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Investors in China Dongxiang (Group) (HKG:3818) From Five Years Ago Are Still Down 62%, Even After 31% Gain This Past Week
Investors in China Dongxiang (Group) (HKG:3818) From Five Years Ago Are Still Down 62%, Even After 31% Gain This Past Week
It is a pleasure to report that the China Dongxiang (Group) Co., Ltd. (HKG:3818) is up 40% in the last quarter. But don't envy holders -- looking back over 5 years the returns have been really bad. Indeed, the share price is down 73% in the period. So we're hesitant to put much weight behind the short term increase. Of course, this could be the start of a turnaround.
On a more encouraging note the company has added HK$557m to its market cap in just the last 7 days, so let's see if we can determine what's driven the five-year loss for shareholders.
View our latest analysis for China Dongxiang (Group)
Given that China Dongxiang (Group) didn't make a profit in the last twelve months, we'll focus on revenue growth to form a quick view of its business development. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually expect strong revenue growth. That's because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.
Over five years, China Dongxiang (Group) grew its revenue at 5.7% per year. That's far from impressive given all the money it is losing. Nonetheless, it's fair to say the rapidly declining share price (down 12%, compound, over five years) suggests the market is very disappointed with this level of growth. We'd be pretty cautious about this one, although the sell-off may be too severe. A company like this generally needs to produce profits before it can find favour with new investors.
You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
We consider it positive that insiders have made significant purchases in the last year. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. So it makes a lot of sense to check out what analysts think China Dongxiang (Group) will earn in the future (free profit forecasts).
What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?
We've already covered China Dongxiang (Group)'s share price action, but we should also mention its total shareholder return (TSR). Arguably the TSR is a more complete return calculation because it accounts for the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested), along with the hypothetical value of any discounted capital that have been offered to shareholders. China Dongxiang (Group)'s TSR of was a loss of 62% for the 5 years. That wasn't as bad as its share price return, because it has paid dividends.
A Different Perspective
While the broader market lost about 9.8% in the twelve months, China Dongxiang (Group) shareholders did even worse, losing 37%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 10% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. If you want to research this stock further, the data on insider buying is an obvious place to start. You can click here to see who has been buying shares - and the price they paid.
China Dongxiang (Group) is not the only stock that insiders are buying. For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
我很高興地報告,中國東翔(集團)有限公司。(HKG:3818)在上個季度上漲了40%。但不要羨慕持有者--回顧過去5年的情況,回報真的很糟糕。事實上,在此期間,該公司股價下跌了73%。因此,我們對是否支持短期漲勢猶豫不決。當然,這可能是一個轉機的開始。
更令人鼓舞的是,僅在過去的7天裡,該公司的市值就增加了5.57億港元,所以讓我們看看我們是否能確定是什麼導致了股東五年來的虧損。
查看我們對中國東翔(集團)的最新分析
鑑於中國東翔(集團)在過去12個月中沒有盈利,我們將重點關注收入增長,以快速瞭解其業務發展。未盈利公司的股東通常預期營收增長強勁。這是因為快速的收入增長可以很容易地推斷出預期利潤,通常是相當大的規模。
五年來,中國東翔(集團)的收入以每年5.7%的速度增長。考慮到它正在虧損的所有資金,這遠遠談不上令人印象深刻。儘管如此,公平地說,股價的快速下跌(過去五年的復合跌幅為12%)表明,市場對這樣的增長水準非常失望。我們對這一次會相當謹慎,儘管拋售可能過於嚴重。像這樣的公司通常需要先產生利潤,然後才能獲得新投資者的青睞。
你可以在下面看到收入和收入是如何隨著時間的推移而變化的(點擊圖片可以發現確切的價值)。
我們認為,內部人士在過去一年進行了大量收購,這是積極的。話雖如此,大多數人認為盈利和收入增長趨勢是更有意義的業務指南。因此,看看分析師認為中國東翔(集團)未來的收入(免費利潤預測)是很有意義的。
那麼總股東回報(TSR)呢?
我們已經報道了中國東翔(集團)的股價走勢,但我們還應該提到它的總股東回報(TSR)。可以說,TSR是一個更完整的回報計算,因為它考慮了股息的價值(就像是再投資),以及任何提供給股東的貼現資本的假設價值。中國東翔(集團)的TSR在過去5年裡虧損了62%。這並不像它的股價回報那麼糟糕,因為它已經支付了股息。
不同的視角
雖然大盤在過去12個月裡下跌了約9.8%,但中國東翔(集團)股東的表現更糟,下跌了37%。話雖如此,在下跌的市場中,一些股票不可避免地會被超賣。關鍵是要密切關注基本面的發展。令人遺憾的是,去年的業績為糟糕的表現畫上了句號,股東們在五年內面臨每年10%的總虧損。一般來說,股價長期疲軟可能是一個壞信號,儘管反向投資者可能會希望研究這只股票,希望它能好轉。如果你想進一步研究這只股票,內幕購買的數據顯然是一個開始。你可以點擊這裡查看誰一直在買入股票--以及他們支付的價格。
中國東翔(集團)並不是內部人士唯一買入的股票。對於那些想要找到贏得投資這免費最近有內幕收購的不斷增長的公司名單可能就是合適的選擇。
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎?保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。
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風險及免責聲明
moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融資訊和交易應用程式。
在美國,moomoo上的投資產品和服務由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美國證券交易委員會(SEC)監管的持牌主體。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融業監管局(FINRA)和證券投資者保護公司(SIPC)的成員。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是通過Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,該公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)監管(牌照號碼︰CMS101000) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMS) ,持有財務顧問豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)資質。本內容未經新加坡金融管理局的審查。
在澳大利亞,moomoo上的金融產品和服務是通過Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,該公司是受澳大利亞證券和投資委員會(ASIC)監管的澳大利亞金融服務許可機構(AFSL No. 224663)。請閱讀並理解我們的《金融服務指南》、《條款與條件》、《隱私政策》和其他披露文件,這些文件可在我們的網站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中獲取。
在加拿大,透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,並受加拿大投資監管機構(CIRO)監管。
在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
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