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7 Stocks to Sell in October

7 Stocks to Sell in October

10月份將出售7只股票
InvestorPlace ·  2022/09/30 12:47

InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading Tips

InvestorPlace-股票市場新聞、股票建議和交易提示

Stocks to sell is a necessary discussion. Although it may feel good to remain loyal to an organization in the hopes of a substantial turnaround, it's time to let go of some of the weaker entities.

出售股票是一個必要的討論。雖然保持對一個組織的忠誠度,希望能有實質性的轉機,感覺可能很好,但現在是時候放棄一些實力較弱的實體了。

Fundamentally, the Federal Reserve plays an incredibly significant role in the red ink. With the central bank raising the key benchmark interest rate, borrowing costs increased, thereby hurting risk-on sentiments. For instance, heading into the final day of trading in September, the S&P 500 slipped 24% on a year-to-date basis. Therefore, it's prudent to consider certain stocks to sell.

從根本上説,美聯儲在赤字中扮演着令人難以置信的重要角色。隨着央行上調關鍵基準利率,借貸成本上升,從而損害了冒險情緒。例如,進入9月份交易的最後一天,標準普爾500指數與年初至今相比,下跌了24%。因此,考慮出售某些股票是謹慎的。

In addition, InvestorPlace's Louis Navellier probably said it best regarding troubled corporate entities. Essentially, their problems become your problems if you acquire their securities. The point about stocks to sell isn't about "hating" on certain companies. Rather, you want to keep your portfolio drama free heading into a contentious October.

此外,InvestorPlace‘s路易斯·納維利耶可能説,對於陷入困境的公司實體來説,這是最好的選擇。從本質上講,如果你收購了他們的證券,他們的問題就變成了你的問題。賣出股票的重點不是“討厭”某些公司。相反,你想讓你的投資組合不受影響地進入充滿爭議的10月份。

NKE Nike $83.83 ANF Abercrombie & Fitch $15.75 LYFT Lyft $13.54 SKT Tanger Factory Outlet $13.68 RDFN Redfin $5.86 KBH KB Home $26.17 OPEN Opendoor $3.10
Nke Nike$83.83 ANF Abercrombie&Fitch$15.75 Lyft Lyft$13.54 SKT Tanger Factory Outlet$13.68 RDFN Redfin$5.86 KBH KB Home$26.17 Open OpenDoor$3.10

Nike (NKE)

耐克(Nike)

Source: Shutterstock
消息來源:Shutterstock

Prior to the fiscal first-quarter earnings report for Nike (NYSE:NKE), I mentioned that Wall Street was waiting anxiously for the results. While the general consensus appeared pessimistic due to a range of macroeconomic headwinds impacting NKE, some analysts broadcasted optimism. Because Nike commanded a global branding powerhouse, some data points suggested that it could pull off a positive surprise.

在財年第一季度收益報告之前耐克(紐約證券交易所股票代碼:NKE),我提到華爾街正在焦急地等待結果。儘管由於一系列宏觀經濟逆風影響NKE,人們的普遍共識似乎很悲觀,但一些分析師表達了樂觀情緒。由於耐克是全球品牌巨頭,一些數據點表明,它可能會帶來一個積極的驚喜。

Unfortunately, those folks were wrong. According to the Wall Street Journal, Nike reported that "inventories rose 44% to $9.7 billion in the latest quarter." In addition, "higher discounts and freight costs squeezed profit margins." Further, Nike executives mentioned that they had to mark down more goods heading into the holidays.

不幸的是,這些人錯了。根據《華爾街日報》根據Nike的報告,最近一個季度庫存增加44%,至97億美元。此外,“較高的折扣和運費擠壓了利潤率.”此外,耐克高管還提到,他們不得不在假期前對更多商品降價。

In the open market following the Sept. 29 disclosure, NKE finished the day down 3.4%. However, in the afterhours session, it slipped nearly 9%. Frankly, it might be time to call the athletic apparel giant one of the top stocks to sell.

在9·11事件後的公開市場上。29日披露,NKE收盤下跌3.4%。然而,在盤後交易中,該指數下跌了近9%。坦率地説,現在可能是時候將這家運動服裝巨頭稱為最值得出售的股票之一了。

If any company could have beat the discretionary consumer sector blues, it was Nike. It failed. It's time to face reality.

