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Shareholders in Hang Seng Bank (HKG:11) Are in the Red If They Invested Five Years Ago

Shareholders in Hang Seng Bank (HKG:11) Are in the Red If They Invested Five Years Ago

恒生銀行(HKG:11)的股東如果五年前投資,就會變成紅色
Simply Wall St ·  2023/01/18 19:25

In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But in any portfolio, there will be mixed results between individual stocks. So we wouldn't blame long term Hang Seng Bank Limited (HKG:11) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 32% over a half decade.

為了證明選擇單個股票的努力,值得努力擊敗市場指數基金的回報。但是在任何投資組合中,個別股票之間都會有混合的結果。所以我們不會責怪長期 恒生銀行有限公司 (港股代號:11)股東懷疑自己持有的決定,股票在半年內下跌 32%。

It's worthwhile assessing if the company's economics have been moving in lockstep with these underwhelming shareholder returns, or if there is some disparity between the two. So let's do just that.

這是值得評估,如果公司的經濟學已經在這些給人留下深刻印象深刻的股東回報鎖步,或者兩者之間是否存在一些差距。現在讓我們來執行這項操作。

Check out our latest analysis for Hang Seng Bank

查看恒生銀行的最新分析

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

引用巴菲特(Buffett)的話,「船舶將在世界各地航行,但平坦地球協會將蓬勃發展。市場上的價格和價值之間將繼續存在很大差異...」評估公司周圍情緒如何變化的一個有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股盈利(EPS)與股價進行比較。

During the five years over which the share price declined, Hang Seng Bank's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 12% each year. The share price decline of 7% per year isn't as bad as the EPS decline. So investors might expect EPS to bounce back -- or they may have previously foreseen the EPS decline.

在股價下跌的五年內,恒生銀行每股盈利每年下跌 12%。每年 7% 的股價下跌並不像每股盈利下跌那麼糟糕。因此,投資者可能預期每股盈餘會反彈,或者他們以前可能預見每股盈餘下跌。

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

該公司的每股收益(隨著時間的推移)如下圖所示(點擊查看確切的數字)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SEHK:11 Earnings Per Share Growth January 19th 2023
香港聯交所:11 2023 年 1 月 19 日每股盈利增長

This free interactive report on Hang Seng Bank's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

自由 如果您想進一步調查股票,那麼恒生銀行的收益、收入和現金流量的互動報告是一個很好的起點。

What About Dividends?

股息呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Hang Seng Bank, it has a TSR of -17% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

在查看投資回報時,重要的是要考慮兩者之間的差異 股東總回報 (TSR) 及 股價回報。股價回報僅反映了股價的變化,但 TSR 包括股息的價值(假設股息已經再投資)以及任何折扣資本集資或分拆的利益。可以公平地說,TSR 為支付股息的股票提供了更完整的了解。就恒生銀行而言,過去 5 年的 TSR 稅率為 -17%。這超出了我們前面提到的股價回報。該公司支付的股息從而提振了 總計 股東回報。

A Different Perspective

不同的角度

We regret to report that Hang Seng Bank shareholders are down 15% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 8.9%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 3% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Hang Seng Bank that you should be aware of.

很遺憾地報告,恒生銀行股東年內下跌 15%(甚至包括股息)。不幸的是,這比更廣泛的市場下跌 8.9% 更糟糕。但是,可能僅僅是股價受到更廣泛的市場抖動的影響。如果有很好的機會,可能值得關注基本面。令人遺憾的是,去年的業績上限不好,股東在五年內每年面臨 3% 的總虧損。一般來說,長期股價疲軟可能是一個不好的跡象,儘管逆勢投資者可能希望研究股票以希望轉變。從長遠來看股價作為業務表現的代理,我覺得非常有趣。但是要真正獲得洞察力,我們也需要考慮其他信息。例如,我們已經確定 1 個恆生銀行的警告標誌 你應該知道的。

Of course Hang Seng Bank may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

當然 恒生銀行可能不是最好的股票買入。所以大家不妨看看這個 自由 集合,... 的, 增長, 股票

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.

請注意,本文中引述的市場回報反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?關注內容? 取得聯繫 直接與我們聯繫。 或者,通過電子郵件發送電子郵件給編輯團隊。
這篇文章由簡單牆聖是一般性質. 我們僅使用公正的方法,根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。 它並不構成購買或出售任何股票的建議,也不會考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本數據驅動的長期集中分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。簡易華街在提及的任何股票中都沒有倉位。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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