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Is Weakness In Huaxin Cement Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600801) Stock A Sign That The Market Could Be Wrong Given Its Strong Financial Prospects?

Is Weakness In Huaxin Cement Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600801) Stock A Sign That The Market Could Be Wrong Given Its Strong Financial Prospects?

華新水泥股份有限公司(上海股票代碼:600801)股票的疲軟是否表明其強勁的財務前景,市場可能會出錯?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/01/11 01:10

With its stock down 4.3% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard Huaxin Cement (SHSE:600801). But if you pay close attention, you might gather that its strong financials could mean that the stock could potentially see an increase in value in the long-term, given how markets usually reward companies with good financial health. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Huaxin Cement's ROE today.

過去三個月,華信水泥的股價下跌了4.3%,人們很容易忽視華信水泥(上交所:600801)。但如果你仔細觀察,你可能會猜到,它強勁的財務狀況可能意味着,考慮到市場通常會獎勵財務狀況良好的公司,該股可能會在長期內增值。特別是,我們今天將關注華信水泥的ROE。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

股本回報率(ROE)是對一家公司增值和管理投資者資金的效率的測試。換句話説,這是一個衡量公司股東提供的資本回報率的盈利比率。

Check out our latest analysis for Huaxin Cement

查看我們對華信水泥的最新分析

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何計算股本回報率?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股本回報率可使用以下公式計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率=(持續經營的)淨利潤?股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Huaxin Cement is:

因此,根據上述公式,華信水泥的淨資產收益率為:

14% = CN¥4.3b ÷ CN¥31b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2022).

14%=43億元×310億元(按截至2022年9月的12個月計算)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.14 in profit.

“回報”就是年度利潤。另一種説法是,公司每持有價值1元的股權,就能賺取0.14元的利潤。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

為什麼淨資產收益率對收益增長很重要?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

到目前為止,我們已經瞭解到淨資產收益率衡量的是一家公司創造利潤的效率。我們現在需要評估公司將多少利潤再投資或“保留”用於未來的增長,這就讓我們對公司的增長潛力有了一個瞭解。假設其他條件相同,與沒有相同特徵的公司相比,擁有更高股本回報率和更高利潤保留率的公司通常會有更高的增長率。

Huaxin Cement's Earnings Growth And 14% ROE

華信水泥盈利增長和14%的淨資產收益率

To start with, Huaxin Cement's ROE looks acceptable. On comparing with the average industry ROE of 8.9% the company's ROE looks pretty remarkable. This probably laid the ground for Huaxin Cement's moderate 9.4% net income growth seen over the past five years.

首先,華信水泥的淨資產收益率看起來可以接受。與8.9%的行業平均淨資產收益率相比,該公司的淨資產收益率看起來相當可觀。這可能為過去五年華信水泥9.4%的淨利潤温和增長奠定了基礎。

We then compared Huaxin Cement's net income growth with the industry and found that the company's growth figure is lower than the average industry growth rate of 20% in the same period, which is a bit concerning.

然後我們將華信水泥的淨收入增長與行業進行了比較,發現該公司的增長數字低於同期20%的行業平均增長率,這有點令人擔憂。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:600801 Past Earnings Growth January 11th 2023
上海證交所:過去600801的收益增長2023年1月11日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is 600801 fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

盈利增長是股票估值的一個重要因素。投資者下一步需要確定的是,預期的收益增長是否已經計入了股價。這樣做將有助於他們確定該股的未來看起來是光明的還是不祥的。600801的價值公平嗎?這張關於公司內在價值的信息圖包含了你需要知道的一切。

Is Huaxin Cement Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

華信水泥是否有效地將利潤進行了再投資?

With a three-year median payout ratio of 40% (implying that the company retains 60% of its profits), it seems that Huaxin Cement is reinvesting efficiently in a way that it sees respectable amount growth in its earnings and pays a dividend that's well covered.

華信水泥的三年中值派息率為40%(這意味着該公司保留了60%的利潤),似乎是在以一種高效的方式進行再投資,它看到了收益可觀的增長,並支付了覆蓋良好的股息。

Moreover, Huaxin Cement is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 40% of its profits over the next three years. As a result, Huaxin Cement's ROE is not expected to change by much either, which we inferred from the analyst estimate of 15% for future ROE.

此外,華信水泥決心繼續與股東分享利潤,這是我們從其至少十年的派息歷史中推斷出來的。在研究了最新的分析師共識數據後,我們發現,預計該公司將在未來三年繼續支付約40%的利潤。因此,華信水泥的ROE預計也不會有太大變化,這是我們從分析師對未來ROE的估計15%推斷出來的。

Summary

摘要

On the whole, we feel that Huaxin Cement's performance has been quite good. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business, and at a high rate of return. As a result, the decent growth in its earnings is not surprising. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings are expected to accelerate. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

整體而言,我們覺得華信水泥的表現相當不錯。特別是,我們喜歡該公司對其業務進行大量再投資,並以高回報率進行投資。因此,其收益的可觀增長並不令人意外。儘管如此,最新的行業分析師預測顯示,該公司的收益預計將加速增長。要了解更多分析師對該公司的最新預測,請查看分析師對該公司預測的可視化。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。

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