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The One-year Earnings Decline Has Likely Contributed ToLocal Bounti's (NYSE:LOCL) Shareholders Losses of 74% Over That Period
The One-year Earnings Decline Has Likely Contributed ToLocal Bounti's (NYSE:LOCL) Shareholders Losses of 74% Over That Period
As every investor would know, you don't hit a homerun every time you swing. But it should be a priority to avoid stomach churning catastrophes, wherever possible. It must have been painful to be a Local Bounti Corporation (NYSE:LOCL) shareholder over the last year, since the stock price plummeted 74% in that time. That'd be enough to make even the strongest stomachs churn. We wouldn't rush to judgement on Local Bounti because we don't have a long term history to look at. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 33% in the last three months.
If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for Local Bounti isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Local Bounti
Local Bounti isn't currently profitable, so most analysts would look to revenue growth to get an idea of how fast the underlying business is growing. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. That's because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.
In the last twelve months, Local Bounti increased its revenue by 3,483%. That's a strong result which is better than most other loss making companies. So the hefty 74% share price crash makes us think the company has somehow offended market participants. Something weird is definitely impacting the stock price; we'd venture the company has destroyed value somehow. We'd recommend taking a very close look at the stock (and any available forecasts), before considering a purchase, because the share price is not correlated with the revenue growth, that's for sure. Of course, investors do over-react when they are stressed out, so the sell-off could be unjustifiably severe.
You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
NYSE:LOCL Earnings and Revenue Growth December 20th 2022It's probably worth noting we've seen significant insider buying in the last quarter, which we consider a positive. On the other hand, we think the revenue and earnings trends are much more meaningful measures of the business. You can see what analysts are predicting for Local Bounti in this interactive graph of future profit estimates.
A Different Perspective
We doubt Local Bounti shareholders are happy with the loss of 74% over twelve months. That falls short of the market, which lost 21%. That's disappointing, but it's worth keeping in mind that the market-wide selling wouldn't have helped. With the stock down 33% over the last three months, the market doesn't seem to believe that the company has solved all its problems. Basically, most investors should be wary of buying into a poor-performing stock, unless the business itself has clearly improved. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Local Bounti , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
正如每個投資者都知道的那樣,你不會每次揮杆都打出本壘打。但只要有可能,這應該是避免令人反胃的災難的優先事項。作為一名當地邦蒂公司(紐約證券交易所股票代碼:LOCL)的股東在過去一年,因為在此期間股價暴跌74%。這足以讓最強壯的人胃裡翻騰。我們不會急於對當地邦蒂下結論,因為我們沒有長期的歷史可以看。股價最近加速下跌,在過去三個月裡下跌了33%。
如果以過去一週為標準,投資者對Local Bounti的情緒並不樂觀,所以讓我們看看基本面和股價之間是否存在錯配。
查看我們對Local Bounti的最新分析
Local Bounti目前沒有盈利,因此大多數分析師都會關注收入增長,以瞭解基礎業務的增長速度。一般來說,沒有利潤的公司預計每年都會有收入增長,而且增長速度很快。這是因為快速的收入增長可以很容易地推斷出預期利潤,通常是相當大的規模。
在過去的12個月裡,Local Bounti的收入增長了3483%。這是一個強勁的結果,比大多數其他虧損的公司都要好。因此,74%的股價暴跌讓我們認為該公司以某種方式冒犯了市場參與者。一些奇怪的東西肯定在影響著股價;我們敢說,該公司不知何故已經摧毀了價值。我們建議在考慮收購之前,仔細看看股票(以及任何可用的預測),因為股價是不與收入增長相關,這一點是肯定的。當然,當投資者感到壓力過大時,他們確實會反應過度,因此拋售可能會毫無理由地嚴重。
您可以在下圖中看到收益和收入隨時間的變化(單擊圖表查看確切的值)。
紐約證券交易所:本地收益和收入增長2022年12月20日可能值得注意的是,我們在上個季度看到了大量的內幕收購,我們認為這是一個積極的因素。另一方面,我們認為收入和收益趨勢是衡量業務的更有意義的指標。您可以在這裡看到分析師對Local Bounti的預測互動未來利潤預估圖表。
不同的視角
我們懷疑Local Bounti的股東對過去12個月損失74%的情況感到滿意。這一數位低於大盤,大盤下跌21%。這令人失望,但值得記住的是,整個市場的拋售不會有任何幫助。過去三個月,該公司股價下跌了33%,市場似乎並不認為該公司已經解決了所有問題。基本上,大多數投資者應該對買入表現不佳的股票保持警惕,除非業務本身已經明顯改善。雖然值得考慮市場狀況對股價可能產生的不同影響,但還有其他更重要的因素。例如,考慮一下無處不在的投資風險幽靈。我們已經確定了兩個警告信號與Local Bounti合作,瞭解它們應該是您投資過程的一部分。
如果你喜歡和管理層一起買股票,那麼你可能會喜歡這本書免費公司名單。(提示:內部人士一直在買入這些股票)。
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。
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Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融資訊和交易應用程式。
在美國,moomoo上的投資產品和服務由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美國證券交易委員會(SEC)監管的持牌主體。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融業監管局(FINRA)和證券投資者保護公司(SIPC)的成員。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是通過Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,該公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)監管(牌照號碼︰CMS101000) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMS) ,持有財務顧問豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)資質。本內容未經新加坡金融管理局的審查。
在澳大利亞,moomoo上的金融產品和服務是通過Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,該公司是受澳大利亞證券和投資委員會(ASIC)監管的澳大利亞金融服務許可機構(AFSL No. 224663)。請閱讀並理解我們的《金融服務指南》、《條款與條件》、《隱私政策》和其他披露文件,這些文件可在我們的網站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中獲取。
在加拿大,透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,並受加拿大投資監管機構(CIRO)監管。
在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
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