如果説有哪家公司能夠戰勝非必需消費品行業的低迷,那就是耐克。它失敗了。是時候面對現實了。

Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF)

Abercrombie&Fitch(ANF)

Source: Shutterstock
消息來源:Shutterstock

One of the most popular apparel companies in the 1990s and 2000s, Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE:ANF) long tied in to youth culture. Before digitalization took over everything, the cool kids wore Abercrombie & Fitch. Today, the younger folks, including those in Generation Z, don't really care about name brands. As this demographic grew older, young adult consumer behaviors shifted.

20世紀90年代和21世紀頭10年最受歡迎的服裝公司之一,Abercrombie&Fitch(紐約證券交易所股票代碼:ANF)長期與青年文化捆綁在一起。在數字化佔領一切之前,酷孩子們穿的是Abercrombie&Fitch。如今,包括Z世代在內的年輕人並不真正關心名牌。隨着這一羣體年齡的增長,年輕人的消費行為發生了變化。

Unfortunately, it shifted in the wrong direction for Abercrombie & Fitch. Over the trailing five years, ANF only gained a bit under 7%. Since the start of this year, shares hemorrhaged 56% of market value. Circumstances will likely worsen for ANF moving forward.

不幸的是,對於Abercrombie&Fitch來説,它轉向了錯誤的方向。在過去的五年裏,ANF的收益僅略低於7%。自今年年初以來,該公司股票市值縮水56%。ANF繼續前進的情況可能會惡化。

In late August, the company stated "it lost $16.83 million, or 33 cents a share, in its second quarter, compared to a net income of $108.5 million, or $1.69 a share, in the year-ago quarter," according to MarketWatch.

該公司在8月下旬表示,“第二季度虧損1683萬美元,合每股虧損33美分,而去年同期的淨收益為1.085億美元,合每股1.69美元。”市場觀察.

Now that almighty Nike struggled to resonate with hard-hit consumers, it's probably time to consider ANF as one of the stocks to sell, as well.

既然萬能的耐克難以在遭受重創的消費者中引起共鳴,那麼現在可能也是時候考慮將ANF作為出售的股票之一了。

Lyft (LYFT)

Lyft(Lyft)

Source: OpturaDesign / Shutterstock.com
來源:OpturaDesign/Shutterstock.com

Although companies like Lyft (NASDAQ:LYFT) helped spark the ride-sharing revolution, the underlying industry is presenting us with worrying vulnerabilities. Honestly, the phenomenon must be driving urban survivalists crazy. After all, using an app as a trust mechanism for someone you don't know presents incredible security issues. Sadly, we're finding this out now with Lyft.

儘管公司喜歡Lyft儘管納斯達克(Didi Chuxing:LYFT)幫助引發了拼車革命,但基礎行業正在向我們展示令人擔憂的漏洞。老實説,這種現象一定會讓城市生存主義者抓狂。畢竟,將應用程序用作陌生人的信任機制會帶來令人難以置信的安全問題。遺憾的是,我們現在正在與Lyft一起發現這一點。

According to NPR, Lyft faces "17 new lawsuits brought by users of its service from around the country, who claim the company failed to protect passengers and drivers from physical and [prurient] assault." You can read the details yourself but the main point is that ride sharing presents risks. The lawsuits represent a significant reason to consider LYFT as one of the stocks to sell.

根據國家公共電臺,Lyft面臨着來自全國各地的17起由其服務用户提起的新訴訟,他們聲稱該公司未能保護乘客和司機免受身體和[性慾強]你可以自己閲讀細節,但重點是拼車存在風險。這些訴訟代表了考慮將Lyft作為出售股票之一的重要原因。

The other stems from rival Uber (NYSE:UBER). While Uber features a far more aggressive financial profile than Lyft – retained earnings loss for Uber is $32 billion versus $8.9 billion for Lyft – the former's expansionary efforts could effectively monopolize the ride-sharing business. Therefore, LYFT risks relevance loss, making it one of the candidates for stocks to sell.

另一種源於競爭對手優步(Uber)(紐約證券交易所代碼:Uber)。雖然優步的財務狀況比Lyft激進得多--優步的留存收益損失為320億美元,而Lyft的留存收益損失為89億美元--但前者的擴張努力可能實際上壟斷了拼車業務。因此,Lyft面臨相關性損失的風險,使其成為出售股票的候選者之一。

Tanger Factory Outlet (SKT)

丹吉爾工廠門店(SKT)

Source: Vitalii Vodolazskyi / Shutterstock
來源:Vitalii Vodolazskyi/Shutterstock

A shopping center-focused real estate investment trust (or REIT), Tanger Factory Outlet (NYSE:SKT) represents an idea for stocks to sell that I'm borrowing from InvestorPlace contributor Ian Bezek. As Bezek mentioned, Tanger's business model featured extraordinary relevance about two decades ago.

