表股東的利益。值得注意的是,有時最高層管理人員本身也是董事會成員。

I generally consider insider ownership to be a good thing. However, on some occasions it makes it more difficult for other shareholders to hold the board accountable for decisions.

我通常認為內部人持股是一件好事。然而,在某些情況下,這會讓其他股東更難讓董事會對決策負責。

Our data suggests that insiders own under 1% of Harley-Davidson, Inc. in their own names. It's a big company, so even a small proportional interest can create alignment between the board and shareholders. In this case insiders own US$31m worth of shares. Arguably, recent buying and selling is just as important to consider. You can click here to see if insiders have been buying or selling.

我們的數據顯示,內部人士以自己的名義持有哈雷戴維森公司不到1%的股份。它是一家大公司,所以即使是很小的比例權益也可以在董事會和股東之間建立聯盟。在這種情況下,內部人士擁有價值3100萬美元的股票。可以説,最近的買入和賣出同樣重要。你可以點擊這裏,看看內部人士是在買入還是賣出。

General Public Ownership

一般公有制

The general public-- including retail investors -- own 13% stake in the company, and hence can't easily be ignored. While this size of ownership may not be enough to sway a policy decision in their favour, they can still make a collective impact on company policies.

包括散户投資者在內的普通公眾持有該公司13%的股份,因此不能輕易忽視。儘管這種規模的所有權可能不足以影響有利於他們的政策決定,但他們仍然可以對公司政策產生集體影響。

Next Steps:

接下來的步驟:

I find it very interesting to look at who exactly owns a company. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Harley-Davidson that you should be aware of.

我發現看看到底是誰擁有一家公司是非常有趣的。但為了真正獲得洞察力,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如,我們已經確定哈雷戴維森的1個警告標誌這一點你應該知道。

Ultimately the future is most important. You can access this free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

最終未來是最重要的。您可以訪問此免費分析師對該公司的預測報告。

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

注:本文中的數字是使用過去12個月的數據計算的,指的是截至財務報表日期的最後一個月的12個月期間。這可能與全年的年度報告數字不一致。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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