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We're Not Very Worried About Jenscare Scientific's (HKG:9877) Cash Burn Rate

We're Not Very Worried About Jenscare Scientific's (HKG:9877) Cash Burn Rate

我們不是很擔心詹可科學的 (HKG: 9877) 現金燃燒率
Simply Wall St ·  2023/01/10 19:00

There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. For example, although Amazon.com made losses for many years after listing, if you had bought and held the shares since 1999, you would have made a fortune. Nonetheless, only a fool would ignore the risk that a loss making company burns through its cash too quickly.

毫無疑問,持有無利可圖的企業的股票可以賺錢。例如,雖然亞馬遜上市後多年虧損,但如果你從1999年開始買入並持有股票,你就會發大財。儘管如此,只有傻瓜才會忽視這樣一個風險,即一家虧損的公司太快地燒掉了現金。

So, the natural question for Jenscare Scientific (HKG:9877) shareholders is whether they should be concerned by its rate of cash burn. For the purpose of this article, we'll define cash burn as the amount of cash the company is spending each year to fund its growth (also called its negative free cash flow). We'll start by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves in order to calculate its cash runway.

所以,自然的問題是Jenscare Science(HKG:9877)股東是否應該關注其燒錢的速度。就本文而言,我們將現金消耗定義為公司每年為其增長提供資金的現金數量(也稱為負自由現金流)。我們將首先將其現金消耗與其現金儲備進行比較,以計算其現金跑道。

See our latest analysis for Jenscare Scientific

查看我們對Jenscare Science的最新分析

When Might Jenscare Scientific Run Out Of Money?

Jenscare Science可能什麼時候會用完錢?

You can calculate a company's cash runway by dividing the amount of cash it has by the rate at which it is spending that cash. In June 2022, Jenscare Scientific had CN¥731m in cash, and was debt-free. In the last year, its cash burn was CN¥194m. So it had a cash runway of about 3.8 years from June 2022. There's no doubt that this is a reassuringly long runway. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.

你可以通過將公司擁有的現金數量除以它花掉這些現金的速度來計算公司的現金跑道。2022年6月,Jenscare Science擁有7.31億元人民幣的現金,而且沒有債務。去年,該公司的現金消耗為1.94億元人民幣。因此,從2022年6月開始,它的現金跑道大約有3.8年。毫無疑問,這是一條令人放心的長跑道。你可以在下圖中看到它的現金餘額是如何隨着時間的推移而變化的。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:9877 Debt to Equity History January 10th 2023
聯交所:9877債轉股歷史2023年1月10日

How Is Jenscare Scientific's Cash Burn Changing Over Time?

Jenscare Science的現金消耗是如何隨着時間的推移而變化的?

Because Jenscare Scientific isn't currently generating revenue, we consider it an early-stage business. Nonetheless, we can still examine its cash burn trajectory as part of our assessment of its cash burn situation. Over the last year its cash burn actually increased by a very significant 88%. While this spending increase is no doubt intended to drive growth, if the trend continues the company's cash runway will shrink very quickly. Admittedly, we're a bit cautious of Jenscare Scientific due to its lack of significant operating revenues. We prefer most of the stocks on this list of stocks that analysts expect to grow.

由於Jenscare Science目前沒有產生收入,我們認為這是一項處於早期階段的業務。儘管如此,我們仍然可以檢查其燒錢軌跡,作為我們評估其燒錢情況的一部分。在過去的一年裏,它的現金消耗實際上增加了非常顯着的88%。雖然這種支出增加無疑是為了推動增長,但如果這一趨勢繼續下去,該公司的現金跑道將很快縮水。誠然,我們對Jenscare Science持謹慎態度,因為它缺乏可觀的運營收入。我們更青睞這份名單上分析師預計將增長的股票中的大多數。

How Easily Can Jenscare Scientific Raise Cash?

Jenscare Science籌集現金有多容易?

While Jenscare Scientific does have a solid cash runway, its cash burn trajectory may have some shareholders thinking ahead to when the company may need to raise more cash. Generally speaking, a listed business can raise new cash through issuing shares or taking on debt. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.

雖然Jenscare Science確實有一條堅實的現金跑道,但它的現金消耗軌跡可能會讓一些股東提前考慮公司何時可能需要籌集更多現金。一般來説,上市企業可以通過發行股票或承擔債務來籌集新的現金。通常情況下,企業會自行發售新股,以籌集現金並推動增長。我們可以將一家公司的現金消耗與其市值進行比較,以瞭解一家公司需要發行多少新股才能為一年的運營提供資金。

Since it has a market capitalisation of CN¥13b, Jenscare Scientific's CN¥194m in cash burn equates to about 1.5% of its market value. That means it could easily issue a few shares to fund more growth, and might well be in a position to borrow cheaply.

由於其市值為130億元人民幣,Jenscare Science的1.94億元現金消耗相當於其市值的1.5%左右。這意味着它可以很容易地發行一些股票,為更多的增長提供資金,而且很可能處於低息借貸的地位。

How Risky Is Jenscare Scientific's Cash Burn Situation?

Jenscare Science的燒錢情況有多大風險?

As you can probably tell by now, we're not too worried about Jenscare Scientific's cash burn. For example, we think its cash runway suggests that the company is on a good path. While we must concede that its increasing cash burn is a bit worrying, the other factors mentioned in this article provide great comfort when it comes to the cash burn. Looking at all the measures in this article, together, we're not worried about its rate of cash burn; the company seems well on top of its medium-term spending needs. An in-depth examination of risks revealed 2 warning signs for Jenscare Scientific that readers should think about before committing capital to this stock.

正如你現在可能已經知道的,我們並不太擔心Jenscare Science的燒錢行為。例如,我們認為它的現金跑道表明該公司正走在一條良好的道路上。雖然我們必須承認,它不斷增加的現金消耗有點令人擔憂,但本文提到的其他因素在涉及到現金消耗時提供了很大的安慰。看看本文中的所有衡量標準,我們並不擔心它的現金消耗率;該公司似乎很好地滿足了中期支出需求。對暴露出的風險進行深入檢查Jenscare Science的2個警告信號讀者在向這隻股票注資之前應該考慮一下。

If you would prefer to check out another company with better fundamentals, then do not miss this free list of interesting companies, that have HIGH return on equity and low debt or this list of stocks which are all forecast to grow.

如果你更願意看看另一家基本面更好的公司,那麼不要錯過這一預期免費有趣的公司名單,擁有高股本回報率和低債務的公司,或者這些預計都將增長的股票名單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。

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