一家專注於購物中心的房地產投資信託基金(REIT),丹吉爾工廠門店(紐約證券交易所代碼:SKT)代表了一種出售股票的想法,我正在向它借錢投資商位置撰稿人伊恩·比澤克。正如貝澤克提到的,坦格的商業模式在大約20年前就具有非同尋常的相關性。

Operators in the shopping center category "would build a major shopping destination in a tourist area or along a major highway in between two big cities. People would go to the outlet center and get bargains that weren't available at shopping malls or in downtown shopping areas. The thinking was that outlets gave retailers an alternative venue to clear out certain kinds of products, while giving shoppers a fun and novel bargain-hunting experience," mentioned Bezek.

貝澤克提到,購物中心類型的運營商“會在兩個大城市之間的旅遊區或駭維金屬加工沿線建設一個主要的購物目的地。人們會去奧特萊斯中心,獲得購物中心或市中心購物區無法獲得的便宜貨。他們的想法是,奧特萊斯為零售商提供了一個替代場所來清倉某些類型的產品,同時給購物者提供一種有趣而新穎的打折體驗。”

Unfortunately, Bezek stated that Tanger's "financial results were poor prior to the pandemic." With the crisis, circumstances worsened. Thus, the analyst rated the long-term prognosis as "grim."

不幸的是,Bezek表示,Tanger的“在大流行前的財務業績很差”。隨着危機的爆發,情況變得更糟。因此,這位分析師將長期預測評為“嚴峻”。

For me, the retained earnings line item presents significant concerns. In 2019, this metric saw a loss of $317 million. In the trailing-12-month basis, it's down $483 million. Thus, SKT could be one of the stocks to sell.

對我來説,留存收益項目帶來了重大擔憂。2019年,這一指標虧損3.17億美元。在往績12個月的基礎上,它下跌了4.83億美元。因此,SKT可能是出售的股票之一。

Redfin (RDFN)

Redfin(RDFN)

Source: Shutterstock
消息來源:Shutterstock

Throughout this year, the real estate market and its broader price trajectory sparked much debate. With the Fed committed to raising the benchmark interest rate, prices fundamentally seem on their way down. It's just simple math: put barriers to affordability to prospective buyers and demand diminishes. Therefore, I believe it makes perfect sense to consider Redfin (NASDAQ:RDFN) as one of the stocks to sell.

今年全年,房地產市場及其更廣泛的價格軌跡引發了許多爭論。隨着美聯儲致力於提高基準利率,價格從根本上看似乎正在下降。這只是一個簡單的算術:給潛在買家設置負擔能力的障礙,需求就會減少。因此,我認為完全有理由考慮紅鰭(納斯達克:RDFN)作為待售股票之一。

Before discussing this and other stocks to sell in the housing sector, I must disclose my bias. Every time I saw real estate experts talk about housing prices moving even higher, I kept yelling a certain word. It begins with "B" and ends with "T." In fact, I laid out my case earlier this year for a possible recession on the horizon.

在討論這隻股票和其他在住房領域出售的股票之前,我必須公開我的偏見。每次我看到房地產專家談論房價進一步上漲時,我都會不停地喊一個詞。它以“B”開頭,以“T”結尾。事實上,今年早些時候,我曾就可能出現的經濟衰退提出過自己的觀點。

As mentioned earlier, the fundamental problem with real estate brokerage services such as Redfin is the math. As affordability metrics become further constrained for more people, the price of assets must decline to reflect reality. The problem for RDFN is that it may still be financially problematic, making it one of the stocks to sell.

如前所述,Redfin等房地產經紀服務的根本問題是數學問題。隨着可負擔性指標對更多人的進一步限制,資產價格必須下降以反映現實。RDFN的問題是,它可能仍然存在財務問題,使其成為出售的股票之一。

KB Home (KBH)

KB Home(KBH)

Source: ARMMY PICCA/ShutterStock.com
來源:ARMMY Picca/Shuterstock.com

Among several market ideas to acquire during the heyday of 2021, homebuilding firm KB Home (NYSE:KBH) now arguably represents one of the top stocks to sell. Prior to the heightened interest rate environment, many folks talked about a housing unit shortage. Therefore, the easy solution appeared to be that homebuilders should simply build more homes.

