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Can MillerKnoll, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MLKN) Weak Financials Pull The Plug On The Stock's Current Momentum On Its Share Price?

Can MillerKnoll, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MLKN) Weak Financials Pull The Plug On The Stock's Current Momentum On Its Share Price?

可以米勒諾爾公司 's (納斯達克:MLKN) 疲軟的財務拉塞股票的當前動力對其股價?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/01/15 08:30

MillerKnoll (NASDAQ:MLKN) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 27% over the last three months. However, in this article, we decided to focus on its weak fundamentals, as long-term financial performance of a business is what ultimately dictates market outcomes. Particularly, we will be paying attention to MillerKnoll's ROE today.

米勒諾爾(納斯達克:MLKN)在股票市場上表現出色,其股票在過去三個月裏大幅上漲了27%。然而,在本文中,我們決定將重點放在其薄弱的基本面上,因為企業的長期財務業績最終決定了市場結果。特別是,我們今天將關注MillerKnoll的淨資產收益率。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

股本回報率(ROE)是用來評估公司管理層利用公司資本效率的關鍵指標。簡而言之,它衡量的是一家公司相對於股東權益的盈利能力。

View our latest analysis for MillerKnoll

查看我們對MillerKnoll的最新分析

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

你如何計算股本回報率?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

可使用以下公式計算淨資產收益率:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率=(持續經營的)淨利潤?股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for MillerKnoll is:

因此,根據上面的公式,MillerKnoll的ROE為:

5.5% = US$84m ÷ US$1.5b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2022).

5.5%=8400萬美元×15億美元(基於截至2022年12月的12個月的往績)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. Another way to think of that is that for every $1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn $0.05 in profit.

“回報”就是年度利潤。另一種想法是,每價值1美元的股本,公司就能夠賺取0.05美元的利潤。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

淨資產收益率與盈利增長有什麼關係?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

我們已經證實,淨資產收益率是一家公司未來收益的有效盈利指標。我們現在需要評估公司將多少利潤再投資或“保留”用於未來的增長,這就讓我們對公司的增長潛力有了一個瞭解。假設其他條件不變,淨資產收益率和利潤保留率越高,與不一定具有這些特徵的公司相比,公司的增長率就越高。

MillerKnoll's Earnings Growth And 5.5% ROE

MillerKnoll的收益增長和5.5%的淨資產收益率

When you first look at it, MillerKnoll's ROE doesn't look that attractive. We then compared the company's ROE to the broader industry and were disappointed to see that the ROE is lower than the industry average of 13%. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 33% seen by MillerKnoll over the last five years is not surprising. We believe that there also might be other aspects that are negatively influencing the company's earnings prospects. For example, it is possible that the business has allocated capital poorly or that the company has a very high payout ratio.

當你第一眼看到它時,MillerKnoll的淨資產收益率(ROE)看起來並不那麼吸引人。然後,我們將該公司的淨資產收益率(ROE)與更廣泛的行業進行了比較,發現淨資產收益率低於行業平均水平13%,這讓我們感到失望。在這種情況下,MillerKnoll的淨利潤在過去五年裏大幅下降33%並不令人意外。我們認為,可能還有其他方面對公司的收益前景產生負面影響。例如,可能是企業的資本配置不當,或者公司的派息率非常高。

So, as a next step, we compared MillerKnoll's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 2.7% in the same period.

因此,下一步,我們將MillerKnoll的表現與行業進行了比較,並失望地發現,儘管該公司的收益一直在縮水,但同期該行業的收益一直以2.7%的速度增長。

past-earnings-growth
NasdaqGS:MLKN Past Earnings Growth January 15th 2023
NasdaqGS:MLKN過去的收益增長2023年1月15日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is MillerKnoll fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

盈利增長是評估一隻股票時需要考慮的一個重要指標。投資者下一步需要確定的是,預期的收益增長是否已經計入了股價。這有助於他們確定這隻股票是為光明還是黯淡的未來做準備。與其他公司相比,MillerKnoll的估值是否公平?這3個估值指標可能會幫助你做出決定。

Is MillerKnoll Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

MillerKnoll是否有效地將其利潤進行了再投資?

With a high LTM (or last twelve month) payout ratio of 73% (implying that 27% of the profits are retained), most of MillerKnoll's profits are being paid to shareholders, which explains the company's shrinking earnings. With only a little being reinvested into the business, earnings growth would obviously be low or non-existent. You can see the 3 risks we have identified for MillerKnoll by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

高達73%的長期存續期(或過去12個月)的派息率(這意味着27%的利潤被保留),MillerKnoll的大部分利潤都被支付給了股東,這就解釋了該公司收益縮水的原因。由於只有一小部分再投資於該業務,盈利增長顯然會很低或根本不存在。您可以通過訪問我們的風險控制面板在我們的平臺上是免費的。

In addition, MillerKnoll has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth.

此外,MillerKnoll在至少十年的時間裏一直在支付股息,這表明保持股息支付對管理層來説要重要得多,即使這是以業務增長為代價的。

Summary

摘要

On the whole, MillerKnoll's performance is quite a big let-down. The company has seen a lack of earnings growth as a result of retaining very little profits and whatever little it does retain, is being reinvested at a very low rate of return. With that said, we studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that while the company has shrunk its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to grow in the future. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

總體而言,MillerKnoll的表現相當令人失望。由於保留了很少的利潤,該公司的收益增長乏力,而且無論它保留的是什麼,再投資的回報率都非常低。話雖如此,我們研究了最新的分析師預測,發現儘管該公司過去的收益有所縮水,但分析師預計其未來的收益將會增長。要了解更多分析師對該公司的最新預測,請查看分析師對該公司預測的可視化。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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