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What Hygieia Group Limited's (HKG:1650) 31% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You
What Hygieia Group Limited's (HKG:1650) 31% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You
Hygieia Group Limited (HKG:1650) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 31% after a shaky period beforehand. While recent buyers may be laughing, long-term holders might not be as pleased since the recent gain only brings the stock back to where it started a year ago.
Following the firm bounce in price, given close to half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 8x, you may consider Hygieia Group as a stock to potentially avoid with its 11.9x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's lofty.
As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Hygieia Group over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
View our latest analysis for Hygieia Group
SEHK:1650 Price Based on Past Earnings December 6th 2022 Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Hygieia Group will help you shine a light on its historical performance.Is There Enough Growth For Hygieia Group?
Hygieia Group's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the market.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 62%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 62% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 17% shows it's an unpleasant look.
In light of this, it's alarming that Hygieia Group's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Hygieia Group's P/E
Hygieia Group shares have received a push in the right direction, but its P/E is elevated too. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Hygieia Group currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 5 warning signs for Hygieia Group you should be aware of, and 1 of them doesn't sit too well with us.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a P/E below 20x.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Hygieia 集團有限公司 (HKG: 1650)股價表現非常令人印象深刻,在經歷了動盪的時期之後上漲了31%。儘管最近的買家可能在笑,但長期持有者可能不會那麼高興,因爲最近的漲勢只會使該股恢復到一年前的水平。
在公司價格反彈之後,鑑於將近一半的香港公司的市盈率(或 “市盈率”)低於8倍,您可以將Hygieia Group視爲市盈率爲11.9倍的股票。但是,僅僅按面值計算市盈率是不明智的,因爲可能可以解釋爲什麼市盈率很高。
舉例來說,Hygieia Group的收益在過去一年中有所惡化,這根本不理想。許多人可能預計,在未來一段時間內,該公司的表現仍將超過大多數其他公司,這使市盈率無法暴跌。你真的希望如此,否則你會無緣無故地付出相當沉重的代價。
查看我們對 Hygieia 集團的最新分析
香港聯交所:1650 基於過去收益的價格 2022 年 12 月 6 日想要全面了解公司的收益、收入和現金流嗎?然後我們的 免費的 Hygieia Group的報告將幫助您了解其歷史表現。Hygieia 集團有足夠的增長嗎?
Hygieia Group的市盈率對於一家有望實現穩健增長且重要的是表現優於市場的公司來說是典型的。
首先回顧一下,該公司去年的每股收益增長並不令人興奮,因爲它公佈了令人失望的62%的跌幅。結果,三年前的收益總體上也下降了62%。因此,不幸的是,我們必須承認,在這段時間裏,該公司在增加收益方面做得不好。
將中期收益軌跡與整個市場一年的17%擴張預測進行權衡,就會發現這是一個不愉快的表情。
有鑑於此,令人震驚的是,Hygieia集團的市盈率高於大多數其他公司。顯然,該公司的許多投資者比最近所顯示的要看漲得多,他們不願意不惜任何代價放棄股票。只有最大膽的人才會認爲這些價格是可持續的,因爲最近收益趨勢的延續最終可能會嚴重影響股價。
Hygieia 集團市盈率的底線
Hygieia Group的股票已朝着正確的方向發展,但其市盈率也有所上升。僅使用市盈率來確定是否應該出售股票是不明智的,但它可以作爲公司未來前景的實用指南。
我們已經確定,Hygieia Group目前的市盈率遠高於預期,因爲其最近的收益在中期內一直在下降。當我們看到收益回落且表現低於市場預期時,我們懷疑股價有下跌的風險,從而導致高市盈率走低。如果最近的中期收益趨勢繼續下去,這將使股東的投資面臨重大風險,潛在投資者面臨支付過高溢價的危險。
你應該時刻考慮風險。一個很好的例子,我們已經發現了 Hygieia Group 有 5 個警告標誌 你應該知道,其中一個對我們來說不太合適。
當然, 通過尋找一些優秀的候選人,你可能會發現一筆不錯的投資。 所以來看看這個 免費的 具有強勁增長記錄、市盈率低於20倍的公司名單。
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 取得聯繫 直接和我們在一起。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。 我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。 它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街在上述任何股票中都沒有頭寸。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融資訊和交易應用程式。
在美國,moomoo上的投資產品和服務由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美國證券交易委員會(SEC)監管的持牌主體。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融業監管局(FINRA)和證券投資者保護公司(SIPC)的成員。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是通過Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,該公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)監管(牌照號碼︰CMS101000) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMS) ,持有財務顧問豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)資質。本內容未經新加坡金融管理局的審查。
在澳大利亞,moomoo上的金融產品和服務是通過Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,該公司是受澳大利亞證券和投資委員會(ASIC)監管的澳大利亞金融服務許可機構(AFSL No. 224663)。請閱讀並理解我們的《金融服務指南》、《條款與條件》、《隱私政策》和其他披露文件,這些文件可在我們的網站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中獲取。
在加拿大,透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,並受加拿大投資監管機構(CIRO)監管。
在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
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