在2021年鼎盛時期要收購的幾個市場想法中,住宅建築公司KB主頁(紐約證券交易所代碼:KBH)現在可以説是最值得出售的股票之一。在利率環境升高之前,許多人都在談論住房短缺。因此,簡單的解決方案似乎是房屋建築商應該簡單地建造更多的房屋。

However, I argued that the idea of a housing shortage represented a myth. Long story short, just because the U.S. has more people does not mean it has more qualified homebuyers. For instance, married couples represent a major catalyst for homebuying incentivization. However, the ratio of married couples to housing units has been stable (and adequate) for several years.

然而,我認為住房短缺的想法是一個神話。長話短説,僅僅因為美國有更多的人口並不意味着它有更多合格的購房者。例如,已婚夫婦是鼓勵購房的主要催化劑。然而,幾年來,已婚夫婦與住房單位的比例一直保持穩定(且充足)。

Recently, KB Home disclosed its fiscal third-quarter earnings report. It beat on earnings expectations but missed against revenue. Still, I believe the more important stat is days inventory. This figure stood at nearly 382 in fiscal Q3, up 7.5% year-over-year.

近日,KB Home披露了第三財季收益報告。它超過了盈利預期,但不及預期的預期超過了收入。儘管如此,我認為更重要的統計數據是天數庫存。在第三財季,這一數字接近382,同比增長7.5%。

KBH is one of the stocks to sell.

KBH是要出售的股票之一。

Opendoor (OPEN)

OpenDoor(打開)

Source: PREMIO STOCK/Shutterstock.com
來源:Premio stock/Shutterstock.com

At first glance, the iBuyer model for Opendoor (NASDAQ:OPEN) seemed incredibly attractive. Essentially, the company makes instant cash offers on homes through an online process. By doing so, the process of selling real estate is much quicker and more convenient. The implication undergirding OPEN stock was that the model could eventually do away with the cumbersome nature of home-related transactions.

乍一看,iBuyer模式OpenDoor(納斯達克:開放)看起來非常有吸引力。從本質上説,該公司通過在線流程提供房屋的即時現金報價。這樣做,出售房地產的過程就快多了,方便多了。支撐未平倉股票的含義是,該模式最終可能消除與住房相關的交易的繁瑣性質。

But then, nobody seemed to ask the obvious question: why would anyone want real estate transactions to be quicker and more convenient? You're not upgrading your smartphone. Rather, you're buying a home, which is typically the most expensive purchase for the average person. Therefore, you want to make sure that every relevant party to the transaction does their job appropriately. If it takes some time, so what? You don't want to make a mistake here.

但當時,似乎沒有人問一個顯而易見的問題:為什麼會有人希望房地產交易更快、更方便?你沒有升級你的智能手機。相反,你是在買房子,這對普通人來説通常是最昂貴的購買。因此,您需要確保與交易相關的每一方都適當地履行自己的職責。如果這需要一些時間,那又如何?你不會想在這裏犯錯誤的。

Turns out, another reason to consider OPEN as one of the stocks to sell is the lack of viability. Recently, a report revealed that Opendoor lost money on 42% of transactions in August. That's startling because the company obviously doesn't offer top dollar for what is essentially a home-flipping service. So, buyer beware.

事實證明,考慮將Open作為出售股票之一的另一個原因是缺乏生存能力。最近,一份報告顯示,OpenDoor在8月份的交易中虧損了42%。這令人震驚,因為該公司顯然沒有為本質上是家庭翻轉服務的公司提供最高價格的服務。所以,買家要當心了。

On the date of publication, Josh Enomoto did not have (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.

在出版日期,喬什·恩諾本沒有(直接或間接)持有本文所述證券的任何頭寸。本文表達的觀點是作者的觀點,以InvestorPlace.com為準出版指南.

A former senior business analyst for Sony Electronics, Josh Enomoto has helped broker major contracts with Fortune Global 500 companies. Over the past several years, he has delivered unique, critical insights for the investment markets, as well as various other industries including legal, construction management, and healthcare.

作為索尼電子的前高級商業分析師,井本曾幫助撮合了多家《財富》全球500強企業的重要合同。在過去的幾年裏,他為投資市場以及包括法律、建築管理和醫療保健在內的各種其他行業提供了獨特的、至關重要的見解。

The post 7 Stocks to Sell in October appeared first on InvestorPlace.

10月份出售的Post 7股票首先出現在InvestorPlace上。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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